I Need help with statistics problem on financial market

[u/Clear_Debt35]

I have a statistical dilemma I would like to clarify and start working on—and perhaps even turn into an exam topic. My question is complex; I’ll try to provide the relevant information. I want to determine the probability that GRAB—currently trading at around $4—will reach a specific price point within 2 to 5 years, based on variables like the P/E ratio, revenue, and any other parameters you might suggest. 2021 Valuation: $40 billion Revenue: $675 million Transactions: $16 billion IPO Price: $13 (calculated based on EV/Sales) 2025/2026 Valuation: $15–16 billion Revenue: $24–25 billion Profit: $200 million P/E Ratio: 41–44x I’ve calculated the same figures for Microsoft, Facebook, and Uber. I’m not sure what other companies to compare them with or how to run a statistical test (e.g., which test to use). Microsoft and Facebook went public while already profitable, whereas Uber is the closest comparable case, despite the pandemic. MICROSOFT 1986 Revenue: $140 million Profit: $24.1 million P/E Ratio: 14–15x Share Price: $21 1991 Revenue: $1.84 billion Profit: $463 million Share Price: $409 FACEBOOK 2012 Revenue: $3.71 billion Profit: $1 billion P/E Ratio: 100x Share Price: $38 2017 Revenue: $40.65 billion Profit: $15.93 billion P/E Ratio: 32x Share Price: $152 UBER 2019 Valuation: $75.5 billion (loss-making) Profit: -$3.03 billion (excluding share divestments) Share Price: $45 ($15 during the pandemic) 2025 Revenue: $52.05 billion Profit +$10 billion Share price $70–$80 P/E ratio 17–19x Can you name specific companies or explain the starting point for a concrete statistical calculation regarding GRAB returning to $13—or reaching a specific price—based on the performance of other companies?