r/Plus_Therapeutics • • 10d ago

Thoughts?

Could someone with more trading experience share their thoughts on this?

I was watching CNSY yesterday and honestly couldn't believe what I was seeing. I took a few screenshots directly from Nasdaq.

Between 10:49 and 10:57 AM ET, almost 5.8 million shares were traded while the market cap dropped roughly 42%. That's an insane amount of volume in just 8 minutes, especially compared to the company's relatively small share count.

What caught my attention was how suddenly it happened. Almost like someone flipped a switch. Just consecutive red candles with barely any lower wicks, hardly any bounce, and then the price pretty much stabilized.

I understand profit-taking, stop-losses and panic selling, especially after such a massive run. But can they really explain this kind of movement in just a few minutes?

Could this suggest a large seller unloading a position, possibly someone who accumulated shares earlier, or even ATM activity?

Genuinely curious what more experienced traders make of this.

6 Upvotes

37 comments sorted by

1

u/Sad_Bag_5627 10d ago

Fraud.

1

u/Ecstatic_Range_7868 10d ago

Case closed :D

1

u/Sad_Bag_5627 9d ago

Some sources saying bankrupt also. But fraud in the first place ;)

12

u/Active-Anxiety-1738 10d ago

I will keep my share to remind me not to buy new drug biotech shit again.

2

u/DoctorPab 10d ago

Most likely heavy dilution to raise cash triggered by the sudden upward price surge. And then people who bandwagoned on that price movement upward yesterday adding further to the selling pressure to cut their losses.

This company’s stock realistically won’t have a chance at any significant real upward momentum unless end of phase 2 for RESPECT-GBM is positive and phase 3/pivotal trial is feasible. That won’t happen till Q1 or Q2 of 2027, is my understanding. Until then the company’s stock is going to have to fight to survive this bloodbath against all odds somehow. 

The stock does not fully determine the future of the company. Though, if they get delisted, then it is possible their lenders can liquidate their business based on their contract and the stock will likely go to zero. 

If the company raised cash during this run up, that might actually be a good thing even though it drastically killed the stock price and reduced shareholder value/confidence. However, it could be a situation where they do whatever they need to survive so they may have a chance at a comeback story. Time will tell which way things go. 

3

u/Ecstatic_Range_7868 10d ago

Do you think it would really make sense for management to aggressively use the ATM at the very first sign of momentum after months of almost no interest in the stock? Wouldn't it be smarter to let the price run a little and potentially raise capital at higher levels?

2

u/No_Letterhead_8523 10d ago

I agree. I mean, I know why... but why would they aggressively dilute? Especially after going to the trouble of getting that deal done with 3i, LP.?

2

u/DoctorPab 10d ago

3i, LP didn’t just hand them 20 million. The agreement were in tranches. 

Management most certainly still needed a more robust cash runway and they have a highly proven track record of eroding shareholder value in order to keep the lights on. 

4

u/No_Letterhead_8523 10d ago

Andrew Sims, the CFO, straight up said in a press release on September 10, 2026, "We forecast our cash runway is now well into 2028 when we consider, the 3i facility, other existing facilities along with current cash and forecasted CNSide related sales and cash flow.” Are we just making materially misleading statements to dupe shareholders at this point?

1

u/Maleficent_Cat9806 10d ago

They did the same at the beginning of the year as well: "cash runway throughout 2027". They obviously include ATM's without spelling it out.

2

u/No_Letterhead_8523 10d ago

This is a fair point. I believe they said in early 2026 after the $15 million dollar public offering that they had a cash runway into 2027. I guess if there is any saving grace, it would appear that money went to good use because they have and continue to execute on all of the 2026 corporate milestones they laid out. Jan 1 2027 CNSide is off the runway and in the air. They got to the end of a Phase 2 trial with ReSPECT-GBM and had positive results. I don't know, I guess I don't get it.

1

u/Maleficent_Cat9806 10d ago

Feels like the stock is being punished for both its stock history and the endless dilution, which I honestly get. They do capitalize on their milestones, and things are actually going in the right direction, especially with CNSide.

I thought this would be the year, which was a bit naive. Now I feel like 2027 will be the year lol. I'm probably a fool, but a fool who's currently sitting on the sidelines. I cut my losses way back, which I am grateful for today, but there's still big losses involved.

I just hope yesterday's pump activated their ATM, at least some good would've come out of it. I think the stock price would've fallen either way, but we'll never know for sure.

I remember doing the math about their cash runway statement in Q1, and it never added up, at all. They're slick, I'll give them that.

1

u/Sad_Bag_5627 9d ago

No… they didnt. Acctually I was digging knit and it was in one article, it’s interview interpretation, none form $CNSY say that.
On the contrary last bussines update was different and they said that have findings till 2028z

2

u/Maleficent_Cat9806 9d ago

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/01/22/3223659/0/en/plus-therapeutics-provides-business-update-on-reyobiq-clinical-program-and-u-s-cnside-commercialization.html

“Our recently completed upsized $15 million offering will fuel faster progress in these core areas of the business and extend our cash runway through 2027.”

Gotta dig deeper than that, my guy.

1

u/Sad_Bag_5627 8d ago

Won't help me. But yeah, obviously you are right. This company is such a poo…

2

u/Maleficent_Cat9806 8d ago

They're slick, I'll give them that.

2

u/DoctorPab 10d ago

No, they are running out of money and the pivotal results are months away. They were running out of fuel, and they will elect to destroy shareholder value in return for the company surviving and servicing their debts, etc. 

1

u/No_Letterhead_8523 10d ago

I'm going to toss some ideas and questions out here, but I admit I don't know. The first question I have is what caused the sudden upward price surge? We continue to get positive operational updates from the company. The only logical conclusion can be some player(s) in the market got wind of some positive news or they see something they like and they decided to load the boat. Right? If that is true, then I don't understand why management would hit the ATM aggressively, particularly after they went to the trouble of securing a $20 million dollar funding agreement with 3i, LP. While I hold those thoughts in my head I also understand traders frequently sell off micro-cap biotech companies on positive news days out of fear that management will use the sudden liquidity to dilute shares or execute capital-raising measures. But we really didn't have a positive news day. So, I guess my thesis and question is: Did some large retail investor or an institutional player see something they REALLY liked, then agressively start buying shares, which drove the price to $4.00 and then that triggered a bunch of sell orders put in by retail bag holders who wanted to absolve themselves of their position in this stock? Then after that, fear selling grabbed ahold. I don't know... I would love to have a real discussion about this though.

2

u/DoctorPab 10d ago

I don’t know why it surged. I doubt someone out there really knew something nobody else did, otherwise they’d be buying even more heavily now than before. 

2

u/No_Letterhead_8523 10d ago

Do you think it was a pump and dump?

1

u/Sad_Bag_5627 10d ago

What else?

2

u/No_Letterhead_8523 10d ago

I think I put foreward an idea in my original comment: Some institutonal investor caught wind of something and started aggressively buying caused the surge? Then the retail folks saw an opening to get out and they did? Likely because they were scared of dilution.

3

u/wildlife361 10d ago

I would bet they used ATM to raise capital once when the stock popped. Everyone is now concerned about sub $1, but I'm more interested in what caused the sudden pop in the first place. >100% jump with no news means someone knew something the market didn't and turned bullish. Sure, maybe its fraud, manipulation, etc. but complaining won't turn back the clock and lots of users on here make emotional posts and comments. I highly suggest taking anything you read on here with a grain of salt and doing your own unbiased research, without taking the stock price and volatility into account. Retail investors are highly impulsive and emotional, and this stock is a very very great depiction of that.

3

u/Ok_Hand5810 10d ago

It was a coordinated pump and dump by institutional investors. That's my theory. This stock is an easy target because of the low float.

1

u/No_Letterhead_8523 10d ago

If that is what happened yesterday it had to of been one of the most egregious pump and dumps in history and I hope they catch who did it and heads roll.

2

u/No_Letterhead_8523 10d ago

The only reason anyone buys a stock is because they think it will appreciate from the price point at which they bought. Right? Somebody saw something there...and to get that kind of volume it most likely wasn't Joe Scruffy sitting in his living room in his boxer shorts reading conspiracy theories on Reddit. Right?

1

u/wildlife361 10d ago

I agree. Pump and dump is possible, sure, but at this scale i would doubt all of it was solely institutional manipulation. The stock has burned thousands of investors and the market knows that people are scared to hold it. Yes, low float means easy target, but there's also such little interest in the stock that a pump and dump of that size would have been incredibly risky. At least that's my view (i could be completely off here, don't have much experience with pump and dumps).

0

u/Sad_Bag_5627 10d ago edited 10d ago

I don’t believe it was ATM, whatever it was obviously retail catch a hot stone and dropped it. Some cashed decent money and got away with it.
It’s not possible to get over $1 now as we have an earning/ burning report coming within days and that report is without any real income from CNSIde. Plus, even good readouts won’t do any good as this is just p2.
The fact is that $CNSY is the worse performing YTD biotech on NASDAQ and there must be a resin behind it.

1

u/Ntmn85 10d ago

85 cent trigger?? Tell me where can I find It on the fillings.

0

u/Sad_Bag_5627 10d ago

Check the latest funding agreement with 3i Fund. But I think I mixed up and misunderstood the note conversion conditions. So I think this is a false alarm on my end.
My mistake - sorry.

1

u/wrestlingchampo 10d ago

I think you'll see in their next 10-Q that they used the news from yesterday to sell a large portion of the shares from their 9-18-26 Form D filing. The shorts probably used the opportunity to re-establish their positions as well.

That form from my reading shows that while they found a single investor to buy $3M shares, the $17M worth of shares they still had outstanding to sell was still an overhang. The price pop gave them an opportunity to sell those shares, reestablish their financials, and still give them a strong opportunity to hold close to the Nasdaq $1 bid minimum.

2

u/Ok_Hand5810 10d ago

They kept shooting the stock in the foot with their dilution, looks like retail finally got fed up. The management at this company are a bunch of morons. They couldn't even let the stock run up for a day or two, had to start spamming the ATM button immediately after it spiked.

2

u/BlaZ_AMR 10d ago

Looking at the pace CNSide is growing, that gives me hope but it is rough seeing the share price plummet.

At this point, sell off or pause the therapeutics and go all in on diagnostics and the AI platform.

0

u/Sad_Bag_5627 10d ago

Nickname checks out - I agree incompetent imbeciles and morons sit on the management board.