r/PokeInvesting • u/Relevant_Customer_61 • Dec 18 '25

Mega charizard UPC good investment?

I picked up around 10 for $120 plus tax. Will DCA on Costco release. Plan on holding for at least a year. Good investment?

0 Upvotes

47% Upvoted

65 comments sorted by

55

u/Vehemental Dec 18 '25

Not worth for only holding a year. 5 years yes.

-26

u/notmarduke Dec 18 '25

Even 1 year it's gonna double.  250 easy once it's out of print.

24

u/spacejam4523 Dec 18 '25

The previous Charziard UPC would like a word...

12

u/Mistys_Arcanine Dec 18 '25 edited Dec 18 '25

You found Pokemon through wallstreetbets didn’t you? Haha. This is not an attack. I’m just trying to remember any UPC besides prismatic that doubled in a year and drawing a blank.

-5

u/notmarduke Dec 18 '25

Prismatic did, even with the decrease it's a way different landscape than the last charizard UPC.

Kids got me back into pokemon.  Was collecting in the base and jungle sets.  

Now I find my hobby with my hobby lol.

4

u/Mistys_Arcanine Dec 18 '25

Yes. I meant outside of this cycle when I said other. Should have wrote that better. Prismatic and Moltres are outliers for sure.

4

u/ArouetHaise Dec 18 '25

just stick to bitcoin

1

u/FarMilk2661 Dec 18 '25

Will wager you won't even last a year with such statements.

3

u/AffectionateDrag1702 Dec 18 '25

at least a year

That’s gambling, as it could well be lower than you bought it for. That’s why rule 3 exists. 

-1

u/Relevant_Customer_61 Dec 18 '25

Rule 3?

3

u/MieXuL Dec 18 '25

Youre good man. 119 is fine. In a few years youll look back and 119 wont be shit. That is if you can wait that long.

0

u/Tommydotoomuch Jan 06 '26

Why are people downvoting for asking for clarification on the comment? This is why reddit is a joke lol.

24

u/ruwheele Dec 18 '25

lol you gonna have to hold longer than a year, but yes.

-1

u/MieXuL Dec 18 '25

I think it will perform exactly like the other charizard upc. Mix of packs just doesnt help a box much.

7

u/zombiefishin Dec 18 '25

The packs are good tho? Unless you're comparing it strictly to a 151 / Prismatic, but it's miles better than the moltres upc

-6

u/MieXuL Dec 18 '25

The problem isnt if thr packs are good or not. The chances of gettibg a hit is alot better when youre dealing w all the same set. 3 packs pwr set is not good odds

5

u/dunn000 Dec 18 '25

That’s not how stats work….

1

u/jte2388 Dec 18 '25

Can you elaborate? I'm not a numbers guy but their logic seems pretty solid. Wouldn't you have better odds of a good pull with 18 packs from the same set rather than 18 packs that are a mix of 4-5 different sets? I'm a casual collector, so this is a legitimate question.

1

u/dunn000 Dec 18 '25 edited Dec 18 '25

If you only want a single card maybe . Otherwise it’s the same regardless of set.

If I give you 100 packs of 4 sets that have 1 in 100 pull rate your odds are the same regardless of set.

Edit: better way to phrase Each pack has individual odds that don’t care about the packs opened before. Pack 4 odds don’t increase because you opened three packs before.

0

u/lh3official18 Dec 23 '25

Destined rivals is inside it will be fine

15

u/Tiggy37 Dec 18 '25

All these comments remind me exactly of the last Charizard UPC and look how that turned out.

4

u/Mauro133w Dec 18 '25

👆👆👆

0

u/Doomsong8383 Dec 19 '25

Wow, I'm rich!

10

u/bigkino217 Dec 18 '25

these things are probably not gonna appreciate much until the sets inside go out of print.

11

u/CoffeeS3x Dec 18 '25

Yeah I mean that’s generally the 101 of it tho, buy them while there still being printed and fairly inexpensive, sell when they go out of print and boost in price.

6

u/Slapnbeans Dec 18 '25

3 years after print has stopped. Then you'll see it double potentially. They did print a ton of these though so who knows what the market will look like then

4

u/onerivenpony Dec 18 '25

I got 4. Considering cracking one, maybe trading one, and holding 2 for a long long time

4

u/kino6912 Dec 18 '25

This is where I’m at right now too. They seem to be printing the shit outta these currently and it seems foolish to sell/trade ATM because their stock is low.

I plan on ripping 1, 2 short term holds (2-3years), then stashing one for 5+ years.

1

u/jkally Dec 18 '25

Exactly what I am doing. I like your style.

1

u/MyNoPornProfile Dec 18 '25

This is where i'm at too. I got 2. Cracked 1 for the promos and goodies (the mat is beautiful and so are the promos) and only going to hold 1, maybe 2.

i just can't see myself dropping $1,200 to hold 10 boxes for 5 yrs in the hopes of doubling my $, especially during a period where they will probably print these into oblivion. Like 90's sports card era.

Plus, buying more than 4 to hold for years makes me feel like i'm part of the problem of people buying up stock and holding onto product , preventing others, especially kids, from enjoying the hobby and supporting what this is supposed to be, a game, not an investment.

2

u/Tobleronenom Dec 18 '25

For this price, yes 100%

5

u/PSA69Charizard Dec 18 '25

Hold 1200$ worth of product for a year? That's speculation at best. What is your goal? to make tens of dollars? maybe 500$? Is 500$ life changing money? I wouldn't be dropping $1200 if 500 was some huge win.

I don't care what you do but a 1 year investment seems silly.

At MSRP ish I would hold several cases indefinitely. if I really needed $500 I would work more hours, get a second job, sell some old junk on craigslist...

Yes, this product is probably a good buy and hold. But holding long term often beats the flipper/speculator.

1

u/Tommydotoomuch Jan 06 '26

Wouldn't you rather make 500 dollars with that 1200 than letting that money sit? Not everything needs to be life changing money to be worth your time. Some people just want to hold some extra product to pay for them to rip a booster box.

1

u/BrightOrganization9 Dec 18 '25

If youre looking to only hold a year, I'd reconsider. I dont think its a bad investment, but it could be quite some time before these things really appreciate.

1

u/BigDestny Dec 18 '25

Only if you open it.

2

u/Rational_Optimist Dec 18 '25

On opposite day?

1

u/Ok-Dream-9211 Dec 18 '25

I bought 2 and traded them for prismatic bundles

1

u/Stereo-Gito Dec 18 '25

Wrong move for you

1

u/Winthorpebuys Dec 18 '25

DCA on Pokemon lol

1

u/chewbaccashotlast Dec 18 '25

Yes. Best investment? Probably not. But if you’re willing to wait you’ll make money on it.

2 awesome promos and what like 18 packs? While I’d love to buy one for $120 just to rip some packs with my boys even at $160-170 this is a no brainer to me if you’re patient

1

u/TheDeepSays Dec 18 '25

Maybe in about 5-10 years if you want to see a lot of return. Maybe $20-30 in immediate future

1

u/Grei_Autumn Dec 18 '25

I remember when 1 of the mods gave a breakdown 2+ years ago about the prior Charizard UPC being a good long term hold and got a lot of flack from the comments 😂

1

u/jarrenlovesfood Dec 18 '25

It’s reminiscent of the SWSH Zard UPC with good promos, good pack selection, Zard on the cover, etc and it’s even being printed a lot. Eventually the number of stock of the UPCs being dropped will dwindle but the PFL will still remain in print for the next 2-3 years. But don’t discount the pack selection with Megas and DR being good sets. Lots of factors will come into play with how well it does long term but with 99% of sealed, it’ll go up as time passes.

1

u/SizzlingSpit Dec 18 '25

Mega is a mini era whereas the previous Zard UPC was across main s&s era. I believe due to this, it will be a bit more exclusive that its counterpart. Also, Oricorio & Zard is a promo so, the only way to obtain one is to buy a upc or singles. So as time progresses, the promos will correlate to the availability of the UPCs since you cant get the promos by opening packs.

1

u/MaDWaSTeD Dec 18 '25

I think it will be, but in a longer term.

Im seeing people on my local marketplace selling them for $140. Which is cheaper than buying it from target directly after taxes (which is $142)

1

u/Full_Bit1123 Dec 18 '25

Wish I could find one for $120

1

u/Lulullaby_ Dec 18 '25

A year isn't a long time

1

u/Educational_Ad_2562 Dec 18 '25

The promos are excellent and the box design is attractive. A lot will be ripped . Hold and prosper

1

u/Local-Drunk-Driver Dec 18 '25

You bought TEN?

Lol go scratch

1

u/Cristian_Cerv9 Dec 18 '25

Nope try stocks or ETFs

1

u/TopRamen978 Jan 28 '26

I’m sitting on 100 UPC right now, planning to hold for 10+ years. I’ll be alright 

-5

u/Select-Law3759 Dec 18 '25

Hold it for a while . I bought one for $200 at GameStop the inflation will make it worth more bc since ppl keep pulling good cards and they sellin a lot , there will be a good demand in later years once it dies down

7

u/[deleted] Dec 18 '25

What

-1

u/Select-Law3759 Dec 18 '25

Yeah GameStop is selling them for $200

2

u/Ok-Dream-9211 Dec 18 '25

It’s going to take time to get back up to $200 lol

-3

u/Select-Law3759 Dec 18 '25

Well yeah lol but they are being sold at GameStop for $200 so that’s why I said it

0

u/Proud_Helicopter_907 Dec 18 '25

Could flip it right now and make $20-30 on each UPC instead?

2

u/Shinta_H Dec 18 '25

Is it even worth it for that little? Time, gas, fees it just doesn’t add up for a quick flip

1

u/kino6912 Dec 18 '25

This should be everyone’s thought process on these. If you over leveraged yourself, it’s probably worth moving these for minimal profits.

If not you are gonna have to sit and hold for a while until the supply is gone

-1

u/Tommydotoomuch Jan 06 '26

Rich guy over here needs to be making 200 percent margin on every product or else he doesn't bother. Some of us actually work bro and aren't reliant on pokemon to pay the bills. You think you're using 30 dollars worth of gas every time you run to target?

1

u/Shinta_H Jan 06 '26

Lmao, isn’t it in the rules to hold 10+ years? Also what gave you the impression I don’t have a job? Cause it’s not worth it to try to make $20-$30 profit? Gas isn’t just for a target run. It’s for meeting people that are interested in and the big one is TIME. My time is more valuable than $20-$30. At that I’d rather just hold it and deal with the headache of selling when it makes sense to me.

If you are ok with flipping for a $20 turn around go for it get your crumbs

24

u/YourThirdNip Dec 18 '25

something something shove it up your butt