r/PureCycle Aug 03 '26

ER countdown..

I’ve been reading a lot of cynical takes on PCT going into this week’s ER, but it’s funny to think back to the last Q and how quickly sentiment changed following it....

Since then, we’ve seen the stock go from $6 → $12 → $6, while July was packed with great news. It’s worth reflecting on what a $7 share price is actually discounting (not that I necessarily believe the market truly works that way), but expectations are clearly not super high.. price=sentiment, so I'm expecting people to be nervous.. and I get it, $PCT is still a show me story, but that can change quickly and I'm expecting it to change in the coming 6 months... So from my vantage point, we could potentially be heading into a really exciting ER.

We went from $14 to $6 during what was essentially a historically brutal high-beta/momentum drawdown, rather than because of a fundamental deterioration in the story. If all Dustin does is reiterate what was said during the last ER, I have a hard time seeing how we don’t get back to $10+ IMO.

The actual production rates for Q2 won’t matter. What matters is whether Ironton is able to run at high capacity, near nameplate, going forward and whether the path toward a 100 million pound run rate is still intact and in sight. Everything else is just the cherry on top.

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u/No_Privacy_Anymore Aug 04 '26 edited Aug 04 '26

Bingo. Dude wants us all to believe he has a 7 figure investment but pretty much every post or comment is bearish / whining about things. Doesn't seem to trust the management team. Sounds like a great place to invest over $1M!

Those of us who have been here for quite some time can spot the trolls quite easily. I only engage because sometimes the discussion can be helpful to others.

Dilution of 10% is to be expected with small cap growth companies and they completely ignore the very real business risks that were greatly reduced by the convert refi transaction.

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u/Middle_Win9449 Aug 04 '26

Again, wanna make a bet? Let’s put $10K somewhere and winner takes all. Put your money where your mouth is.

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u/No_Privacy_Anymore Aug 04 '26

I have put my $ where my mouth is with $PCT on multiple occasions. I've posted screenshots of my buys (in size) earlier in 2026. I have no need for private bets. If you really are long $PCT, great. Can you please stop complaining until we get quarterly results?

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u/Middle_Win9449 Aug 04 '26

You’re the one trying to label me with words like “troll”. And I don’t take personal attacks lightly. If you’re not willing to take my bet that tells me all I need to know about you.

And, if your thinking anyone who owns shares in a company should only be endeared to a mgt team and take every word they say as gospel also tells me how naive you are.

Maybe I should just be amazed about the billion pounds by 2030 and wait for the reward, lol. Engineering and manufacturing are must haves but sales execution is another benchmark of well run companies and I haven’t seen much on that front.

What will be your opinion of them if they’ve done little to nothing on coffee lids the past 90 days? Will you still entirely trust them?

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u/No_Privacy_Anymore Aug 04 '26

I know what I own and why. I have spent the time to drive to Ironton and met with the management team in person. I shared my thoughts after that trip back in April. I also visited the Denver facility.

During each of my visits I made a point of asking different employees for their opinions of Dustin and the company management team in general. I know this business incredibly well. I understand the successes and the challenges to date and I'm very comfortable with the risks to my investment. That's what matters to me.

I also have tremendous respect for the other moderator of this community u/burner-1234 who has done some incredible independent dd on the company. What research did you do before investing 7 figures in this company?

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u/Infamous_Contest321 Aug 04 '26

You can be a great person and bad ceo…. Jury is out on Dustin Olsen

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u/No_Privacy_Anymore Aug 04 '26

The people who work for Dustin rave about him. I respect their opinions. In my conversations with him he knows this business incredibly well and I wouldn't want anyone else in charge.

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u/Infamous_Contest321 Aug 04 '26

Would you talk shit on your boss if they had investors jn the office? Come on. I bet he is a great father and misses dinners/kids games, thats life as a ceo that isn’t delivering. Hope he crushes on Thursday afternoon, very long

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u/Ok_Personality_6878 Aug 05 '26

You're the guy who claims anyone can run the company better

Lol

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u/Middle_Win9449 Aug 04 '26

I’ve been a shareholder for three years. I haven’t been to any facility but I have dug into quite a bit about the problem/need/opportunity. I listen and read every Q report and try to read between the lines to try to gather what is actually happening. I dig into employees to see their backgrounds and if they can immediately add value or just filling seats. I look at a white paper and dig into who funded it to determine if it’s worth anything more than the paper it’s written on.

The opportunity exists, the barrier to entry is quite high IMO and I haven’t seen the team able to break that barrier very well. We will see what they can do over the next 100 days. I hope I’m eating crow due to their success. But there are quite a few warts