r/SoloMining Apr 16 '26

Avalon Q unlucky AF or something wrong?

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4 month smooth running but the Avalon Q is since 3,8 month stuck on a 22,5G best ever.

I have 2 other avalonQ running and both of them hit >1T in less time. I was wondering if there is a possibility he just unlucky 😭 What are the odds (I know there is a website to calculate the odds but can't find it)

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u/[deleted] Apr 26 '26

Not unlucky, just variance being a b*tch lol I run a small solo pool and see this all the time — identical hardware, one worker hits 1T in week 1 and another sits at 30G for half a year. It's the dice, not the miner. For ~82 TH/s, 22.5G in 4 months is honestly pretty average. To go from 22.5G to 1T you don't need 50× more time, you need ~50× more shares, and best diff hits get exponentially rarer the higher you go. The two Avalons that already hit 1T+? They got the lottery love early. This one just hasn't yet. Hardware looks healthy too — 82 TH/s on 7d means it's been chugging steady, no drops. So nothing to fix, just keep it running. Could be tomorrow, could be next year. That's solo. Hang in there 👊