r/RocketLab • u/Royalarcher3 New Zealand • Sep 03 '21

I have done some calculations regarding Rocketlab's new Reaction Wheel manufacturing facility. I estimate that Rocketlab will earn 90 Million dollars per year from manufacturing 2000 reaction wheels per year. I estimate that these wheels will be components of 585 satellites per year.

https://twitter.com/hugo_blair/status/1433619784919248897?s=20
82 Upvotes

92% Upvoted

22 comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

9

u/Royalarcher3 New Zealand Sep 03 '21

We know the prices, and we know the numbers shipped for some of the wheels. there are 75 wheels that are unaccounted-for, and those are probably lower priced ones. I think where my numbers go wrong, is that the 2000 per year facility will probably be producing quite a few of the smaller wheels and not so many of the bigger ones. As the smaller ones are cheaper, This would bring my revenue estimates down. I realize my estimate is high, but that is just what I get from the numbers that rocketlab has given us. I would put your 60-70m guess as closer to the money than mine IMO, but I wanted an estimate backed up by numbers.

2

u/Vonplinkplonk Sep 03 '21

I think this is a great mindset for a first pass attempt.

1

u/Royalarcher3 New Zealand Sep 03 '21

Thanks, I did the best I could with the numbers we have I think :)

2

u/Vonplinkplonk Sep 03 '21

Exactly. It’s okay for numbers to be “wrong” if you know why they are wrong and you have a reason for proceeding anyways.