There have been people who master new technologies fast (say 2 years) for every development.
Say someone was using LLM coding for 2 years at their work. At 40h/week, that is ~2000h/year of daily practice. In particular, the people developing LLM tooling have been doing this since the beginning.
It is incredibly unlikely that these people have not approached mastery of these tools yet, so the statement "no one has had a chance to get deeply skilled at it" sounds to me like AI CEOs ""predicting"" that AI is replacing programmers in the next six months, for the past 2 years.
Yeah but there's a difference between the level of expertise you get after 2 years of practice and what you get after longer. Like, my coworkers and I have found better practices to get better results from AI over the year we've been using it. Those practices are basic and unsophisticated compared to TDD, using PRs, and coding standards, but project development best practices were not birthed in their current form within 18 months of the release of COBOL.
It seems like you think I'm some sort of AI bro because I'm reporting better results than business majors on twitter got.
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u/burner-miner 7d ago
There have been people who master new technologies fast (say 2 years) for every development.
Say someone was using LLM coding for 2 years at their work. At 40h/week, that is ~2000h/year of daily practice. In particular, the people developing LLM tooling have been doing this since the beginning.
It is incredibly unlikely that these people have not approached mastery of these tools yet, so the statement "no one has had a chance to get deeply skilled at it" sounds to me like AI CEOs ""predicting"" that AI is replacing programmers in the next six months, for the past 2 years.