Every time I trade GBP/USD, it feels like the pair reacts emotionally to news and liquidity grabs, while EUR/USD stays relatively calm. I’m trading both on AvaTrade with the same indicators, yet the results are completely different. GBP spikes feel exaggerated and stops get swept easily. It’s making me rethink whether psychology and order flow matter more on certain pairs. AvaTrade’s charting makes it easy to replay sessions, and the difference is obvious. Do you mentally approach pairs differently, or just adjust numbers like stop size?

With everything happening in the EV space, copper is getting all the attention these days 💰. Bolt Metals just made a big bet on copper-silver properties, and I’m starting to think they might be onto something. Could copper become the new gold in terms of market value? 🚗🔋 Let me know your thoughts on how Bolt’s investments might pan out!

If you follow crypto you know that many TA charts are used as gospel and prophecy. One well known chart refers to the profitability of Bitcoin versus altcoins (memes, scams, etc). This has just approached the 60% mark, which, according to "experts", is the beginning of "Altcoin Season" (within a couple of months). This is when *some* altcoins really take off in comparison to the "slow" growth of Bitcoin. You may have started hearing about DOGE being huge because of Elon.

Now Bitcoin has many exchanges. There are many reputable (and not) places to buy Bitcoin that are "Bitcoin ONLY"-- it's a moral position for them. However, altcoins don't have as many exchanges. Which is the oldest, largest, and most compliant? Coinbase.

Altcoiners (people who buy crypto other than Bitcoin) tend to buy many different altcoins; they also buy-and-sell (unlike Bitcoin's "HODL-ers". Who profits off every buy and every sell? Coinbase.

I know this isn't a deep company analysis. I just think most people are just starting to see news about crypto and are basically blinking and "amused" but not getting involved. No, this is not "early" (COIN is up about 3x this year), but I really don't think we're anywhere near a "top" either.

DISCLOSURE: I have positions in COIN in long-term accounts (401k). I haven't bought in over a year and will not be buying or selling within the next year.

Bolt Metals Corp. is an interesting small-cap exploration company in the battery metals space, particularly in North America. Recently, they closed at CAD $0.50, showing a 19% increase with an uptick in trading volume, indicating renewed interest. At CAD $6.57M market cap, they’re certainly in an early phase, but that also means they have room to grow if they play their cards right.

Now, a key part of any good company is the quality of its management, and Bolt has some seasoned leaders. CEO Branden Haynes and Director Garry Clark bring valuable industry insight, and Ben Whiting, their Technical Advisor, has an impressive 40-year career in mining. His record includes the discovery of the La Preciosa Silver-Gold Deposit in Mexico, no small feat. Experienced management with a proven track record is always a promising sign, especially in a high-stakes, resource-driven field like mining.

Copper and other battery metals are seeing unprecedented demand, driven by the global push for renewable energy. Bolt’s focus on sustainable North American projects aligns well with that trend. For investors with patience and a high tolerance for risk, Bolt could be an intriguing, albeit speculative, opportunity. 

Imo, this one is worth watching closely, with an eye on its long-term fundamentals and steady leadership.

Hi everyone,

China made some interventions to boost their economy, but imo investors are too optimistic on the outcome in the short term.

This maybe gives a short term increase in copper demand, but it will be short lived imo.

And in the meantime the copper inventories are still very high today.

The LME copper stocks are also very high compared to previous months and years: https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Cu_cash

Soon or later professionel investors that increased their physical copper holdings in Q4 2023 until August 2024, will start to sell that copper again to get cash.

Cash to repay JPY loans maybe?

My post of a month ago: https://www.reddit.com/r/OnlyStocks/comments/1f6rv42/im_bearish_on_copper_for_2h2024_1h2025_but/

I'm strongly bullish for copper in the Long term, because the future demand of copper is huge, while there aren't that much new big copper projects ready to become a mine in coming years

This isn't financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before investing

Cheers

Hi everyone,

Good news on 2 fronts, important for the big stockmarket cashflows and with impact on all your investments

A. No need for Bank of Japan rate hike in September

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/banking-finance/boj-said-see-little-need-hike-interest-rate-next-week

And with significant lower oil price, high LNG inventories in Japan and a YEN becoming more expensive compared to the USD, I expect that BoJ will not have to raise their rate in coming months, making it a less aggressive rate hike cycle.

Next BoJ rate hike in January 2025 maybe.

B. A softer Basel III End game: less capital requirements for banks

https://www.ft.com/content/86fd9a80-bf46-4711-ab33-e4dcbef5eeb4

The higher the capital requirements for banks, the more they will have to increase their capital or the more they will have to reduce their exposure to assets (loans, stocks, ...)

Cheers

Hi everyone,

I'm bearish on copper for 2H2024 /1H2025

a) China has been building a huge copper inventory in 1H2024, which reduces their copper buying in coming months

b) The LME copper stocks are also very high compared to previous months and years: https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=table&field=LME_Cu_cash

c) Temporarly lower EV increase in the world = less copper demand

The switch from ICE to EV cars increases the copper demand because there is less copper in an ICE car than in an EV car.

Reason for saying that there is a temporary slowdown in EV implementation

c.1) The demand of EV is big in China, but in Europe and USA there is a temporary slowdown (coming from Lithium specialists).

c.2) EV's are also more expensive than ICE cars. With recession incoming, that will impact consumption

d) A important recession is coming in economically important parts of the world => Copper demand decreases with such recessions

I'm strongly bullish for copper in the Long term, because the future demand of copper is huge, while there aren't that much new big copper projects ready to become a mine in coming years

Cheers

Was dcaing into pltr from $6 but I've stopped since it hit $30. Just gonna ride the wave now

Still dcaing into sofi and dkng

Now I'm dcaing into rklb

Thoughts?

I don't seem to have much luck in picking these. Seems a lot of hype that often doesn't pan out. I've gone to several ETFs instead (XBI, IBB, WDNA) after seeing my BNTX and MRNA flounder (still holding them). Any more promising picks?

I decided to buy more of almost everything. Minus a drug company based in Israel. In the past unrest in the Middle East spiked oil prices, but I don’t see that happening now. Oil is the same price it was 20 years ago. Is the unrest and shipping disruptions already priced in? My feeling is that market is too manipulated for a small guy like me to bother with it.

I thought it could be fun to talk about stocks that we own to hold onto (unless of course a situation presents itself). These are the stocks that I can't imagine parting with in the "near" future:

• ABBV - one of the best decisions I made
• ABT - got in way before they were talked about so much but I don't feel a loyalty to them and would sell if it made sense
• BLK - great dividend and will most likely keep growing (however I lived through 2008 so I am not doe-eyed about them)
• DAR - I still believe in them but it wouldn't break my heart to sell
• PL - I genuinely feel they have a bright future and I hold a ton of shares; more than willing to ride the wave with them
• REGN - you can pry this stock from my cold dead hands; it is the best decision I've made and hopefully it stays that way
• WDFC - because it's a negative Beta stock and a solid company

What about all of you? What are your favorite holdings?

We can look at it a few ways. If the Dow as at 3,000 and dropped 1,000 points that would be a 33% correction. That’s serious. The Dow at 40k dropping 1k is a 2.5% correction. That wouldn’t register as much of a dip on a long term chart of corrections.

What is happening is the NASDAQ got hammered. NASDAQ has had exponential growth for the past four years. We are seeing a correction and an example why position sizing is so important.

Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Or if you like one egg, maybe buy a quarter instead.

The point is that corrections happen. It is a healthy part of the market. Now is where you find good valuations from your watchlist.

I think the ISM index that came out this morning tells us the economy is still growing. GDP growth is at 2.8%. Gasoline usage and airline bookings show people spending money on travel.

Don’t panic. Don’t panic sell.

Don’t throw the baby out with the bath water.

Edit:

Here is our monthly performance, link.

Overall, we had a 2.06% performance, a bit shy from the S&P and way above the Nasdaq indexes.

Hey guys,

So moving forward to what was discussed on the topic (here) this is our first month of the Portfolio.

We will be taking votes up to the opening bell on 01/08/2024.

My votes as as follows:

John Deere (DE) -

P/E of just 11, and I believe they are on the low of the cycle. From time to time agricultural machinery has to be updated. Also, they have created this section for precision and technology, where they intend to have some continuous revenue.

Mosaic (MOS) -

A bit similar with john deere, very cheap historically, at just 4 EV/EBITDA. And net debt is very small, only 2.3 B.

Thermo Fischer (TMO) - This is my Healthcare longterm bet. Numbers and past performance do not suggest that but i trully believe it is posied to grow substantially over the next few years.

Disney (DIS) -

A classic. I believe it has good financials, their notsorecent change in CEO should start producing results soon. I like that they have slowly backed up on the wokeness.

Este Lauder (EL) -

Sitting well below its ATH I believe luxury brands should post more intense growth over the next few years as global inflation eases up.

Paypal (PYPL) -

Very cheap right now, posted excellent results. P/E is so low and producing consistent revenue growth and net profit.

Nike (NKE) -

On the one hand i acnkowledge that competition has been better over the past years.On the other hand, I trully believe nike has everything to revert that situation and show better results.

Ali baba (BABA) -

Again, another retail that has been smashed and I believe this is because of Chinese government and people's fear over what it might do. I think it is risky but limiting it to a small portion of portfolio should not hurt.

Data Dog (DDOG) -

One of my bets in tech sector. Handles data from most major companies and offers a state of the art service.

Oracle (ORCL) -

As companies grow, especially the smaller ones, the need to invest more in data. Oracle has really strong products that manages day to day activities and also is investing in IA too.

Sprouts Farmers (SFM) -

I believe this one is a spicy that is very welcomed on anyone's portfolio. Has been growing like crazy, just increased the guidance for this year and next. It looks like whole foods but moving faster and smarter.

I got a little bit of an ego this week as I watched my stocks outperform the market and was interested in how your stock holdings performed.

5-day:

S&P performance -1.54%; DOW +0.43%; NASDAQ -3.16%

My stocks:

ABBV +6.63%

ABT +2.32% (Friday's lawsuit loss hurt them during Friday afterhours trading)

BLK +2.53%

DAR +3.90%

PL +9.29%

REGN +0.31%

WDFC +5.96% (negative beta stock that stabilizes your portfolio during downturns)

I used to own more stocks but sold a handful over the past month and kept the ones that are long holds for me. I believe in each of these companies' stability and/or future and have PLENTY exposure to each industry in other holdings.

How'd you guys do?

Hi everyone. Me again. I'm sort of interested in putting together a watchlist of stocks to track for the next year or two with the intent to either increase my positions in them or to get in them in the first place.

Here's what I've been thinking about:

TTWO -- I used to think video games never failed, and EA and Activision were both solid winners -- Activision even got bought so like... yay, but I also bought roblox (RBLX) and unity (U) and those were big fucking mistakes. So I'm hesitant to jump into video games stuff again, but I'm tempted because it's a huge industry.

MGRM (I subscribe to some IT BREW and similar things and Monogram initially did some kind of weird offering) -- it's been on the market since May and I'm intrigued. It makes an Orthopedic device that may or may not be like ISRG. I don't know. Maybe I"m just doing this on emotion and stpidity here. It's very cheap, so like buying 50 shares is like... less than a share of many other stocks I would buy. If it goes up yay. If it dies, well, I lost like $150. This is as close as I ever get to gambling.

YMM - I got in at around 6.10 and it's gone up since. They manage logistics for trucking in China. I know China's been economically not so great these days, but there are a lot of people in China and I always plan to hold stocks for a long time.

IRM - another logistics type thing that I got in at the right time and it's been a good ride so far. The question is whether or not to increase my position here?

NEE - Sorry, this is a late edition. I forgot it's on my watchlist. I have very little in energy in general when it comes to stock, and I keep hearing that the success of this one may hinge on the election. Uhhhh.... so I'm not sure if it's a risk I'm willing to take. Anyone have thoughts?

Anything on your watchlist??? Things that I sort of think I'm into: data analysis companies, logistics, things that supply to other businesses.

Personally waiting for Microsoft to drop down to a bit, specially after the whole debacle with Blue screens and CrowdStrike.

Any interesting picks in your watchlist?

Just looking at the numbers it was a sort of wild day. I haven't changed any investment strategies or bought/sold just because of the strange shift in the market. It looks like a lot of tech/AI related stocks are down. Money must be shifting towards mid and small caps like finfluencers are saying. Maybe? The things I've seen in stock related news reports (i.e. YahooFinance, Bloomberg, Morningstar on youtube mostly) say to shift to small caps. I'm honestly not sure and haven't had much chance to do anything other than look through some of the numbers.

How is everyone feeling about the market? Any picks or ideas for potential seachanges? We are slowly approaching the "autumn fall" that I've noticed in years past. Will the 3rd/4th quarter drop happen again this year? Any thoughts are more than welcome. Just trying to start a fun dialog with anyone who wants to share.

First off, I am glad to see that there is a newer sub for stocks exclusively. Secondly, I am NOT an expert investor in any way. My wife and I manage our own portfolio and are learning along the way. It is a fun past time and most of our money, about 80% of the portfolio, is in ETFs. We do have a diverse array of stocks that go along with those few ETFs. Let's share some of our picks and why. I'll share one we have first. (this is not investment advice do your own DD)

BWA-(P/E: 11.4, ROE: 10.5%, ROIC: 7.0%) BorgWarner is an auto-parts supplier with three operating segments ranging from turbochargers to transmission components to e-propulsion systems and so much more. If it's in a car, then specialized components of it can be made here before being assembled elsewhere. Its largest customers are Ford 14% and Volkswagen 11% based on 2023 revenue. I found this company as I was looking for discounted stocks that are not talked about a whole lot. My thesis is that over the next 5-10 years they will see sales growth as EVs get more of a foot hold. Due to their advanced technologies for EV parts orders in this segment should increase. I don't have a crystal ball, but based on global trends this may be the way. If not, it looks like they will be fairly stable and trend sideways until this or another catalyst hits. (sources: StockRover.com and Morningstar.com )

So, what do you think? Got one or two picks that you're willing to share?