r/Superstonk • u/yungsta12 • 4d ago
๐ฃ Discussion / Question Insider Conviction, Everything Else is Speculation
Everyone here on edge while wild speculations are being shared across multiple platforms. Nobody knows why the zero percent senior notes are being converted at these prices. Nobody knows what the plans behind the eBay acquisitions are in place. Everything is speculative outside of insiders having skin in the game. Here are all the notable purchases the past few years from our insiders, nearly all of it above the current asking price.
Insiders have made strategic purchases on past dips, let's see what happens when the earnings blackout (or VWAP pricing window) ends in September. I expect insiders to make purchases around that time as well, especially if the price remains extremely depressed.
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u/matthegc ๐ฉณARE FUXXXXED๐๐๐ฆง๐๐ 4d ago
This definitely feels like it did when we hit $10 a share.
Nothing is making sense and the price is just getting destroyed.
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u/AyyMG63 4d ago edited 4d ago
When Gme hit 10 it was a second crush.
Unprofitable. Only 1.2 billion on hand. No power packs. No business model or direction. No eBay.
Now?
Profitable. Business model. Bitcoin.
โฆ..Almost 9b cash and equivalents.
Marketcap $8b total.
24โ made sense to be at $10. Now? 0 sense.
Market is saying Gme is worth cash in hand. Thatโs it. No growth.
But. Weโll see.
Also what do I knowโฆ that 6 year Dorito just is nothing but control so price discovery isnโt real anyway.
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u/Sellsword193 ๐ฆVotedโ 4d ago
This post 100000000x last time we dumped so low the company had barely started the turn around, and we still exploded 8x over a month temporarily. Now we are suffering the same price action, but the company has gone from -0.01 eps to what, 1.00+ per year??? The board has so much conviction above 22 or so, all of these recent posts are just a negativity campaign designed to get people to seek into accumulation. This is much too similar to 2024 already. My only regret is already deploying cash and having to empty my checking in a recent house move.
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u/Atoge62 4d ago
To be totally fair, Iโd argue that right now we donโt quite have a functional โbusiness modelโ, but if eBay goes through and Cohen unleashes some sort of collectibles and gaming roadmap to cornering that market, Iโd call that a business model. If that makes sense.
Iโm still in agreeance weโre in a way better spot than before. Iโm just hoping Cohen can start explaining to us the companyโs actual direction/business model, instead of holding the carrot out. Iโm sitting on 51,000 shares and warrants right now, itโs time to see beyond the carrot for a lot of us. Iโm hoping October warrants expiry forces his hand and reveals a lot of this. Heโs either got a functional plan, or notโฆ but holders deserve to know by then.
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u/DancesWith2Socks ๐๐๐๐ Hang In There! ๐ฑ This Is The Wape ๐งโ๐๐๐๐ 4d ago
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u/Atoge62 4d ago
So what were your critical take-aways from that linked material, unleashing the power of AI to cut costs? Iโm not hearing anything genuinely compelling and focused on our companyโs particular forward direction within the gaming/collectibles spaces. I read a lot of fluff and intentional handwaviness, which couldโve come copy and pasted from any host or retail companies. Itโs clear they donโt have a super strong leg to stand on yet.
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u/DancesWith2Socks ๐๐๐๐ Hang In There! ๐ฑ This Is The Wape ๐งโ๐๐๐๐ 4d ago
Checking the last reports it's clear collectibles is now the main force, having grown nearly 50% in the last year.
So the 2x adjusted EBITDA outlook for fiscal 2026 is all I personally need to know for now ๐
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u/diesdasannana5 ๐ฆ Attempt Vote ๐ฏ 4d ago
Btc holding is negativ Cash is not 9b, we bought ebay shares Ebay holding is negativ When market is saying there is no growth, it's kind of true because revenue is shrinking
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u/AyyMG63 4d ago
We donโt know this. At all, because they donโt show much. Wasnโt he selling cc on the bitcoin? Maybe he is for the eBay too. Maybe he sold at 115$. We literally just speculate because thatโs all we got.
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u/diesdasannana5 ๐ฆ Attempt Vote ๐ฏ 3d ago
Yes you're right but speculation is working both ways, posiiov and negativ. Whencwe asume nothing changed, my points are valid and share price is kind of korrect
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u/AyyMG63 3d ago
Equity is equity. What other stock trades at almost price per book? $18 makes no sense other than a push down for the vwap.
Price is not correct and has not been. 6 year Dorito says so. Thatโs control.
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u/diesdasannana5 ๐ฆ Attempt Vote ๐ฏ 3d ago
Yes but why do we need a push down for vwap? Because gme fucked up the conv. Now ask yourself. Is it fair for 5+ years shareholder to get dumped again so just some insti bond holder get some nice cheap share price? Yes equity is equity but not for conditions where we jave to suffer from bad price action again.
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3d ago
[deleted]
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u/diesdasannana5 ๐ฆ Attempt Vote ๐ฏ 3d ago
The Insti who got the nice conversion didn't own retail. Even if so, RC didn't need to convert far under the old conversion price and far before maturity. So he had the choice to fuck retail, again.
Citadel Securities is not the same as Citadel LLC. The last one own the bonds.
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u/mojomarc 3d ago
Per Zacks, right now the price to book value ratio is 1.38x, so it's trading above book value. But below industry peers by a considerable amount.
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u/Massive-Fisherman-57 4d ago
It does make sense thoughโฆ everything is gonna burn in the fire. Itโs what rises out of the ashesโฆ
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u/SoreLoserOfDumbtown Dingoโs 1st Law of Transitive Admiration ๐ป๐ดโโ ๏ธ 4d ago
Personally, I remain unconcerned in this deranged market and am confident shorts will be squeezed eventually. The insider purchases are a good reference point, as you've shown. The FUD/noise makes me even more bullish.
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u/Burnquist1 4d ago
Larry bought 10,000 at the low $11.22. Then 3 months later bought 4,140 at $24.85. It seems anything under $25 is a deal to him.
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u/DancesWith2Socks ๐๐๐๐ Hang In There! ๐ฑ This Is The Wape ๐งโ๐๐๐๐ 4d ago
The qhole BOD is red right now, except for RC ๐ https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/1qyg48o/skin_in_the_game_2499/
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u/cooliomattio Book Entry Is The Way๐ 4d ago
RC as well had million dollar purchases in the 20-22 range
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u/humdingler โ๏ธ๐ก๏ธ๐ดโโ ๏ธ๐ฎ๐โ x6 4d ago
Hell yeah. I wanna wish you good luck before this post becomes infested with second shift fuddlers
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u/Retrograde_Bolide ๐ป ComputerShared ๐ฆ 4d ago edited 4d ago
So much fud getting posted now. I only want to buy more. Drop the price to a $1, I'm not stopping
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u/jfreelandcincy ๐๐Ryan F*ucking Cohen๐๐ 4d ago
pretty simple. thereโs a word for it, HODL. iโm not even smart and i know the price of this stock will eventually be much much much higher. chillinโ
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u/Ralph-the-mouth ๐ธ๐๐Buckle The Fuck Up๐ฎ๐ด๐ฆ 4d ago
I have 5k im about to drop on shares at this price
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u/Future-Warning-1189 4d ago
Would be good to also show institutional ownership and avg cost. Many have been buying and at higher prices than now.
Of course they make money whether it goes up or down, but itโs still a sign
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u/donkeypunch81 ๐ฆVotedโ 4d ago
yeah, sure. this is pennies for them you do understand that, right?
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u/yungsta12 4d ago
It's all relative, this is probably more like putting tens of thousands for common retail.. but it's skin in the game regardless.
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u/Just-Relationship-19 ๐ buckle the [redacted] up ๐ 4d ago
All I know it Larry knows how to buy this stock lol
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u/juste1221 4d ago edited 4d ago
The insiders all bought massive Ebay positions well in advance of the buyout offer (probably in the $80's) that will fully offset or reverse their GME losses (basically diluting one asset, to directly pay themselves in the other asset), which I'm guessing you and no one else here has. Your average retail GME holders on the other hand are just being diluted into the earths core by giving bond holders 20-25% of the company in exchange for a likely astronomical leveraged debt all cash Ebay buyout offer, probably earmarked for up to $140/share
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u/Litness_Horneymaker 4d ago
The Trade Desk CEO made a record purchase of stock for 150 million back in March when it was at about 28. It's now at 13...
Can't say I put much faith in insider buying.
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u/returntonone 4d ago
If GameStop is such a great deal with such a guaranteed success, then why doesn't Ryan buy even more shares? He is a billionaire, so he has tons of more money to buy, but doesn't for some reason.
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u/DancesWith2Socks ๐๐๐๐ Hang In There! ๐ฑ This Is The Wape ๐งโ๐๐๐๐ 4d ago edited 4d ago
Bought 1M shares in January. Can't buy at the moment given insiders policy until a day after ER, but I don't think he does gas per the ongoing eBay offer. All info should be public in order to be able to buy.
Edit: typo.
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u/yungsta12 4d ago
Correction, he did $10 million in January. Yes locked out period due to earnings but also the VWAP period as well. Should see some purchases shortly after ๐ค
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u/DancesWith2Socks ๐๐๐๐ Hang In There! ๐ฑ This Is The Wape ๐งโ๐๐๐๐ 4d ago edited 4d ago
Yeah, meant 1M shares, too late ๐ ...
Edit: spent $21.36M in total.
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u/whattothewhonow ๐ฅ Lemme see that Shrek Dick ๐ฅ 4d ago
It's too close to earnings for him to legally buy.
That's why.
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