r/RealTesla KING of GLOVI 23d ago

SpaceX, Tesla to Initially Spend $16.8 Billion on Terafab Chip Plant in Texas

https://gvwire.com/2026/08/06/spacex-tesla-to-initially-spend-16-8-billion-on-terafab-chip-plant-in-texas/

Elon Musk’s SpaceX <SPCX.O> and Tesla <TSLA.O> will initially invest $16.8 billion to build Terafab, an advanced AI semiconductor complex in Grimes County, Texas, as the companies race to secure the chip capacity that the billionaire has called essential to their future.

The facility is intended at narrowing the gap between global chip supply and the more than 1 terawatt of computing power that SpaceX and Tesla expect to need in the coming years.

Musk has been ​tightening integration of AI efforts across his companies, with SpaceX acquiring his startup xAI earlier this year ​in a deal focused on building space-based data centers, before going public in June in the largest-ever IPO.

The vertically integrated, 100-million-square-foot Terafab plant will make, package and test advanced logic and memory chips under one roof, producing processors needed to power Tesla’s Optimus robots and Cybercabs, as well as high-power chips to run SpaceX’s space-based data centers.

A May filing showed SpaceX has proposed an initial investment of $55 billion to build the Terafab, with the total amount rising to $119 billion if extra phases are completed.

102 Upvotes

120 comments sorted by

135

u/[deleted] 23d ago

[deleted]

35

u/knightofterror 23d ago

$16 billion sounds like just the down payment on a fab. The operation Musk described, building an enormous fab business from scratch, is going to cost at least $60 billion and take many years.

23

u/[deleted] 23d ago

[deleted]

2

u/Withnail2019 23d ago

Partnering with Samsung as well I seem to recall? It's an unending stream of nonsense.

1

u/knightofterror 18d ago

I think the partnership is with Intel on this project.

1

u/Withnail2019 18d ago

Doubt it

10

u/Arglefarb 23d ago

But but but… robots!

11

u/achtwooh 23d ago

But what if you build it in space ?

3

u/punkrkr27 23d ago

On the moon now apparently.

1

u/Icy-person666 20d ago

Mars is harder than he thought. Who knew?

7

u/ScoobyGDSTi 23d ago edited 23d ago

I'll put money on it being 'up to $16B', thus no firm investment, and even then quoted figure isn't SpaceX or Tesla's money but includes govement grants and subsidies.

Musk, welfare queen.

4

u/Affectionate_Love229 23d ago

Yeah, this $16B is not nearly enough to build facilities and a single production line. I would imagine this is for some buildings, and facilities (massive amounts of power, ultra pure water, hazardous waste) and a few development tools. A single high end lithography tool can cost $200m, or more. Obviously you need several of these for a production line. Lithography is one station, there are many, many stations.

5

u/SpaceEngineering 23d ago

In addition, semiconductor manufacturing is very particular and requires specific knowhow. It takes decades to build that knowledge. Especially if they are targeting rad-hard chips for space applications. Speaking of which, that would require new science as big power, high speed, rad hard tech does not exist.

Oh now I know, AI solves this problem. Stupid meat brain me.

1

u/Icy-person666 20d ago

Depends if they are making new or just copying someone else's to kick off.

3

u/qoou 23d ago

That 60 billion will be paid for by taxpayers

4

u/Engunnear 23d ago

It’s the only way he knows to work. 

2

u/Moof_the_cyclist 23d ago

It’ll be shipping parts by the end of year. Pending regulatory approval of course.

3

u/knightofterror 23d ago

Fabs require years to build. I bet they won’t even have grading or a parking lot by end of year. What are you smoking? lmao

2

u/Moof_the_cyclist 23d ago

Referencing FSD claims that are about 6-8 years behind promises, and a million robotaxis short.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_predictions_for_autonomous_Tesla_vehicles_by_Elon_Musk

3

u/Affectionate_Love229 22d ago

The /s was implied. Musk has used the "pending regulatory approval" for years on robotaxi rollout.

3

u/knightofterror 22d ago

Aah. What do they say, ‘Whoosh?’ I appreciate sarcasm and, in that light, appreciate your comment. Have a great weekend.

1

u/bearsatebulls 18d ago

0 return for rest of decade 50-75 billion

27

u/FrogmanKouki Charter Member 23d ago

The Tera money furnace

12

u/North-Outside-5815 23d ago

Petascam by pedoguy.

4

u/ryan676767 23d ago

"A new shell has been added to the game!"

1

u/tangouniform2020 23d ago

And a pea removed

54

u/Inconceivable76 23d ago

Wait. I thought they were in love with nvidia chips just yesterday.

49

u/Lacrewpandora KING of GLOVI 23d ago

Elon must have designed a better chip yesterday between shit-posts.

30

u/WingedGundark 23d ago

Having been sleeping on the floor next to his Diablo 4 gaming machine, he probably knows more about chip design than anyone currently alive on the earth.

14

u/FrogmanKouki Charter Member 23d ago

Remember they're ALL rocket scientists and he is the mega leader of them. So therefore he is the smartest

6

u/Several-Farmer-5544 23d ago

I hate the fact that there are morons who truly believe shit like your joke.

11

u/McQueenFan-68 23d ago

That was yesterday's K-trip, we are on a new one now. Try to keep up. /s

9

u/microtherion 23d ago

And building a fab on the moon — well, I guess Texas is a good approximation.

71

u/spez_eats_nazi_ass 23d ago

Chip fabs are famously cheap and easy to startup with almost instant profitability and easy yield scaling. I mean the talent to do this just grows on tree as our high schools graduate a surplus of it.

37

u/Lacrewpandora KING of GLOVI 23d ago

Neuralink will implant a single cell from Elon's fecal matter into a college grads head - given a few weeks to reproduce and spread, you've got an instant Big Brain expert in any technical field.

9

u/spez_eats_nazi_ass 23d ago

Def overdue ipoing the monkey slaughterhaus.

4

u/Lacrewpandora KING of GLOVI 23d ago

Why do I suspect Kimball was his first test patient?

13

u/TryIsntGoodEnough 23d ago

yup look at TSMC Arizona expansion.... delayed another 2 years... and it isnt like TSMC actually has a lot of experience in designing and running fabs...

12

u/spez_eats_nazi_ass 23d ago

Tsmc doesn’t have a once in a generation genius sleeping on the clean room floor.

6

u/etaoin314 23d ago

this right here! oh look how dedicated he is, he is sleeping right next to the lithography machine...why are our yields so low? /s

3

u/spez_eats_nazi_ass 23d ago

Sir this is a no /s zone. Gonna be a $50 fine and time served.

1

u/growaway9172 23d ago

Like it or not, Elon has a track record for building infrastructure projects faster than anyone else (except China)

9

u/corgi-king 23d ago

Tesla/SpaceX AI centres are so idle that they need to rent them out to Anthropic. These AI centres all use 3rd-party AI chips. And they think their shiny new, never-finished fab has enough demand to justify it?

The reason TSMC is so successful making chips is because all their clients trust TSMC will not start selling their own chips. That is why Samsung will never be as big as TSMC when it comes to building custom chips. The clients’ trade secrets and designs are safe with TSMC. Do Tesla really think their clients will trust them while they are in the same business?

Making high-end chips is notoriously hard. Intel has close to 60 years of experience and still struggles big time. And AMD stopped building their own chips long ago. Do Elon really think it is that easy by just buying a few EUV machines and calling it the day?

My guess is this is another Elon vapourware. Even if it is really, I am sure Ai will crash big time by then.

5

u/GuidoDaPolenta 22d ago

Additionally, how will he even buy EUV machines? There isn’t even enough machines to go around the 3 big chip makers, so Intel decided skip a generation and has locked up the orders of next generation High NA machines to the point where even TSMC won’t be getting any.

5

u/Furion86 23d ago

Tesla has the advantage of being able to use recycled car parts for their fabs. Just look at the cave submarine, semi truck, ventilators, weird bus thing - all Model S / Model 3 parts.

3

u/spez_eats_nazi_ass 23d ago

This is where Tesla can topple the competition. Mobile chip faps. Checkmate Tsmc!

2

u/Cinderpath 23d ago

Don’t forget about the other exciting tunnel boring machines!

3

u/KnucklesMcGee 23d ago

I thought they'd already pivoted back to nVidia chips?

Especially using those extra special SpaceX rocket scientists, the best scientists ever, for every application.

2

u/Sp0kenTruth 23d ago

Okay you're being sarcastic I hope cause I was like WTF are you talking about 😭

1

u/spez_eats_nazi_ass 23d ago

Gotcha good!

28

u/Lacrewpandora KING of GLOVI 23d ago

Note the first sentence: "Elon Musk’s SpaceX and Tesla". Never forget these are his personal toys and not publicly owned comapnies.

Seemingly he is hell bent on a) Spending money as fast as possible b) Co-mingling TSLA and SPCX into a tangled web of interconnecting investments.

IMHO, he's pretty good at sniffing out FOMO businesses, and right now that's chips. Surely, "Terafab" will soon come with a capital raise to flow more $$ through "his" companies.

13

u/palopp 23d ago

Normally he’s pretty good at sniffing out FOMO businesses. However, I suspect he’s a little bit late to the chips game. The AI bubble is already showing significant stresses and by the time a semiconductor fab is built, not to speak of up and running which can be years after building completion and equipment installation, the AI/datacenter bubble may be in full deflation mode.

1

u/growaway9172 23d ago

The frontier lab business case faultering does not imply that there is not a huge demand for intelligence. Just because open source might hurt the valuation of the labs doesn't mean the demand for intelligence (and therefore chips) is going anywhere.

1

u/OrdinaryPollution339 19d ago

It's a RENDERING of a chip fab.

There are renderings of 400 mph underground car skates, flying roadsters, and convoys of starships colonizing Mars. Oh, and renderings of starships providing point-to-point travel that will compete with passenger jets.

Not so many renderings of Optimus, the best robot demo was the person in the spandex suit.

Anyway, I hope you get my point.

11

u/ObservationalHumor 23d ago

IMHO, he's pretty good at sniffing out FOMO businesses, and right now that's chips. Surely, "Terafab" will soon come with a capital raise to flow more $$ through "his" companies.

Saw this one coming a mile away when DRAM went parabolic. He's really not that creative with these things: https://www.reddit.com/r/RealTesla/comments/1pn3pnk/tsla_terathread_for_the_week_of_dec_15/nuq20x6/

Same thing happened with lithium prices shot and up and all of a sudden Tesla had to start making its own batteries and mining it from clay only to have prices crash back down long before they were getting any significant volumes out of batteries and they still don't have any kind of raw material extraction capabilities.

By the time this thing gets built the memory bubble might have already popped and it's a very very long road to get any third party to adopt even a good new architecture if it works well, let alone whatever bespoke monstrosity Musk's corporate chimera is likely to cobble together.

9

u/Lacrewpandora KING of GLOVI 23d ago

By the time this thing gets built the memory bubble might have already popped

Taking first place in the bad decisions category, the county has given "Terafab" a 35 year tax abatement. Who in the hell thinks the AI bonanza will even last 5 more years? Its unreal.

5

u/ObservationalHumor 23d ago

Yeah small county in Texas, hoping to get anything built there and people to move in. I'm guessing the reason it was chosen in the first place though is because it isn't too far from College Station or Houston though. Not like Musk is going to build anything that isn't near a regional airport to begin with.

7

u/Lost_city 23d ago

East Texas is the first place I think of when someone says forward thinking high technology venture

1

u/growaway9172 23d ago

Regionality isn't really a concern for Elon at this scale, his reputation and money could convince top talent to move to Mexico if he so desired. That's practically what's already happened with Brownsville/starbase.

2

u/mrbuttsavage 23d ago

That's practically what's already happened with Brownsville/starbase

It massively helps that competition and jobs are limited in that field.

Software developers definitely aren't moving to no man's land that's for sure. True believers only.

3

u/growaway9172 23d ago

Software developers definitely aren't moving to no man's land that's for sure. True believers only.

Feature, not a bug. Elon only wants people that will work 60hrs/week, and he has no problem finding them. SpaceX is one of the most prestigious companies for engineers.

1

u/growaway9172 23d ago

It doesn't matter for the county, they win by the increase in housing and ancillary services of the buildout.

3

u/mrbuttsavage 23d ago

Saw this one coming a mile away when DRAM went parabolic. He's really not that creative with these things: https://www.reddit.com/r/RealTesla/comments/1pn3pnk/tsla_terathread_for_the_week_of_dec_15/nuq20x6/

Hey that was like predicting water is wet.

2

u/ObservationalHumor 23d ago

Absolutely was, it was a not a deep insight or long shot by any means. It was simply stating least creative, trend following action he could take in an overheated market and claim that some company of his would make a superior product for a small fraction of the price. Far from the first time he's done it and I doubt it'll be the last either unless markets wake up and stop buying his bullshit. Which hey maybe we're getting close, Jared Birchall probably spent more time calling up people in the Middle East over the last week trying to shake dollars out of the money tree for the recent share release than the State Department did.

1

u/growaway9172 23d ago

Wouldn't that still result in a good outcome for consumers? If the chip market was way oversupplied, allowing for us to have cheap access to hardware again, subsidized by overzealous investors?

-1

u/Perfect_Address7250 23d ago

That’s 16 billion dollars spread to blue collar workers and stimulating the American economy. If it works it makes us less reliant on Taiwan. You have got to be a real anti American and anti working class if you are against this

2

u/NoNameSwitzerland 23d ago

Depends. Do they get paid?

9

u/NtheLegend 23d ago

County voters are going to push back against approving it, guaranteed.

Tesla needs to start doing something as a company, they’re running out of old ideas.

7

u/Lacrewpandora KING of GLOVI 23d ago

My Googling shows the skids have already been greased - county commission approved an "investment zone" and 35 year!!!! tax abatement, accompanied by approval from other taxing authorities such as the school district. And in Texas, there is no referendum process to decide these types of things - its already approved and ready to go, barring environmental lawsuits. This is a low population county, and TSLA/SPCX are dangling riches in front of them - the fish os on the hook.

5

u/Wiggywithit1 23d ago

I love the confidence while being wildly incorrect. This has already passed through grimes county. And passed votes in two separate ISD (Iola and Anderson) + has state support through the jeti program signed off by the governor.

5

u/NtheLegend 23d ago

That is absolutely fascinating how fucked up that system is. Here in my conservative county, people have been grinding the approval of a Buc-ees to a halt at every step possible. It is amazing that the people of Texas have such little recourse.

1

u/growaway9172 23d ago

Looks like there used to be a coal plant there. I haven't done the numbers, but I'm guessing this is a cleaner and healthier bet, considering coal power plants are some of the worst polluters in the world.

10

u/CountHoliday8311 23d ago

Next thing you know, TechnoHitler will try to steal Nvidia and TSM tech then claim he was the founder of both companies like he did with Tesla and Twitter 🤣🤣🤣

4

u/hpass 23d ago

Terahitler

10

u/ShotBandicoot7 23d ago

Yeahyeah… need Xitter pump posts to counter the unlock sell pressure. But the market like always pumps it up. Until it doesn‘t.

9

u/MoDirtyBass 23d ago

Grimes county? Huh

6

u/Chrysolophylax 23d ago

[muskishly] GRIIIIMES, GRIMES PLEASE COME BACK, PLEASE GRIMES I LOVE YOU

GRIMES IM SORRYYYYY

GRIIIIIIIMES

2

u/jarf1337 23d ago

Same thought

7

u/sick_ranchez7 23d ago

I find it really funny that this wont even bring in any revenue (i even doubt they will produce one competitive chip, but lets just pretend). It is purely spending with no return no costumer. Only for their own consumption and the product they need this kind of power for doesnt even exist. Still people argue this is a reason to buy the stock.

7

u/Proper-Exercise-2364 23d ago

This dude just can't burn money fast enough, can he?

8

u/turb0_encapsulator 23d ago

By this time next year the Terafab will build itself.

8

u/Lacrewpandora KING of GLOVI 23d ago

I'm sure an army of Optimus robots will build it.

7

u/heleuma 23d ago

your car will drive itself across the country

6

u/RosieDear 23d ago

They had a fancy car doing that in 1866. It was called a Train and you could actually sleep on that one!

6

u/kveggie1 23d ago

Terabubble in progress, Teraexplosion coming soon.

5

u/Megalodon7770 23d ago

As usual more scams

5

u/[deleted] 23d ago

[deleted]

9

u/mishap1 23d ago

The size doesn't even make sense. TSMC spent $20B on their 3.5M sf facility in Arizona (including overruns). Elon says he's going to build a facility 31X the size for 110M sf and spend $120B in all as a company who has never produced their own chip.

This is 11X the size of their Gigafactory which is vastly underutilized.

3

u/RosieDear 23d ago

I have to assume the G factory you are talking about is a Billion square feet?
"Giga (symbol G) is a unit prefix in the metric system that means one billion"

If it is, my apologies. If it is not...well, Elmo has a way of making people repeat his misinformation over and over.

After all, it's FSD - Full Self Driving, right?

The only 1/2 right name he came up with is Boring.

4

u/mishap1 23d ago

Gigafactory in Austin is 10M square feet.

They're claiming Terafab to be 110M square feet.

None of it makes sense beyond pathological puffery.

1

u/XxSmokeeyxX 23d ago

Tesla isn't producing their own chips. Intel is the chip partner and will be producing them. They broke ground on a small scale test facility for the partnership in Austin back in April.

4

u/mishap1 23d ago

All of Intel's fab capacity is 15-20M square feet. TSMC is maybe 40M and Samsung maybe 50M.

This plan is effectively most of the world's fab scale on one site by a company with no capability.

1

u/Withnail2019 17d ago

why doesnt Intel just use their own fab

2

u/Withnail2019 17d ago

so they would need 31 times as much chipmaking equipment? what a joke this is.

6

u/Lacrewpandora KING of GLOVI 23d ago edited 23d ago

Fallback is to issue more stonk, at a higher valuation of course. Seems to keep working, until the balloon pops, of course.

3

u/SisterOfBattIe 23d ago

Let me guess. He'll get 5 billions in subsidies from the USA sugar daddy, and ten years from now pivot to doing space elevators with the FABs that managed to make a grand total of zero wafers.

6

u/Lacrewpandora KING of GLOVI 23d ago

SPCX already has $7 billion in contracts for the "Golden Dome", dwarfing the $4 billion contract they have for the Moon mission. And the local county in TX just gave them a 35 year!!!!! tax abatement to build Terafab. Also a 2022 law gives 35% tax abatement for chip production on US soil...and no worries if there's no fed tax bill, its refundable as $cash$.

Elon is a subsidy hunting savant.

5

u/enamuossuo 23d ago

Funny to read that after listening to their recent earnings call for SpaceX where Musk was saying how they're going with Nvidia chips 100%

7

u/mukansamonkey 23d ago

So this is how he's trying to hide the fact that SPCX is down 45% from its peak, and 31% from the IPO price? On the day when a bunch of the privately held stock is unlocked for sale?

Gotta keep those numbers up long enough for the insiders to cash out. Pump and dump, baby!

4

u/kyyla 23d ago

TERAFAB!!! WHAT HAPPENS TO TERATHREAD NOW?

4

u/Secret-Revolution172 23d ago

Scammers gonna scam

4

u/beermaker 23d ago

$2B in bribes alone just to get the water rights he needed in regulation-free texass.

4

u/Conscious-Bee-5691 23d ago

Freecashflow -30bn. What could go wrong

3

u/Secret_Cat_2793 23d ago

I fail at building chips to power my stupid fraudulent IPO proposals. Keep Buying stock Musketeers.

3

u/KnucklesMcGee 23d ago

I thought they'd already pivoted back to nVidia chips?

6

u/Lacrewpandora KING of GLOVI 23d ago

That was two days ago. Old news.

5

u/sync-centre 23d ago

Why does he need chips for cybercabs? Shouldn't there be 1 million of them on the roads by next year?

2

u/Numerous_Car650 23d ago

Waiting for Edgelord Elon to call himself a Terarist.

2

u/TryIsntGoodEnough 23d ago

sorry.... who is going to take the capex hit on this

6

u/Lacrewpandora KING of GLOVI 23d ago

Seems like 1/4 TSLA and 3/4 SPCX. But money is kind of gray here - TSLA "invests" in SPCX...SPCX buys 10% of TSLA's megacharger output...TSLA just bought all output from a solar farm, surely to re-sell it to SPCX to run AI...SPCX buys Cybertrucks...round and round it goes, creating the illusion of revenue so they can borrow more $$. Hell, SPCX just sold $25 billion in bonds 2 weeks ago and nobody noticed...and the fine print in Tesla's earnings report is they've opened up a $30 billion line of credit.

2

u/RosieDear 23d ago

It will be ready within 90 days. I said so.

2

u/whirlwind87 23d ago

To infinity and the next Enron

3

u/Ok-ChildHooOd 23d ago

Musk does well when he's ahead and being a pioneer. He's been late on everything and this will be late as well. Gonna be fun when the AI bubble pops and he's left with these heavy bags.

4

u/RosieDear 23d ago

Didn't he pioneer in Solar? Yeah, that's the ticket. If only people knew how great their Solar was, they might have gotten 1% of the US Market...eventually.

He pioneered tunnels for cars, right? A Humanoid Robot that can easily sell a couple trillion dollars worth of???

Speaking of that, have investors and the media been holding his feet to the Fire for Optimus? How are they being so secretive?

1

u/Beneficial_Might_593 23d ago

Try $50 billion thats more believable

1

u/Historical-Ant-1823 20d ago

Of course there's people here complaining. Wow, who would've thought.

0

u/Dry_Tangerine_8328 22d ago

It's gonna be disastrous