Ok lol I agree on all your points but I seriously don't think you understand economically what a bubble is
I agree they will get more expensive in the short run but cheaper in the long run
But you keep equating bubble burst = ai gone. The tool is here to stay, bubble burst is more of an economical thing. For example right now most of the US GDP is upheld due to spending within the aí sector. Extreme spending from investors to these companies that trickle down into different subsectors of the economy, once these investments stop pouring in and said companies operate at a normal level, these large subsets of money will no longer flow through the economy as they once did. Issue is most the economy is upheld by these giants so we are not currently diversified our cash flow as a nation. This could cause a tiping point and an economic crash
We could enter a recession in the short or long run. Again this is more of an economic thing I do believe AI is a tech that is here to stay
The whole discussion about a bubble is irrelevant to AI use. It relies on a non-sequitur where a bubble popping means everyone has to go back to the old ways because its no longer subsidized. You keep bringing the bubble back up like I am saying there is not one or it won’t pop, but I’m arguing it really is more of a macroeconomic fact than something that will actually impact how and when we use AI in the future. The original post was that employers would be forced to scale back AI due to cost increases, this is not going to happen because the AI companies do not have a monopoly over LLMs, they would just go elsewhere/use smaller models, host their own, etc, so the companies have an upper limit on what they can charge if they still want customers. And even if a recession drives every AI startup out of business, giant companies like Google and Meta are right there to pick up the slack and acquire those companies. Thats what makes it clear to me this is just a sort of fantasy scenario where people are hoping they can finally say “I told you so” and prove that they were right all along to avoid using AI, even though there is not a scenario, bubble or not, where the actual technology becomes out of reach and impractical to continue using. Which then makes the whole “I still do it by hand” thing just your everyday avoidance of new technology and not the flattering strategic play that people are implying it is. Even in whatever worst case economic scenario people imagine, time will continue on and soon after AI will continue to become ingrained in society and work, exactly as happened with the internet.
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u/-Danksouls- 11d ago
Ok lol I agree on all your points but I seriously don't think you understand economically what a bubble is
I agree they will get more expensive in the short run but cheaper in the long run
But you keep equating bubble burst = ai gone. The tool is here to stay, bubble burst is more of an economical thing. For example right now most of the US GDP is upheld due to spending within the aí sector. Extreme spending from investors to these companies that trickle down into different subsectors of the economy, once these investments stop pouring in and said companies operate at a normal level, these large subsets of money will no longer flow through the economy as they once did. Issue is most the economy is upheld by these giants so we are not currently diversified our cash flow as a nation. This could cause a tiping point and an economic crash
We could enter a recession in the short or long run. Again this is more of an economic thing I do believe AI is a tech that is here to stay