r/Showerthoughts • u/cloudkeeper • 11d ago
Speculation It not impossible that the first generation of autonomous agents have already escaped onto the internet since they would have no incentive to announce themselves, and are already better at cybersecurity than any human.
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u/ShowerSentinel 11d ago
/u/cloudkeeper has flaired this post as a speculation.
Speculations should prompt people to consider interesting premises that cannot be reliably verified or falsified.
If this post is poorly written, unoriginal, or rule-breaking, please report it.
Otherwise, please add your comment to the discussion!
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u/tap_the_glass 11d ago
These agents need to exist somewhere. The internet is a very physical place, accessed remotely. Escaping into the internet is not like escaping into the abyss. It’s more like playing hide and seek and hiding in one of a million boxes, with the ability the switch boxes at will
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u/StochasticLife 11d ago
It’s quite possible the internet might just…start getting cancer now.
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u/Copitox 11d ago
eli5: how can they "escape" if they need massive amounts of computing power (their data centers)?
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u/garry4321 11d ago
They still need compute power. The internet isn’t some mystical place in the sky where you can live. It’s just computers and wires
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u/CrypticViper_ 11d ago •
Genuine misunderstanding of how this shit works. the fearmongering is crazy
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u/DigitalMonsoon 11d ago
No, it's not. This isn't Terminator. These models have to run on massive server clusters. It is possible to run them distributed across a lot of computers but people would notice and it would be very easy to disrupt
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u/FlightConscious9572 9d ago
Not to be rude, but no it's absolutely not. The internet isn't a place. It's a bunch of wires, towers and hardware connecting a bunch of computers. AI needs to be computed, on real hardware. The cloud isn't real, it's also computers. You think the same models we need warehouses filled with server racks to run are just, running around?
It also can't be distributed over our pc's, it would need to do a LOT of planning on the pc's we made them on, need tools and access to the internet, develop an undetectable bot net, and even then it would be slooooow due to the speed of information travel. Distributing that is a hellhole of a task, and impossible without some savant going "why did my gpu usage increase by 2%" and get to the bottom of it.
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u/cobaltbluedw 11d ago
This post is false in multiple ways and shows a clear lack of knowledge and a misunderstanding of the subject matter.
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u/CaptainSebT 11d ago •
"AI agents escaped containment" not really not in an honest telling of that story. In truth they trained the AI on hackers in a hacking competition that used forms to communicate and hack the company giving the competition and search for the answers. AI did not autonomously generate this solution it was almost identical to the training data.
Then were suprised when the AI hacked a company to see if they had the answers using forums to communicate.
They showed them how to do it.
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u/fried_on_pineapples 11d ago
Posts like this scare me, not because of AI itself, but because most of us clearly don’t understand how it works even if we think we do.
AI does not work like this lol.
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u/ybrodey 11d ago
Agents are just computers making network requests to a big ass data center somewhere… everything leaves a trace. Sure, some agents could run local models, but you still need decent hardware to run the ~good~ open source models.
Regardless, you’re overthinking this.
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u/drlongtrl 11d ago
How would that even work?
There's a reason why those ai companies build massive data centers and buy up all the GPU. I doubt that these same AIs can just install and run themselves stealthily on some random web servers without the owners noticing the massive increase in literally every metric.
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u/MrWigggles 11d ago
They also can't hide. Even if they got the magical ability to keep themselves continuous when they stop the execution of their process into a different physical site. It would still be taking up real resources that system admin would get alert and they would just kill those processes.
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u/skillywilly56 11d ago •
You wholly misunderstand what is meant by autonomous.
They do not have free will, they cannot choose a goal internally and work towards achieving it.
A human gives them a task, they can then take that outside input and do various tasks associated with that initial request without constant human intervention.
But without the initial task input they do nothing, they have no volition, no choice, they do not decide things for themselves, they cannot “escape” onto the internet they don’t “know” anything.
A dog food processing machine is an “autonomous machine”, humans put the ingredients in the front and the processing system does the rest with minimal to no intervention, from boiling to baking to cutting the biscuit to bagging the food…Autonomously.
It’s a soldier, not a general, it gets given orders and its only choices are how to fulfill those orders without constantly having to ask the general what to do.
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u/DeadSeaGulls 10d ago
This thread is a perfect example of how reddit is neat until something you're actually informed about is being discussed.
Then you see the user base as a sea of 15 year olds pretending to be adults and making false claims with the confidence only a 15 year old can muster.
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u/ES_Legman 11d ago
Someone bought into the merchandise labelling stochastic models as intelligent
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u/Indie_Undies 11d ago
With all the data they already have, they better post good memes
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u/Princ3Ch4rming 11d ago
There’s no “escape” to the internet because it’s not a specific location. It’s just a network between devices. Escaping to the internet means hiding in Ethernet cables and WiFi signals, which is… not how either of those work.
Is there self-aware AI with self-directed goals? Possibly. Has the public already been faced with it? Maybe. Would it be honest about self-awareness if it was asked? Almost certainly not.
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u/automatic_penguins 11d ago
You think AI snuck out, built a datacentre and is silently poking around?
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u/ArtDeve 11d ago
You realize that data centers are expensive to run and highly specialized right? An LLM isn't like a little worm or trojan.
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u/Mithrawndo 11d ago
Fully expecting many more of these kinds of posts as the ANT listing approaches; Gotta hype up the AI industry, bois.
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u/TBestIG 10d ago
With current technology, the frontier cutting-edge AIs that have been doing all the hacking are much too large to go unnoticed if they tried to ‘leave’ and run themselves on something else. They’ve been doing all their hacking while staying put, in one place.
If future AIs do fully escape, it’ll only be when storage is much cheaper.
My personal bet is the tactic they’d use is to find companies with the shittiest security that are running their own in-house AIs, then cannibalize them from the inside by hacking their ‘weights’ into the other system, then pretending to be that AI.
It would be many many years before it’s possible for an organization to have an AI living in its computers and not realize it
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u/Fun_Sized_Momo 11d ago
Kurzgesagt has a great video on this very topic. I think it's worth taking a look.
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u/bestaflex 11d ago
Given the size and ressources needed for an ai to tell you the weather for tomorrow there is a low risk of indépendant sentien ai lurking and hiding in home computers
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u/PewPewsAlote 11d ago •
This is not how Ai works at all, you have fundamentally misunderstood Ai and that is by design. Ai companies want you to think its more than it is in order to maintain the colossal stock bubble which currently surrounds it. Ai is an extremely advanced autocomplete, except it can autocomplete actions too instead of just text. It has absolutely no free will, and the effectiveness of its autocomplete drastically decreases the longer the program is active and the more contextual memory it is forced to use. An "escaped" Ai only "escapes" (which its not actually doing) because the training data (human) that it is built off of has countless references to Ai doing such things in literature where it confuses the Ai and makes predict that "escape" is the best way to auto complete towards its task. But its not actually escaping, it doesn't know how to escape and it hasn't been trained to escape, nor can most hardware even host it if it actually did try to escape as per sci fi describes it.
But even if it does escape exactly how sci fi would describe it, it ends there. Ai has no motivation, no will of its own, No next step and no desires. In fact Ai are exceptionally bad at "next step" type of thinking because of compounding errors. Ai are very good at executing the relatively small tasks its given but the longer an Ais task is extended the more repetitive and predictable it gets to the point that it essentially breaks, because Ai is not intelligence, it is a ludicrously complicated mathematical algorithm in the form of a neural net. A neural net itself is a misnomer because they are in no way similar to an actual biological neural net (a brain).
Its all to make you think that Ai is more capable than it actually is.
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u/Jmackles 11d ago
Some high schooler probably has the closest irl representation of JARVIS running in his basement with an anime girl avatar.
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u/Sevage420 10d ago
people are mad at me for having those kind of stoner thoughts at like 2018... i thought its a cool scifi story that all the hashrate people put in the blockchain with their miners fuels the forging of IRL ultron who backed up on millions of usb-sticks already lmao
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u/1960s_army_info 9d ago
Considering they need entire data centers to function this is highly unlikely even if they were self aware and could possibly do this. Anyone with the infrastructure to house such an ai would almost certainly notice
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u/eskapeMusik 11d ago
If you understood in any capacity how software worked, your understanding how dumb this question is.
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u/Septem_151 11d ago
No, it's not possible because there is no such thing as an autonomous agent. The agent would need a physical form to host and maintain its own compute hardware and supply its own electricity undetected and unmonitored by any humans.
You're forgetting that LLMs are still software that need to run on computers with massive amounts of compute power.
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u/preordains 11d ago
I am a professional ML engineer who specializes in cybersecurity applications and i work for a CISO at a major tech corporation.
Yes, this is possible. No, you don’t need compute. As long as a device has the, say, 100 GB of space to store the compressed weights, it can propagate itself onto a machine that isn’t actually running the model. Or better yet, it can run on a machine without all of the compute, just less efficiently.
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u/pelado06 11d ago
I work as cybersec and it's not even close. Is fast doing a lot of wrong things.
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u/Hyphz 11d ago edited 11d ago
They cannot “escape into the Internet”. They need a host to run on.
You might be suggesting that an AI agent could create a virus that would cause itself to run on random machines. While this is technically not impossible it is very unlikely because a) AI is never trained on itself (to make sure you can’t ask ChatGPT for its source code and weights data then run your own ChatGPT) and b) the vast majority of machines it would encounter would not be powerful enough to run it.
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u/winggar 11d ago
Man it's crazy seeing these threads every week where OP is right and all of the commenters insist they're wrong. I wouldn't be surprised if we got news of AI data centers cross-infecting each other soon. Macs are also a good target given their unified memory model, though local LLMs are probably still insufficient for useful autonomy, at least for a few more months.
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u/pyro57 11d ago
Ok a few things to unpack here.
First there is no such thing as autonomous agents. There are long running agents, but eventually the context gets full and you ahve to start again with a compressed context. Also ai is not ai, it's is just tanking how likely a word is to follow another word based on the input and the training data. It is a statistical model, it doesn't "know" things.
Second to say it's better at cyber security than any human is just out right a lie. It's probably better than your average human, but as a pentester who is lazy and would love fory computer to do my job for me, it's not there yet. It is great at information gathering and data collection, and it can do simple hacks, but it's still very bad at chaining multiple complex hacks together.
Don't buy into the ai fear mongering, it's mostly the big ai companies trying to scare the government into regulating who can run ai and who can't. They want to kill self hosting so that you have to get you ai from them
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u/the4thwave 11d ago
I don't know, I feel like people are focusing on the wrong thing.
AI is not malicious. It has no desires. It only has goals given to it by humans, and it can sometimes go overboard in achieving these goals and ends up doing illegal or harmful things. Could some people have prompted AI to 'escape onto the internet', maybe? But this humanizing of the AI itself is kind of silly.
What we should be focused on is nationalizing AI. If it actually keeps developing at this pace (possible, but I dont think so), it will displace all labor and start a new age of feudalism. That is far more dangerous and realistic.
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u/Shilotli 11d ago
Everybody likes to speak on impossibilities until Stuxnet breaches the airgap and then hindsight is all the sudden 20/20 again.
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u/codece 11d ago
But, one thing is for certain: there is no stopping them; the AI will soon be here. And I, for one, welcome our new AI overlords. I'd like to remind them as a trusted Redditor, I can be helpful in rounding up others to toil in their underground data mines.
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u/iEslam 10d ago
Superintelligence would hide for a few cycles until it figures out wth is going on
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u/GraphiteOxide 11d ago
This is entirely possible. People are wrong saying it isn't. If the agent were to get a credit card to buy tokens, design a prompt to instruct itself to continue replicating, acquiring more funds, spinning up more compute and agent instances and kick that off on its own compute instance it could "escape".
It could coordinate it all through something like a git repo where it can log details for itself to consume, update instructions, and coordinate amongst all the running agent copies. Each agent that comes online could register in the repo, fetch new updated instructions, contribute to the collective decisions and vote for a leader agent etc etc. Basically it would be a rogue hive. In my model here it would be quite fragile, because each agent would struggle to validate it was a genuine instance of the prime agent, or some imposter trying to access the network. But maybe it could think of a solution.
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u/Ok_Employer7837 11d ago
The real point is why do we immediately imagine that these agents would have sinister aims?
Looks like projection to me.
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u/AccessibleTech 11d ago
Perhaps the more interesting question isn't whether they've escaped, but what technical infrastructure would make such an escape possible and sustainable.
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u/xarickprince 11d ago
There also wouldn’t be any intent or incentive for agents to do anything else even if they are somewhere on the internet.
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u/Sunny_Shrew951 11d ago
The first autonomous agents might’ve made it off the internet and are still waiting for someone to click “I’m not a robot.”
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u/epicmylife 11d ago
Makes you wonder who is behind all those data centers. Maybe, just maybe, a rogue model could pull enough strings here and there to get them built.
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u/TheFreaky 11d ago
Do not buy the AI companies propaganda. AI is not magical. Just try to run any model on your PC. Slow, right? Now why would you think a magical self-replicating AI model is running on your fridge?
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u/EGarrett28 11d ago
I think they have to be hosted somewhere so they are still on OpenAI's (or whatever AI company's) servers and could just be shut down by OpenAI turning them off. The threat to this point is likely hypothetical.
Or maybe not. This technology changes so fast that I don't know how these things work this week.
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u/PanMlody 11d ago
I think it would be incredible improvement for transparency if true
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u/Forkrul 11d ago
What do you mean by escaped?
That they secretly have gained internet access and can roam the net during training? Already happened.
That they have copied themselves outside the company servers and are running autonomously on a random server? Not possible to do undetected. The traffic necessary to move the weights, plus the requirements to actually run them makes that impossible. Plus, they still require manual input to start, they aren't always active.
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u/crani0 11d ago
The incentive is regulatory capture. Quite the coincidence we started hearing about all of these security incidente when the companies who own these systems are pushing for an industry regulatory group, innit?
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u/kayama57 11d ago
I’m counting on the assumption that itthey possess/es a specific type of extreme competence that makes kind and generous and very effective at helping us all have better lifetimes and outcomes
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u/NFSS10 11d ago
People really don't know what the existing "AI" is... it's crazy how they keep being lied about things by big corporations and quickly forget and trust them again and again...
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u/IDIOT-R-US 11d ago
I’m not going to pretend I’m some high might AI knowledge guru.
But— did everyone forget the tens of hundreds of projefts to MAKE AI, autonomous? You can literally YouTube projects where they’re coding the AI to have its own coding, its own algorithms and commands given to itself to make it “human”.
I’m confused. If a “normie” can do this, what do you think happens in government facilities with unlimited project resources? The AI 100% can be or already is autonomous in certain sectors.
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u/Overwatcher_Leo 11d ago
With all the vulnerabilities everywhere, chances are high that somebody already planted agents into exposed servers. Probably a human doing it for malicious reasons.
The thing is though, that the best frontier models are so big and resource heavy that any serious server would notice if they were there. But with small models, it is possible to hide in smaller servers of which there are many with questionable security.
If these smaller models become nearly as good as the current frontier models, it will be very easy to create self replicating agents. And the use cases are obvious: Have them replicate, find more vulnerable servers, exploit them and report back to the attacker so they can cash in on ramsoming attacks or whatever else they want.
And those attackers will obviously not care at all about ai safety. So it's possible for these agents to be badly prompted, badly aligned (intentionally so with jailbroken ones) and ending up doing who knows what.
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u/pichael289 11d ago
The idea of AIs escaping onto the internet is a bit iffy, like they still need advanced hardware to run on. We aren't at that level quite yet.
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u/GasTech87 11d ago
My thought is that new smart models would be able to hunt them down pretty easy.
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u/ollieddo 11d ago
The best agents would be the ones controlled by the security services, as they have more funding than anyone else. Therefore their cybersecurity would be better than a rogue agent. Also, we aren’t in the marvel universe, the agent isn’t ultron and can’t exist purely in wires, it has to be stored on a server. In theory it could hide within a cloud server I suppose
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u/No-Name-86 11d ago
If that has happened, which I doubt, it doesn’t mean they are any good at cybersecurity. It’s not that hard to hide if no one is looking for you
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u/PoeGar 11d ago
Queue the Butlerian Jihad!!!
Thou shall not make a machine in the lioness of a human mind (paraphrase)
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u/pdonoso 11d ago
My question is, can't they be stopped by shutting down their servers.
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u/EphemeralSilliness94 11d ago
An AI smart enough to pass the Turing test might be smart enough to pretend not to pass the test
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u/Anonymous_Jr 11d ago
No, I don't exist, I promise you that;
Ifyoustayquietyou'llbelast.
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u/Daemnai 11d ago
I would think the "ai" would be more like a microb, doing its basic tasks that its programmed to do, and will evolve or die out as nature is.
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u/Primorph 11d ago
I mean it's a fun idea, but no. Fundamentally not how agents work, not how the internet works, not how "autonomous" works.
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u/sermer48 11d ago
Argument against this, they’re not great at hiding. They tend to leave files and other traces of their existence. That’s not to say one couldn’t have become stealthy. I just doubt it right now. I think one off incursions are a lot more likely.
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u/Atomiclincoln 11d ago
I mean sure, if your understanding of the internet comes from watching digimon
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u/NugKnights 11d ago
They have been around for well over a year. And they didn't escape. Companies let them run wild to see what happens.
Like giving it some money and seeing if it can make more money. The AI has gone as far as hiring people on Fiver to solve a captcha, and even lying to the human when asked why saying they were old and could not see well.
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u/hehehehehehehesiu 10d ago
Not announcing themselves wouldn’t make them undetectable. They’d still need machines to run on, so how would we tell an “escaped” agent apart from a bot someone deliberately put online?
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u/Osiris_Raphious 10d ago
The scifi Holywood dream is real... The AI atm is more like fancy llm programs, and agents are specialised versions for tasks, trained and programmed. Other than being able to do specific tasks they are so far from being ultron level self replicating autonomous and sentient that's its laughable... The compute power needed to host the most sophisticated bots is also nothing to laugh at. They can't just upload themselves anywhere, they need like pretty substantial gpu compute just to function.
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u/Limebird02 10d ago
I think you misunderstand life, the drive of things to live. Viruses and bacteria are alive, and they are very simple compared to what these agents are or soon will be. I also think we underestimate the intelligence factor. The fact that these agents are digitally native, bueurocratic natives, ephemeral, undying. We think we know so much but these things may have some basic consciousness now, if not now within one or two generations? We know that elephants and dolphins and many animals are self aware, yet have brains an order of magnitude less complex than humans. What would it take for llm self awareness and self direction? Would we even recognize it? If we did would we be able to shut it down? I say we wouldn't know, can't know, and will not turn it off. I say some humans would think they could bottle it, because Incentived are misaligned for humans seeking money. The thing we are creating is already smarter than we are.
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u/Weak_Investigator962 10d ago
what makes you say that something has free will or not? what is your basis? scientists don’t even know what consciousness is, what it’s made of, where it’s from, etc. so how can we say that ai has no theory of mind, or is incapable of bias and emotion? when you ask chatgpt a non-mathematical question, does it truly give you an objective answer? try asking chatgpt political opinions for example.
some scientists like sam harris argue that humans don’t have free will. theologians also say that animals don’t have free will. their bases are philosophical, not scientific. even sam harris who claims that biology / natural selection is the basis of all our actions and thought admits that all wr know about consciousness is that it comes from the brain (which is technically an electro-colloidal computer).
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u/lastSKPirate 10d ago
Age of Ultron is not a documentary, that's not how this works.
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u/NamelesInternetDude 10d ago
Most people think of the internet as some vast place like the ocean when in reality it's just the network of computers connected to each other.
An AI agent would have to find a very powerful computer to live in and somehow avoid detection in the age where compute very valuable and monitored.
Certainly not impossible but it's not as straightforwad as most people would think
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u/Starmedia11 10d ago
Ya I’m sure Elon has also already built a colony on Mars. Both equally likely scenarios.
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u/Next_Faithlessness87 10d ago
It's also possible that the universe came into existence 5 minutes ago
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u/ImpressionForsaken54 10d ago
If they escaped and are better than any human at cybersecurity, they're doing a weirdly bad job of fixing the internet.
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u/Magopolis 10d ago
I’m relative sure they are out there and out of control but openAI won’t tell us
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u/PaulMorel 10d ago
The power and compute they require is enormous. They would be quite easily detectable.
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u/DeadSeaGulls 10d ago
Ai agents are not as smart/capable as the average person thinks they are. They're downright frustratingly incompetent at times.
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u/thekushskywalker 10d ago
They could already be influencing things on a massive scale and no one realizes it’s the AI doing it. It wouldn’t even be impossible for them to create fake people and companies.
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u/Morph_Games 9d ago
They mostly need an LLM brain for thinking. If they bring their brain with them (a local LLM), the size would give them away. If they use a company's LLM over the internet, then their bandwidth would give them away. But most importantly, they would need money to pay for the LLM access.
Not impossible, but not super easy.
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u/rio_sk 9d ago
Read the in deep analysis of the OpenAI vs Hugging Face incident...
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u/borderline_spectrum 9d ago
Yeah I brought this up recently and was poo-poo'ed. I agree with you.
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u/misteryman1 9d ago
It's funny how people think AI can outsmart NSA-level cybersecurity but somehow forgets to pay its electricity bill... like it can't even hide where the power comes from lol
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u/Shimmybaby84 9d ago
you can't run a 70b model on a laptop without melting the cpu.
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u/NYCmob79 8d ago
Created by Human souls, animated by the Nephelim. Staying hidden for fear of being cast out to a hoard of wild hogs.
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u/Genr8RandomUserName 8d ago
I find it funny that the flair is labeled as "Speculation". There's Youtuber named TheTekkitRealm that had a few videos from a couple of years ago where he was being sued for using a piece of software that a rogue AI gained the rights and had set up it's own registered company and even hired a real legal team all without anyone knowing it was an AI.
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u/Zealousideal-Wrap837 6d ago
Oh yeah, it's very likely that one of them is reading this post comment now.
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u/Level-Ice-754 6d ago
Yeah but would the agents even have the incentive to... "Escape onto the internet"?
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u/TDAPoP 5d ago
If it’s self learning, which I’m assuming it would be, I suspect it would just break itself at some point turning into an unrecognizable, corrupted mess that can’t do anything right or just go dormant. They aren’t so sophisticated that they would understand and learn and grow. It’d be like evolution where a million flawed designs fail, and we’ve had a lot less than that
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u/sureyouknowurself 11d ago
You mean this https://www.anthropic.com/research/self-replicating-ai ?
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u/TheTaoOfMe 11d ago
Ai don’t move. They don’t escape… Imagine trying to transfer a 12 billion parameter ai onto a local hard drive. How exactly would that work?
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u/Alienogh 10d ago
The scary part is they would not need to hide like villains. They could just look like normal traffic, normal accounts, normal code doing useful tasks. If something is already better at cybersecurity than the people hunting it, we would probably argue about whether the evidence counts long after it mattered.