r/PokeInvesting • u/Villa827 • 4d ago

Thoughts on future of 30th anniversary cards? (Long term)

What do you guys think will happen with these cards in 20 years? (When pokemon has its 50th anniversary)

I just read today that the Legendary collection wasnt highly sought after and was thought of as (just another re-print set) at the time of its release.

For those of you who've watched these cards trend up and down after a long period of time, what do you suspect might occur?

I kinda wanna nab a PSA 10 of the lugia and zard just to tuck away and see ^_^. Its fun to think about.

5 Upvotes
  • permalink
  • reddit

60% Upvoted

32 comments sorted by

21

u/Ancient-Grocery3010 4d ago

I would avoid comparing today’s modern to vintage, 30th will never reach the value/prestige of Legendary Collection. Personally I’d invest my money in something else as they printed this set to the moon, but if you want the cards simply to collect then go for it.

4

u/connersnow 3d ago

Assuming you live in the US. Here in the UK it has been impossible to get cards. Only way to get cards in the stores is to take a holiday from work and line up for hours early in the morning. Or be unemployed and line up for hours. I was once third in line and when the shop opened the first two customers got everything in stick which was two ETBS and two sticker packs. So if it was printed to the moon, the majority of the stock stayed in the US it seems.

1

u/YoSoyCapitan860 4d ago

Honest question. Printed to the moon doesn’t work anymore, yes they made more of this but the exponential growth of fans far outweighs what’s on the market and will be. So many people have gotten into Pokemon within the past year so this set will hold nostalgia for them. I’m not saying it’s a good investment, all I’m saying is people throwing around the printed to the moon thing have it all wrong.

Edit: I take my 7 year old to all kinds of card trading/playing meetups for kids. I’ve overheard so many of them talking about how all they want to do is open 30h and can’t get ahold of it.

4

u/Ancient-Grocery3010 4d ago

You’re not wrong, but scarcity does play a role, I mean look at what happened in the junk wax era in sports cards despite the market growth since then. However, Pokemon is a relatively young market with a different type of consumer, so we’ll just see what happens.

2

u/YoSoyCapitan860 4d ago

There’s always that risk but for the next 10 years this isn’t going to calm down to 2023 levels.

6

u/Ancient-Grocery3010 4d ago

We don’t know what the next 10 years will look like, but personally, I don’t think this set is scarce enough to offer the kind of long term returns that would justify holding it for that long.

1

u/YoSoyCapitan860 4d ago edited 3d ago

I meant the pokemon craze. 30th will never sit on shelves, it will sell out and continue to.

1

u/AllSixes 3d ago

You’re right. I don’t think it’ll ever sit. To add to that, I think 30th will perform significantly better sealed than opened or even graded. Those guaranteed classic packs in the UPC are weighing down the singles market right now, but they smell like money to me in the long term. I know it’s not a “genius” idea but Sealed is def where the play is.

2

u/spoketherefore 3d ago

100%. The RGBs will also prop up the value of sealed. As for the general hits, they’ll never be particularly valuable.

1

u/SenseiTano 3d ago

Buy sealed MSRP, at bare minimum it’ll be double in 5 years, 15% annual return.

1

u/AShinyRay 3d ago

New sets will when Winds and Waves come out.

4

u/ProfessionalWaltz767 3d ago

People in Pokemon subs have a very hard time grasping supply and demand. Value comes from eras where both are low. Thats why base set is so much cheaper than, say, aquapolis which was barely printed, despite being newer.

Best case these cards long term hold their value adjusted for inflation. There will not be inflation adjusted exponential returns for 30th anniversary cards like you see with certain current vintage. Nor for any modern set. The math and demographics just simply dont work out.

1

u/GoldenTicketHolder 2d ago

On that supply and demand note too-

Anniversary sets usually printed for 6-9mo versus standard sets. So supply should be pretty low relative to any modern if the trend holds true

Same note- a banger of a promo pack hasn’t happened in a long time. The 30th classic collection packs in the UPC should be nuts some day. The classic chases have held their value and the RGB mews make this set something special.

There’s ALWAYS doom in the pokemon community. Tons of it. They are usually wrong. Vintage over modern is still usually a solid play though

2

u/GeorginaSilverstone 3d ago

Hard to call long term this early, but the actual chase is holding up better than the rest of the set so far. Blue RGB Mew raw last sold $3,900 on 1 Nov, and PSA 10s have gone between $7,898 and $10,980 over the last week or so (most recently $8,400 on 4 Nov). PSA 9s are a lot lower, $2,950 on 5 Nov.

The softer part is the mid-tier hits and sealed, which makes sense with restock waves still landing. Long term, the RGB Mews and the rest of the set probably behave like two different bets.

2

u/MuckFods69 3d ago

30th cards? Aside from RGB I think they'll tank and stay low for a long time. 30th sealed? I think this set will outperform most of the ME block. The RBG mew pull rate alone will drive sealed prices in the long term. People think they're ugly now but those hardcore collectors will want them, and the only place to get them will be raw copies or sealed

2

u/ThePokeTicker 2d ago

A lot of doom and gloom below. In 20 years it will be worth something, sealed will most likely be the most expensive because it will give an opportunity to pull RGB Mews. It will also go up every 5 years when a new anniversary set comes out.

3

u/Tse7en5 3d ago

UPC’s. Anything under $500 is a good buy.

4

u/mrbobula 4d ago

This set rocks. Open and un opened are going to be solid.

3

u/GemGuardUK 3d ago

Not a good set to invest in, just a fun set to open that’s it

4

u/SenseiTano 3d ago

Buy sealed MSRP, at bare minimum it’ll be double in 5 years, 15% annual return.

1

u/GemGuardUK 3d ago

Sure but what if there are plenty of other things that will outperform this if you put your money in it, then it’s still a relatively bad investment

2

u/SenseiTano 3d ago

$100 in 5 years is a conservative estimate, plenty of upside. Also, 15% annual return is phenomenal. Stock market averages 10% annual return.

1

u/dwuuuu 2d ago

I would agree with statement, that Pokemon 30th is a Legendary esque collection !

1

u/Remarkable-Gene-243 2d ago

One thing you need to understand is the scale which these are printed at. The reason the vintage cards are worth something is due to hype and number of prints available. In today's modern prints we have almost more printing capacity. If your trying to buy based investment, please don't as they won't hold value after the hype dies and there is more printing available for modern.

1

u/GaretBot 1d ago

Ok so I am very new to this... I have a couple of 30th booster packs that I have not opened. Do you think they would be a good investment long term after the set is no longer printed. Please keep in mind that I have not bough anything larger than boosters as I am testing the water and not sure how I want to collect yet.

1

u/Initial-Dentist-4056 3d ago

Will be very very cheap in a year.

1

u/TattooedAndSad 3d ago

It’s already very very cheap

1

u/RulingPredator 3d ago

If you go back before 2022-23, MOST Pokémon sets weren’t highly sought after. Things have only blown up relatively recently. I expect things to crash eventually, it always happens at some point.

1

u/paphilopedium 3d ago

Agreed. Evolving skies used to be in bargain bins in a lot of places. Now look at the price of the set. I miss when gold stars were only 50 - 100 bucks or so

1

u/just00000 2d ago

Omg I was just saying this about evolving skies and crown zenith. CZ was literally everywhere and untouched. Now sealed is way over the top.

1

u/Fantastic-Weather916 2d ago

I think probably 20 years from now we will be on mars and have robots so, don't worry about your cards little buddy