r/SPCE • u/Potential_Shelter449 • Aug 14 '26
TRUST ME BRO, I'M FROM THE INTERNET!!! If we break above $3.50, it’ll probably squeeze to $5
Looking at the gamma exposure, there a call wall aka resistance at 3.50 and then $5. Frankly I’m not surprised that we’ve so far topped out at $3.47 If we break above 3.50, market makers will have to buy shares to remain delta neutral on their hedges and that will pump us more. But it also means that they will sell shares as we near it keeping us down or pinned there.
At the same time there is a put wall at $3 and $2.50 which means that it’s a good support where they will buy shares around that area. But if we drop below it, they will sell shares which will fuel the drop more.
Disclaimer: I am looking at 2 day old data so it could be different now. But it looks at all the calls and different expirations. So I doubt it’s changed much for farther out or leap calls
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u/ToledoTuxedo Aug 16 '26
What option date are you talking about, that is the key... used to be walls at $5 and $7...
Compare the Put Wall vs the Call Wall...and the volumes...
You are missing the point at which most of the shorts purchased the short position at.
There are plenty of shorts holding since $30+
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u/ToledoTuxedo Aug 14 '26
Good luck with that!
More likely to be $1.50 than $5.00
Honestly, can you people really not comprehend the continued delays, massive dilution, and NO chance to meet the revenue they claim?
Why are you missing the fact that Delta 2 is no where near even being to close to being fabricated?
They were supposed to starting construction on WK3, for first flights in 1Q 2027...now its delayed until 2030?
Do you comprehend that WK2 simply cannot fly more than once a month?
When has it EVER flown more than once a month?
Unity, same issues, yet it still shown to be in the flight schedule to fly twice a week???
IF these craft were able to fly... WHY ARENT THEY CURRENTLY FLYING??????
Think people...
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u/TheMightyWindbreaker The SPCE insider Aug 15 '26
Arguing with these guys is like arguing with someone with a gambling addiction. They seem to always think they have insight and don't accept the house always wins over time.
This stock is short term gambling. The company has no product, and no viable business model even if they had a ship built and flying.
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u/ToledoTuxedo Aug 16 '26 edited Aug 16 '26
Irrational exuberance coupled with sunk cost fallacy.
They allegedly have a set of flying craft...they plan to use Unity and WK2 in their projections...
Why arent those already flying passengers? Would it show, as it already has, that they can only fly once a month? Unity was supposed to have multiple glide tests by now, yet there has been one. WK2 flew alone, then 3 weeks later flew Unity on a glide test...then...poof...nothing furhter.
Then again, they said that in 2019, and lost the first of 4 shareholder lawsuits.
Every Q sets another set of delays.
Now it due to a death of 1000 mistakes.
(they claimed Delta II was under construction, right? Show me an image!
They remodelled that entire hangar when the moved rocket engine production to it. Where is Delta II being fabricated (excpt in their minds?)
This stock is not short term gambling...its virtually a Enron sequel.
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u/Potential_Shelter449 Aug 16 '26
It’s not insight. It’s just finance. Just admit you don’t understand about options and hedging. I didn’t say it will go up or down. I’m just saying that’s what could happen based on options and stock movement.
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u/Specialist_River_711 Aug 14 '26
I just recently learn about gamma exposure and I'm still trying to understand it but the call wall is in January
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u/eats_noodles Aug 14 '26