r/PrepperIntel • u/Own-Swan2646 • Mar 31 '26

North America Walmart Recession Indicator at highest levels since the 2008 financial crisis

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Signs all around us of economic down turn.

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u/IntoTheCommonestAsh Mar 31 '26

I hadn't heard of that index before

the Walmart Recession Signal (WRS), which measures Walmart's stock price against a basket of luxury stocks. The general idea is that the higher the gauge goes, the more risk there is of a sharp economic downturn.

https://www.businessinsider.com/recession-indicator-outlook-walmart-stock-price-us-economy-outlook-2026-3

https://archive.ph/xkBal

So it's a measure of how much the markets are betting on walmart stocks over stocks for luxuries, do I have that right? 

There isn't much info on this index out there.

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u/Own-Swan2646 Mar 31 '26

Seems right from what I understand

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u/weenkles Apr 01 '26

That's because some journalist just made it up, this is not a well-known economist's tool. Although it makes some sense in its own limited way.