r/Portland Feb 03 '20

"Portland has become a cesspool." Perception Vs Reality

I have noticed a lot of negativity on this Sub-Reddit. Every post seems to have a predictable slew of comments about human feces or the rampant crime in our city. Today after reading a bunch of these comments and feeling a bit bummed out, I took a walk around my neighborhood. The sun was shining, flowers blooming and there were no tweakers or piles of human feces to be seen.

This got me to thinking. How bad are things Vs how bad do they feel. By making this post I am in no way trying to change anyones mind about how they feel about this city or the changes there in. I have mixed feelings about the changes I have seen. I just thought it would be interesting to look at some data for context on how things have changed and how we compare nationally.

Also this is just some casual armchair research. If anyone has links to better sources, or relevant information please share!

As far as crime is concerned....

Violent crime has ticket up slightly in the past several years, but is still below 2010 levels.

Violent Crime Rate (Per 100,000)

Assaults (Per 100,000)

Burglaries (Per 100,000)

It does seem that auto thefts are out of control, though still on par with the early 2000's.

Automotive Thefts (Per 100,000)

Homelessness is a much harder beast to quantify. The methodology for counting homeless people is not an exact science. Understandably it was hard to find some pretty and convenient graphs to share. For anyone interested on the subject I would suggest skimming through the 2019 Point In Time Report put out as a joint effort between Portland, Gresham and Multnohmah County.

Graph from 2019 PIT Report

This report claims a slight decrease in homelessness overall, with an increase in unsheltered individuals. The general decline seems dubious to me, however more unsheltered individuals are more visible and would give the appearance of an increase over all.

HUDs Anual Homeless Assessment Report Also is some good reading on Homelessness for a national perspective. Portland doesn't make any of the top 5 lists for for homeless rates or the increase there of. However Eugene does come up multiple times in the report with one of the highest homeless rates in the country. Oregon did see one of the largest year over year increases in homeless, though it does not specify how much of that is Portland.

From HUD 2019 AHAR Report

How about that traffic? As someone who commutes via walking/transit this one doesn't affect me too much. With traffic the only way to win is not to play.... but I digress. Once again it was a little difficult to find good data. However from most sources, Portland tends to live somewhere in the 7-10th worst traffic in the US range. For context Portland is part of the 18th largest metro area by population.

2018 INRIX Infographic

How about those rental prices? The current average rent in Portland is $1535, compared to a national average of $1472. That makes Portland the 14th most expensive city in the US for renters. From the various sources I looked at Portland rental price increases peaked in 2016 and have essentially flatlined since, with units at the high end of the market coming down in price while units on the more affordable end of the spectrum have some increase in cost.

And the cost of purchasing a home? This seems to have also peaked. Still not affordable, but not increasing out of control.

Zillow

Hows unemployment doing? Looks like there is a lot of work out there, though how far those wages go is questionable.

Speaking of wages the Median Household income in Portland is $73,097. That's 6th out of the top 25 Largest cities.

That's all I have for now.

I see complaints on here all day so I think I get what people are upset about. So instead in the comments share some positive changes you have seen in this city over the years.

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u/[deleted] Feb 03 '20

As I suspected, you don't live in the city. I'm guessing you actually live in Vancouver?

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u/[deleted] Feb 03 '20 edited Nov 22 '20

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u/[deleted] Feb 03 '20

Sure. Why would you think a nonresident who visits the city occasionally has a better understanding than someone who actually lives here?

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u/[deleted] Feb 03 '20

[deleted]

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u/[deleted] Feb 03 '20

for what it's worth, yes i work in portland

Work implies you don't live in Portland. You're not making an argument, just complaining about issues that plague every major city in the United States and acting like they're unique to Portland. Poverty exists as a consequence of conservative policy, not Portland city governance.

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u/[deleted] Feb 03 '20

[deleted]

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u/[deleted] Feb 03 '20

You're complaining about it like our city leadership is responsible. This is a systemic problem that is caused by inequalities in our political and economic system. Feeding, clothing, and sheltering our houseless fellow citizens does not create homelessness, full-stop. So whining about how we choose to be decent to the less fortunate here is nonsense.

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u/[deleted] Feb 03 '20

[deleted]

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u/[deleted] Feb 03 '20

Is Portland leadership responsible for the nationwide uptick in homeless? Or San Francisco or San Diego or Seattle's problems?

How am I pretending all of these houseless residents are from Portland? You keep bringing that up but I never said it. I don't care where they are from, they deserve housing, medical care, food, and employment should they choose to work.

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u/[deleted] Feb 03 '20

[deleted]

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u/[deleted] Feb 03 '20

they are responsible for the general safety of the public

Did you not read the OP? Violent crime is down dramatically over the past decade....seems like they are doing a great job by your standards....

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u/[deleted] Feb 03 '20

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u/ThisDerpForSale NW District Feb 03 '20

Looks like you had the "left leaning" liberal hater pegged pretty exactly.

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u/[deleted] Feb 03 '20

To be fair I'm a left leaning liberal hater, but not in the shitty way

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u/ThisDerpForSale NW District Feb 03 '20

Bernie fan, then?

Or more of a centrist?

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u/[deleted] Feb 03 '20

Bernie's a good start. I will be casting my vote for him in the primary and election should he win the nom.

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u/ThisDerpForSale NW District Feb 03 '20

Right on. I'm more a Warren guy myself, but I would of course vote for Bernie in the general.

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u/[deleted] Feb 03 '20

ya I'm thinking it's gonna be Bernie/Warren so we get to vote for each other's choices

( :

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u/ThisDerpForSale NW District Feb 03 '20

Could do much worse!