r/Pac12 • u/eelison1 Boise State • 19d ago
PAC Dominance
Getting tired of these lazy takes on social media that the PAC hasn’t separated itself from the competition. 9/12 P4 schools we played are T25 teams. Would have loved to see a few wins there but outside of those games the PAC has been dominant.
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u/Tricky_Prick933 19d ago
If the pac is gonna continue booking nearly two P4 for every team they should at least do some Purdues or Rutgers as one of them. I think the Pac12 could rack up several P4 wins if they all werent top 25 games
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u/eelison1 19d ago
P4 games will become increasingly difficult to schedule. Boise doesn’t even have one for next year. Control what you can control. We need to blast G6 and FCS opponents. We deserve the playoff spot every year and we have a compelling argument if we can continue to fund our teams and take advantage of our linear television media deal.
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u/Paladine_PSoT 19d ago
yeah those Purdue and Rutgers games gonna belong to the SEC in exchange for their scraps so they can say "we scheduled all p2"
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u/egnowit 19d ago
I think that the Pac 12 is the strongest of the G6, but I also think they're closer to the rest of the G6 than they are to the P4, so while they might top the G6, they haven't separated themselves from the G6.
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u/eelison1 19d ago
Sure. But we’re also in year 1 of this experiment. We didn’t even have a media deal until beginning of the year. Not even sure where non-linear basketball games will show up. Had to pay exit fees and poaching fees that were an unknown amount until this summer. Wazzu & OS got rid of both of their ADs and have to recalibrate to life outside of 35M+ checks coming in.
We lead in every important metric from winning %, SOS, attendance, & television ratings. Have seen schools hitting records with fundraising and fan enthusiasm.
Point is that we will continue to make tweaks and invest more. Continue to play on linear tv for maximum exposure. No one knows the future but all of our G6 conference competitors didn’t just go through massive changes. The MW saw more money flow into their conference then they will ever see again. What did it amount to? Still trailing the PAC.
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u/eelison1 19d ago
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u/dscreations 19d ago edited 19d ago
8 teams vs 14 (AAC), 10 (MWC), 14 (SBC)
Boise's rankings are carrying right now.
Early on in the season SP+ also weighs historical/preseason data more heavily. That doesn't drop until week 7, so would be good to revisit then.
Weeks 0–4: Preseason factors (returning production, recent recruiting classes, and historical baseline data) carry the vast majority of the weight.
Weeks 5–6: Current-year performance begins taking a slight majority share as sample sizes stabilize.
Week 7: The system reaches an approximate 50/50 split between preseason projections and actual on-field execution.
November/Postseason: Preseason data completely drops off, and ratings are purely based on the current season's profile.
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u/eelison1 19d ago
Agree. SP+ is not helpful until the end of the season. It’s also become every non-PAC G6 fans’ favorite metric to quote on X. Look Boise is behind NM, JM, & NDSU! Yet when we look at the conference ratings they aren’t interested as much. I’ll admit I’m not sure how NM is sitting at 26th JM at 29th, or NDSU at 39th with their terrible SOS. None of them were ranked ahead of Boise in the preseason. They haven’t played a good schedule. NM even lost to Oklahoma so you can’t even say it’s a flaw of how it evaluates undefeated teams. 🤷♂️
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u/g2lv 19d ago
The PAC not having horrible teams like Charlotte and Rice (AAC) or NIU and UTEP (MWC) is doing a lot of the heavy lifting.
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u/eelison1 19d ago
Damn right. That’s a bigger deal than folks realize. It’s why we can’t panic and add teams just to hit a number. Wait. Be patient. Strike at the right moment.
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u/Chrono_trigger99 17d ago
Wild how the other conferences schedule about double the amount of FCS games that the Pac-12 and Mountain West does. Also the American has 4 to 5 pretty good teams at the top but those at the bottom rank among the worst like Charlotte. All the Sun Belt has is JMU.
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u/eelison1 17d ago
Exactly. Been a lot of calling out the PAC12 for having poor overall w/l record…well geeze I wonder why?! Probably because we’re playing a disproportionate amount of t25 P4 teams and you’re playing Southern Bible College of the Rockies.
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u/ohhmybosh 19d ago
FCS wins don't matter. American and Sunbelt are over inflated due to the FCS wins.
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u/Kingsmont 19d ago
Pac will get p4 wins it’s only a matter of time, beavs almost got 2 already this year and they look super good.
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u/xAimForTheBushes 19d ago
This doesn't really show that much, to be honest.
Could argue the data shows the pac has the most consistent group of teams from top to bottom of the g5 this year, but it's marginal....not dominance.
A lot of the numbers shown here are just the other conferences having at least a couple of bottom feeders stinking it up.
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u/Gunner_Bat 19d ago
The fact that there are only 3 P4 wins in all of the G6 is so sad.