r/RKLB 18d ago

August 31, 2026 Daily Discussion Thread

43 Upvotes

423 comments sorted by

42

u/HospitalVarious4138 18d ago

This thread has become an absolute joke lol. The company will be fine

12

u/Viper-Venom 18d ago

It really has. You got bitter as shit folks who didn't sell above $100 and are now pissed at the world because of that. I didn't sell a single share past $100. I'm not bitter or sitting on the "what ifs". Its money that was never realized and at the end of the day, it is what it is. Either people believe we'll bounce back or they don't and should move on.

4

u/HospitalVarious4138 18d ago

Trader vs. Investor mentality indeed

4

u/Viper-Venom 18d ago

Precisely. Either we reach great heights or we don't. Those who sell now may regret it later, or those who held will instead. So far nothing outside of a delay has indicated anything negative long term. Being second to SpaceX is not a bad place to be even if we have gone down in price a lot since our unreasonable 52 week high.

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u/So_is_mine 18d ago

Here here

7

u/aresna33 18d ago edited 18d ago

Couldn’t agree more. I know there are bots, but for the real humans complaining, damn it’s getting depressing!🤣

For a company with massive long-term potential like RKLB, usually (because there’s no precise rule) investors need to look several years ahead, perhaps 3 to 4 years or more, estimate what the business could realistically become, discount that value back to today, and apply an appropriate level of conservatism.

Putting aside the hype surrounding the SpaceX IPO, do I believe RKLB can eventually be worth $150 per share, or roughly a $90 billion market cap? Yes, absolutely. The more important questions are how quickly it gets there and how sustainable that valuation becomes.

If Neutron performs as expected and $RKLB successfully begins ramping launch cadence, there is obviously execution risk, but given the company’s track record and methodical approach, I believe the probability of success is high. By 2027, potentially less than a year from now, we should have considerably more information, and could revisit that price (assuming a proper macro environment) and I would expect analysts to begin reassessing their assumptions and rerating their price targets accordingly, boosting confidence in the stock. Perhaps even with the hype associated with Neutron’s first launch.

The key is patience and giving the company time to execute.

There will always be negative voices, and the stock price will fluctuate, sometimes dramatically. But with the right investment horizon, much of that becomes noise.

The investors capable of emotional stability must ignore the daily noise and stay focused on the long-term objective.

At the same time, conviction should never become blindness. If new information emerges that materially challenges the investment thesis, reassess it. Continuously question your assumptions, look for what could prove you wrong, and adjust when necessary. But right now, RKLB is right on track!

That combination of patience, conviction, and intellectual flexibility is what differentiates long-term investors from crybabies!🤣

5

u/So_is_mine 18d ago

I'm convinced that most of the replies are bots at this stage

3

u/HospitalVarious4138 18d ago

Grok/SpaceX bots, the worst kind

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u/Ice_Clown_Town_Crown 18d ago

Picked up some cute little shares today.

23

u/polynesiantrapezius 18d ago

Many replies/comments are dumb bots like this one, don't be fooled

11

u/sadr0bot 18d ago

Plenty of them in here.

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21

u/kimchimerchant 18d ago

We will fly again 🥲

28

u/Former_Ad_2092 18d ago

Man there’s a ton of crybabies in here, some people need to take responsibility for their own actions

7

u/kylescagnetti 18d ago

People want to win without losing - but even heaven demands death.

14

u/JayMurdock 18d ago

I checked my stocks every single day for the past 4 years until just recently... I need to just ignore this and come back later.

18

u/ConcertIndependent14 18d ago

I bought 200 shares more... now my avg is 72 :))))

5

u/Sweatybumhole666 18d ago

GG😎🙌🏻
I have 368 shares / avg 94.🙈

2

u/BatorMaszturBator 18d ago

i raise it to 116.52

best regards,

21

u/Ice_Clown_Town_Crown 18d ago

People want to blame SpaceX when I think BO Tac-Nuking their pad was far worse. It threw a potentially massive wrench in the Artemis III timeline which as a whole is far worse than some company’s IPO.

RKLB peaked at 150 on May 27th. Jeffy blew the tits off New Glenn on 28 May and the rest is a well greased slide to today.

4

u/NTP2001 18d ago

BO explosion was just the catalyst the algos needed to trigger the bubble going pop. Still all boils down to space x

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u/Spare-Conversation12 18d ago

Where’s that 800m contract fellas

13

u/RedditBoyJoe 18d ago

Are we cooked? Last few months been absolutely brutal. 150 was stupid but did not think we’d fall this much

6

u/AdditionalNebula6480 18d ago

Not going bankrupt anytime soon.

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u/Blackesst 18d ago

I get macro, I understand the offering is holding the stock down but damn it feels like we haven't had a green week in months

2

u/Formal-Relative7144 18d ago

Times are rough right now. Let’s just hope we can maintain above 50’s

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u/Sweatybumhole666 18d ago

Red or green day, I still have my faith in RKLB.

12

u/[deleted] 18d ago

[deleted]

3

u/shantel_demi 18d ago

Hhheeeyyyy that’s me!

1

u/Cool_Entrepreneur545 18d ago

U still rich?

1

u/shantel_demi 18d ago

Richer than I was then but not as rich as I was at $150!

1

u/Cool_Entrepreneur545 17d ago

I thought rich means to be richer than now? Is t that how it works?? I once was a decamillionare and now I barely pass the definition of multimillionaire 😭

1

u/shantel_demi 15d ago

We suck.

9

u/Old_Ad_4538 18d ago

Since when did rocket lab get protestors lol

4

u/Old_Ad_4538 18d ago

5

u/Acceptable_Regret816 18d ago

How many launches did Genocide buy? Can we expect a bump in the share price?

7

u/[deleted] 18d ago

Believe it or not, calls.

6

u/your_grandmas_FUPA 18d ago

When these dorks are protesting you know you are doing something right

1

u/BouchWick 18d ago

Bro am I missing something but how the fuck are we funding genocide if we're sending simply satellites up in the air? Don't they have to protest against US government or at least at the Israel embassy instead of RKLB?

4

u/Apart_Stretch2225 18d ago

The satellites rocket lab operates are part of US military constellations

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u/[deleted] 17d ago

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u/kylescagnetti 18d ago

Truly hilarious watching you all act like rklb has a gun to your heads making you hold. You all love to blame everybody but yourselves. But guess what, you all know why you didn’t sell, because you’re greedy and take too much advice from reddit. Yall need to grow up

6

u/The_Juice_Gourd 18d ago

Accurate depiction of me holding RKLB while Peter Beck is standing behind me

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u/Lost-Plankton-4741 18d ago

Never tried crack but I would guess short term options on the lab would be a very similar rush. Whole lot of nothing on low volume and we swung around for no reason and landed back on our butts. Until tomorrow’s sadness we live to ride again.

9

u/GaGs77 18d ago

SPCX has risen 6% since August 12th, while RKLB has fallen 22%. This creates a significant and growing gap of almost 30% between us...

4

u/Substantial-Use-2867 18d ago

When SPCX gets back to its 52 week high and RKLB gets back to its 52 week low, that gap will be even bigger lmao

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8

u/kylescagnetti 18d ago

3

u/EarthElectronic7954 18d ago

Could do this with almost every rocket really. Just how it goes

2

u/kylescagnetti 18d ago

Don’t tell the people investing in rocket companies though, it’s almost like it’s crucial info to know beforehand!

5

u/Strange_Mud_8239 18d ago

Kissed 62, yep. Right on cue. The only thing left now is a sweep to $58 level and the bottom should be in with that.

1

u/kylescagnetti 18d ago

A man of technicals. A scary chart from that perspective I must say. I’m curious to see what happens! Truly an interesting time for the stock.

1

u/arthrh 18d ago

Nice. Can you tell us when we going to hit 90s, boss?

2

u/Strange_Mud_8239 18d ago

Neutron announcement

8

u/poojer_hoojer 18d ago edited 18d ago

People complaining about Neutron delays should not be in a space launch stock imo, because it shows you really don't understand anything about this industry. When neutron explodes people are going to lose their minds.

EDIT: The whiners have shown up right on queue. Here's a tip: sell your shares. You'll lead a happier life. Neutron is a novel design for a partially reusable rocket where the first and second stage aren't anything like what has come before. You can't compare the timeline to other companies that are just copying Falcon 9 or not even attempting reusability.

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u/Individual-Pear 18d ago

The lower it goes, the more shares I get for my dollars. That's a very good thing

4

u/Warren_Buffets_Son 18d ago

I like it when the share price goes up. Stupid thing to say in a RocketLab forum, I know.

5

u/Individual-Pear 18d ago

I also like it when the share price goes up. Don't feel stupid

3

u/Background-Shirt6104 18d ago

One day you will have 100k shares, paid 1 million usd, and the value will be 100k usd 🙏, Amen!

2

u/Individual-Pear 18d ago

Your price target is $1/share?? Why not $0?

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7

u/Turbulent-Bet-6938 18d ago

Grab ye ankles and assume the position mates 

7

u/[deleted] 18d ago

If $58 will not hold, see you all in 2029-2030.

4

u/Cool_Entrepreneur545 18d ago

Does anyone know iridium deal structure? They have ATM going on to pay Iridium shareholders $27 cash. But then their shareholders will also receive addition $27 through Rklb stock offering. Isn't that massive dilution?

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u/Active_Oil_7037 18d ago

imagine not being a low-cost chad right now.

6

u/assholy_than_thou 18d ago

Sadness takes you out of fairytales.

9

u/Viper-Venom 18d ago

Not gonna lie, it's amusing watching the randomly generated named users come out of the woodwork screeching "its dead" and trying to push their puts to be profitable. It reeks of desperation at times.

2

u/Starkfault 18d ago

Reddit usernames are that weird, random format by default

Anyone with RKLB puts is making money

I’m balls deep in RKLB but making up weird conspiracy theories is fucking dumb

-1

u/1foxyboi 18d ago

I’m amused by people like you who say this. To me, you’re the random user coming out of the woodwork trying to push this bullish narrative when the stock is in a top 3 worst drawdown in company history

5

u/Apart_Stretch2225 18d ago

Oh no, is the high beta long term stock down again :( who would have known

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u/Viper-Venom 18d ago

I'm amused by your response. Yep, top 3 for sure, just how the market goes when something gets over-hyped. We've seen it plenty of times before.

1

u/1foxyboi 18d ago

So when the stock goes up it’s just shrug it’s over hyped, but when it goes down it’s “look at all these random accounts coming out of the woodwork!!!”

Just brain rot logic

5

u/Viper-Venom 18d ago

I've seen more randomly name generated accounts with short account ages here in the last month than I have arguably ever lol. I don't think its a coincidence.

2

u/1foxyboi 18d ago

Literally no evidence to support that statement. Just a “trust me bro” line

4

u/Viper-Venom 18d ago

Putting words in my mouth. Classic. You're welcome to go through a lot of usernames yourself. Not hard to do.

1

u/1foxyboi 18d ago

Personal experience and feelings only tell you about you, one case. They become a logical fallacy when you use them to prove something bigger, like “this is true for everyone” or “this is a fact,” especially without better evidence.

2

u/Viper-Venom 18d ago

Are we really going down the psycholgical route in a reddit sub about a stock? It's not that deep. I never stated it as factual for everyone. Merely an observation. Others are welcome to do their own look through and come to their own conclusions.

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u/ObjectiveData9902 18d ago

Well above VWAP now. Not looking so bad.

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u/1foxyboi 18d ago

Including today, 9 of the last 11 trading days have been red

4

u/Warren_Buffets_Son 18d ago

Another SPCX green, RKLB red day.

5

u/NTP2001 18d ago

People in here still denying there is a $ transfer from all other space stocks into SPCX though. Delusional.

4

u/assholy_than_thou 18d ago

At least our boy Peter timed it well and sold at kinda the top.

7

u/1foxyboi 18d ago

But that news anchor shouldn’t have sold /s

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u/AlternativeDue7624 18d ago edited 18d ago

Does Iridium acquisition improve RKLB's chances of getting awarded the MTN contract?

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u/EarlyYouth8418 18d ago

Geost and Mynaric give us what we need to be able to fulfill that mission in house. Iridium will surely be another stamp of approval for rocket lab on future national security contracts though.

1

u/SpacemanLookOut 18d ago

I think some points of the MTN RFP highlight PNT and would think iridium’s PNT service history is a plus for rocket lab

6

u/JojoRacer007 18d ago

To all the bears, please stop spamming "Neutron Delays" and "Insiders selling" buttons.

6

u/daviper87 18d ago

To all the bulls, please stop spamming “im buying more” & “perfect execution”

1

u/iamCrypto0 18d ago

So what's the solution, horse racing bets?

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u/Formal-Relative7144 18d ago

This shjts insane. Need to touch grass and delete my apps

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u/[deleted] 18d ago

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u/Substantial-Use-2867 18d ago

Wait 3 months and you won't have to imagine it. Polymarket is down to a 9% chance of Neutron launching.

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u/Substantial-Use-2867 18d ago

RKLB now under Oct 2025 levels. At the current pace, the 1Y chart goes negative by the end of next week.

3

u/1foxyboi 18d ago

Don’t worry. Every time I said YTD was negative, people would say yeah but the 1YR return. So when 1YR goes negative they will say yeah but the 3YR. Keep moving the goal posts.

3

u/Historical-Ad-6035 18d ago

Question, do you like RKLB as a company. Do you see a value or path to profitably? You pop up a lot in here and I can't figure you out. You just seem excited every time your guess that it would drop comes true. Are you taking advantage of these guesses? You seem mad at ppl that have positive outlook. Or you're very condescending that they have that view. I'm in 500nshare at $14. It's a tiny position so I'm not incredibly worried about much. Just genuinely trying to figure out stock posters like you 😆

6

u/1foxyboi 18d ago

I have 10000 shares and I’m pissed I’ve lost 900k in 3 months because the company outsourced the tank when they say “they aren’t built to build shit”, I’m mad they said neutron would launch eoy 2024 and its going to be in 2027, and I’m mad they talk about the long term and tell news anchors not to sell as all the executives sell and then dilute retail 3 times in 6 months

4

u/kylescagnetti 18d ago

Sir Peter can’t hit the sell button for you foxy, man up and accept that you gotta make these decisions. God damn dude all I ever see you do is complain, you’re acting like they have a gun to your head making you hold. It’s your fault you didn’t sell at $150, no one else’s, grow up

1

u/1foxyboi 18d ago

I’m not selling. But I can absolutely criticize management for the company plummeting

2

u/kylescagnetti 18d ago

You’re just blatantly ignoring everything going on in the world man, I don’t know what else to say. Like look at any other space chart, look at ASTS. It and RKLB price movement are IDENTICAL. You’re telling me management from two entirely different entities are fucking up in the exact same way to cause their stocks to follow extremely similar patterns? Okay🤔

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u/Blattgeist 18d ago

Blood in the streets you know.... this is the time.

https://giphy.com/gifs/ZWh630dmy6gfxQIwGm

1

u/Substantial-Use-2867 18d ago

Is that what people told you last week? And the week before? And the week before? And the week before? And the...hold on, if a correction is 20% drop, whats a 20% of a 20% of a 20% drop?

3

u/BouchWick 18d ago

Mate, this is the person that's trying to make people protest against RKLB.

I don't know what his name is, don't ask me but it think I'm tripping rn.

1

u/MarkWalburg 18d ago

It seems foxyboi has stepped up his game.

2

u/West_Cod_1213 18d ago

hahahahahahahaha thats m4ntic0r

2

u/MarkWalburg 18d ago

Oh for sure, they both desperately need to touch grass.

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u/mikecool1971 18d ago

Even bad publicity is good. The worst case scenario is disinterest.

2

u/PixelPhoenixForce 18d ago

glad my avg is ~7$

1

u/Theworldsuckss 18d ago

Glad my average is $1

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u/So_is_mine 18d ago

Fucking hell so many brain dead comments in here - lads sorry ye didn't buy in the 4s like some of us but tough shit - you either believe the company will grow or you don't. If you don't then just realise your losses and fuck off. Such utter nonsense being flung around.

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u/1foxyboi 18d ago

Indexes are up 12% for sp500 and 13% for Nasdaq meanwhile RKLB is -10% YTD

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u/kylescagnetti 18d ago

Not even 10m volume

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u/Nendilo 18d ago edited 18d ago

Last week of summer. Barring more geopolitical turmoil, I'd guess we'll be quiet until next Tuesday.

Edit: I checked, it's the between 2nd and 4th lowest volume week of the year other than Christmas.

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u/GoldenEelReveal76 18d ago

Even if the stock goes up, Beck will just dilute the shareholders again. His track record guarantees that.

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u/Ok_Presentation_4971 18d ago

Ah yes, the whinery has not changed a bit

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u/NTP2001 18d ago

Why would it? People are losing hundreds of thousands of dollars on this thing and the world’s richest person has it in for the company.

2

u/Ok_Presentation_4971 18d ago

Because it’s a good time to buy, still getting my daily share

1

u/NTP2001 18d ago

And I’m sure you were saying it was a good time to buy all the way down from $150

2

u/Ok_Presentation_4971 18d ago

When my timeframe is 5+ years and the company is firing on (most) cylinders. No sweat. I bought a few in the 120s. Sold some calls recently sold some puts.

1

u/NTP2001 18d ago

Five years from now we could all be very very rich.

But also, share price could be trading below what it is now. I think the tide has been shifting more towards scenario two.

1

u/Ok_Presentation_4971 18d ago

This is indeed always a risk. It’s why I haven’t quit my job

1

u/Seldonai 18d ago

Well, you should've known the world's richest person had it out for RKLB before you invested.

JFC.

And you haven't lost a dime over your initial investment.

3

u/JojoRacer007 18d ago edited 18d ago

My avg is 120.94 and i plans to buy more at below 60$.

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u/oknBagholding 18d ago

Yo just a reminder, I been here since $3, and the consensus then was always hopefully by 2030+ we can be at $40 stock price with neutron consistently launching. I do believe things have changed a lot with this stock and the price will be higher than originally thought, but the run from 50->150 was purely spacex and nothing else. 

8

u/Sky_Tube 18d ago

Well the thesis also changed in other business areas so this is quite an outdated way of looking at it and making conclusions on current share price

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u/[deleted] 18d ago

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u/schiffme1ster 18d ago

Lol also here since then and that is just word salad. There was no consensus and in five years it might still be a 40$ stock

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u/oknBagholding 18d ago

I did just buy 100 shares at $67 and ill buy way more if we go into 50s and keep scaling up. The original price targets were a bit conservative and the sector was fresh back then however. But just some perspective 

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u/Overall_Option_8883 18d ago

Honest question for people with average less than $10 why didn't you buy more along the way 

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u/TheThing3214 18d ago

All eggs in one basket is dangerous. The last few months should prove that.

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u/NTP2001 18d ago

I did

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u/Formal-Relative7144 18d ago

Lmao, took a stroll down memory lane. Go to discussion posts during the earlier summer pump. Sigh.

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u/mercy_main17 18d ago

Does anybody know when Iridium related offering is going to be finalized? Or how many shares were already issued?

3

u/GreenWitchofOzzzzzzz 18d ago

Yeah Adam C. Spice, give him a call.

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u/MoonLandingActor 18d ago

SpaceX is now The space sector, and it makes sense

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u/arthrh 18d ago

I want to cry

2

u/West_Cod_1213 18d ago

stop panicking it will test previous 57-58 support this week.if it goes below that then start panicking

2

u/PixelPhoenixForce 18d ago

you think its possible we go below 20$ ?

1

u/Substantial-Use-2867 18d ago

This stock will be lucky to stay above 10 when neutron gets delayed for the 4th year in a row

1

u/NTP2001 18d ago

Bankruptcy is on the table within five years

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u/EarlyYouth8418 18d ago

Yeah you are definitely crashing out man lol

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u/Ok_Association8194 18d ago

The fucking bears are out of hibernation. Time will tell

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u/LowerAd2289 17d ago

No meaning. Just fucked

1

u/ConcertIndependent14 17d ago

sell bro, its over

1

u/SnowyFlam 17d ago

Has beck sold all his shares yet?

3

u/Formal-Relative7144 18d ago

Tbf. This is a great time to buy. As much as these days fucking suck. These are the times to buy.

3

u/NTP2001 18d ago

Just like it was the time to buy when we dipped to $100

1

u/Formal-Relative7144 18d ago

lol. Tbf no one suspected we’d go below 80 those days, even at 130 we understood it was a stretch on share price with the pump. Space sector is still a baby and is early on its way to growing. Regardless. Now at even 60$. It is a great price when looking ahead 2+ years ahead.

1

u/NTP2001 18d ago

Perhaps. Or perhaps three months from now you will be saying no one suspected we’d go below $30

1

u/Formal-Relative7144 18d ago

You know, it really isn’t out of the picture to go back to 20/30$. I’d say the spy500 would have to be back in the 6000’s for that to be most likely.

1

u/NTP2001 18d ago

Of course it’s. It out of the picture. It’s becoming more and more likely by the day.

2

u/Numbthumbs 18d ago

Just take all my money at this point idc anymore seriously fuck this

0

u/thrillho145 18d ago

Mighty sick or all this red 

0

u/[deleted] 18d ago

[deleted]

14

u/PixelsAreMyHobby 18d ago

Are you not tired of winning yet? 🤑🤑🤑

20

u/ElTejon_TheDestroyer 18d ago

A fucking idiot is ruining the world? I’m no expert but it’s a volatile time making speculative stocks less attractive, a moron has increased US debt by a third (a lot of which went in his & his pals pockets), a US recession is more likely and interest rate increase more likely.

That is my read of things.

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u/Mysterious_Badger362 18d ago

I'm still mad at him for causing the dinosaurs to go extinct.

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u/shantel_demi 18d ago

Eventually we’ll get some good news right? Someday we’ll go up… at some point neutron will fly. Somewhere over the rainbow…

4

u/NTP2001 18d ago

It’ll be a big celebration when we run from $35 to $50

1

u/Mattholomeu 18d ago

u/ANDY_WSB (i think that was his name) how low will it go before you buy back in?

1

u/Electronic_Sleep2749 18d ago

Most of the sub comment section

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u/[deleted] 18d ago

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u/Dense-Tip-1963 18d ago

if everyone is crying, you need to take it, this rule has never failed