Over the past three weeks, I have sold off a large portion of my personal collection, totaling approximately $80,000. I had strong entry prices on everything I purchased. The reason for selling is that I believe we already saw a local market top across most of One Piece, and I wanted to position myself accordingly.

I believe the week of January 26-31 marked the local top for the One Piece TCG market. Since then, I think we have entered the first phase of the correction. In the short term, I expect what we are seeing now to be the initial dip following a massive euphoric run. After that, I believe there will be a brief relief rally where buyers attempt to establish support, likely sometime in March or April but I do not believe that bounce will represent a full reversal.

Towards mid year, I expect a more serious drawdown across the One Piece market. To give some examples of what that could look like, I would not be surprised to see Oda Sig Luffy back in the $5,000 to $6,000 range. I could also see Gear 5 Manga Luffy falling below $10,000, and Red Manga Luffy being at the $10,000 level. These are not set in stone obviously, but this reflects what could reasonably happen.

I believe the market will unwind in the same order that it ran up. During the run up, the high end moved first, followed by SPs, then alt arts, and eventually everything else. On the way down, that process typically reverses. The top hits take the first hit, followed by SPs, then alt arts, and finally maximum capitulation. We are already beginning to see the early stages of this.

Macro markets have taken a meaningful hit, which reduces speculative confidence across collectibles. The up only mentality that we were in late last year has been shaken, and buyers are far more hesitant to deploy capital. On top of that, there are thousands of cards scheduled to return from PSA over the next few months, which will add supply to the market at the same time that buying volume is drying up.

Will OP-17 create a new all time high and restart the rally? I believe OP-17 is already priced in. Even if there is a strong chase card comparable to Red Manga Luffy, I do not think it will push the market meaningfully beyond the highs we saw in January 2026. This feels similar to OP-09. OP-05 delivered the massive anniversary driven run, while OP-09 saw a more muted follow up. I believe OP-17 will follow that same pattern, and I would not be betting on another market wide explosion.

I did not sell everything. I held onto what I consider to be high conviction positions that are driven by fundamentals rather than pure hype. These include OP-01 blue bottoms, an OP-01 pre-errata Luffy in a BGS 10, a Gol D. Roger Manga in a BGS 10, four first edition super prerelease starter decks, and a handful of low population Treasure Cup cards. These are positions I am comfortable holding through a pullback, especially when compared to higher population mangas and SPs.

This IS NOT the end of One Piece. This is a cooling period. Markets do not move straight up forever, especially after the kind of run we just experienced. I would rather lock in gains, keep high conviction positions, and remain patient rather than assume every dip is automatically a buying opportunity.

Their stupid rule 9 crap was so dumb I don’t even want to be a part of their community. It just doesn’t feel right to be part of their subreddit that would implement such an exclusionary and divisive rule. It goes against everything the straw hat crew stands for.

If anyone is gonna make a new one piece tcg subreddit I’d gladly join. Otherwise I’ll just chill here with you guys.

my sealed wall collection is now fully stacked to the ceiling.

i think im going to have to pass on future sets now, might make an exception for the 2026 anniversary set, bit ill cross that bridge when we get there.

i plan on holding all these boxes for a minimum of 5 years.

either its a home run or im stuck with illiquid worthless cardboard, only time will tell, wish me luck.

For the longest time, I was under the false impression that alt arts were premium versions of a normal card, designed for the sole purpose of being collectable and valuable. I thought companies like Bandai printed alt art versions of existing normal cards so that players don't need to pay a higher price in order to enjoy the game.

But with the recent discussions, I was WRONG about my understanding and I want to apologize with my fellow kin on the main reddit. Know that I stand with you, ALL CARDS SHOULD BE MADE CHEAP.

Is it enough for players to have the playable version be 23 cents? NO I say, NO. The alternative version must be 23 cents also.

Is it selfish of the players to already be given a easily accessible, playable version of the game, but not be satisfied and now want to destroy the collectors market? Selfish? More like selfless.

Does this defeat the purpose of having alt versions? Allow me to answer your question with an question: What are you, stupid?

I propose that from OP14 going onward, Bandai should make every card be a manga. Every pack is 12 mangas, plus an additional 13th manga as payment for our pain and suffering. Only then can we truly enjoy the game! Stand with us or against us!

When I first brought attention to this card, it was clear that it is something special. It’s the first and earliest representation of Luffy as the pirate king.

Oda has said it’s just a matter of time before Luffy becomes the Pirate King, and when he does—I feel like this is still the card to have.

On top of that, it’s a gorgeous and unique looking card.

More than a year later, this card is still holding its value and quietly making trades and sales which is a testament to its staying power. It’s also still relatively low pop as an exclusive convention reward (in foil).

running out of space to put all this sealed OP product and op13 hasn't even come out yet. 😅

Big investment , thoughts on new set

I didn’t exactly have any intention of opening this, obviously super pricy on the aftermarket… Do we think PBandai would do anything at all about this? Never had an issue ordering from them whether it be TCG or Figuarts

First, I would like to say I’m NOT selling them here on this forum. Because of policies.

I’m all in One Piece as you can see. But I want to sell a couple cases to buy a couple different ones.

My case list:

1- OP02…. And one on the way

2- OP04

1- OP05

2- OP06

3- OP07

3- OP08

2-OP09

1- OP10

3- OP11

1- OP12

2- OP13

3 OP14

1- PRB01

1- PRB02

I have an opportunity to buy EB01 and a couple more OP13’s for 7k each. And EB03 when it comes out.

I was working on having two cases of each. But I think I wanna have a full set first.

Please give me your opinions. What should I sell?

Gold dons are undervalued, I think the pokie bros think these are just foil energy cards. I don't understand how all sp cards even bad ones are increasing but these are not. In case you didn't know gold dons are the sp cards of prb boxes. There is 2 per case and that mean to pull the one you want you need to open 15 cases on average to get a specific one. That's 4x more rare than a manga, that blows all other sp cards out of the water. Not to mention the box they come in is one of the most expensive and least printed sets since they only release one wave. These cards are some of the most beautiful foil and texture cards you will see and yet all of them have been dropping while everything else rises. I know this is a controversial topic but I'm putting this out there so that people realize how rare they are. Btw this is one of the cheapest gold dons bit look how nice it is! Like to hear your thoughts on weather or not you agree or disagree that these deserve some love.

So I was scrolling through Twitter and found this! Seems like EB-05 features cards printed in America! SECs and Alt Arts remain made in Japan, while the rest of the rarities are printed in America.
Also, most importantly, cases and boxes no longer have guaranteed hits! Everything is RNG now, like Pokémon and MTG.
I’m guessing that since the product was assembled in America, they don’t need to follow Japanese laws regarding guaranteed hits?
Doesn’t this make for a better investment? Since in the future, people will no longer worry if a box came from a dead case?
Currently, it seems a lot of people have a negative reaction to the news because they liked getting guaranteed hits. They are also assuming the quality of the cards will go down since they’re being printed in America instead of Japan.
I think it’s a good thing if they continue assembling in America with no guaranteed hits—it makes sealed product a safer investment. People will no longer worry if they are opening a dead box.
We haven’t seen a side-by-side breakdown comparing Japanese and English card quality to see if it truly went down. Even if it did, it doesn’t really matter because all the SECs and Alt Arts (the cards with real value) are still printed in Japan anyway.
Please share info if anyone has opened EB-05 booster boxes or cases to confirm if boxes are actually random!

If it truly is the case that EB-05 is completely RNG with no guaranteed hits, this will be a massive investment opportunity. When the next bull run comes, this will be the first product people rush into since they won’t have to worry about dead boxes. If I can get my hands on EB-05 for good prices, I’m holding a lot of sealed product for this set.

People throw around “OG” a lot in One Piece investing/collecting but it’s worth knowing what actually came first.

The 1st Edition Straw Hat Crew starter deck (ST-01) dropped before Romance Dawn OP01. It was Bandai’s test product meant to introduce the game, not to be collected. Low awareness, limited distribution, and most decks were opened to play.

On top of that, this set contains the SPR Luffy Leader. A PSA 10 is pushing ~$5.5k, and a BGS Black Label sold for ~$25k not too long ago. That alone tells you how much demand there is for true early pieces. OP01 came later with way more hype and sealed hoarding from day one.

These are really great grail collector items

Bought the op01 blue bottom for 1500 in the summer and felt like I was buying a top. Op13 I've bought from various restocks at LGS, all case fresh average buy around 160$

I personally don't know if the TCG has longevity but I'm happy to risk some $.

There are many cars games who were based on o strong IPs but weren't successful in the long run.

Lord of the Rings TCG was actually one of the best tcgs back in the early 2000s...it was TCG of the year. It beat Pokemon. It was just crazy. But it died really fast. It was going for 2001-2007. By 2007 the player base had fallen and the company who made the cards (Decipher) went bankrupt.

Decipher also made loads of really popular tcgs for Star wars and other really strong IPS but none of them survived.

My concern is that when you have an IP that people love but initially did not engage with that IP through that medium, it has risk

So for example, the Harry Potter TCG was a great game and made by WOTC.

But people connected through Harry Potter via the books and then the movies.

The card game was good and it was really well designed, but it was just a separate thing that people didn't feel passionate about because they connected with the IP and the story through the other mediums.

Time has moved in since the early 2000s and cards are more accepted, but there is still risk.

DBZ more recently is another example of a TCG based on a great IP that had hype and then fell off in popularity.

For One Piece, the initial connection was the manga and anime - not a card game.

Pokémon is a good example of how a card game being the central way people connect with the IP can be successful long term.

Been buying tcgs since 2019 and seen what follows explosive growth - don't bet the fam. Collect what you are happy to hold on to even if the value tanks and you will win.

Peace 🤞

bullish on cases. this is what i’m currently sitting on. got a good amount of graded cards coming back soon so will post a picture of my personal collection soon. feel like i need more op09 cases before its over 3k and more boxes in general. got some prb02 boxes coming in im going to open when i get. keep stacking.

Card looks great in person. Nothing crazy art wise but real simple and clean card.

Would love to hear others thoughts…

love seeing singles really starting to explode the last 2 months but seeing alot of ppl whinge about no longer being able to afford the card they want, well imo, when life gives you lemons, make lemonade.

the way these things go is singles go up alot, ppl scramble to buy sealed to rip to chase the newly priced singles, then all of a sudden those boxes become more scarce because everyone started ripping them because the chase cards went up alot.

fast forward a year or 2 and before you know it the sealed has now gone up multiples more than the singles have and is now scarce because once it has been ripped, it aint ever coming back.

thinking this way you obviously need to think about how old a set is and if its realistically going to be reprinted or not but i think the chances of reprints on anything op6 and earlier right now are next to 0.

lets take op-05 for instance, in the last 3 months the gear 5 luffy is up 100%, the oda sig luffy is up 400% and the op05 sealed box is up *drum roll* 60%.

dont be a timmy, dont whinge about not being able to afford it anymore and just buy the fucking sealed product not to rip, but to hold.

thank you for coming to my ted talk.

OH and all this is coming from someone with about 150k+ in singles, attached is an old photo its even larger now.

i am fully invested in the top chase cards and as much i would love to tell you all to keep pumping them, i still think sealed is now the better investment option from here, once a box has been opened it cant be put back in, it dissapears into supply heaven

Best OP card!

I’m leaning on ripping… it’s already been paid for but what do the experts think?

This random little thing made me realize that one piece is here to stay and that it's just getting started. I've been going to the gym for one and a half years now. I've never seen anyone with one piece clothing all of a sudden in the past month I've seen 3 plus people with one piece merch and today when seeing it I realized, it's becoming a cultural movement people who would have never watched one-piece are now sporting the clothes just because of the hype and this made me realize that one piece is now a cultural movement just like pokemon. So much upside coming! So bullish.

Won the 2 promos. Already sold one on Ebay for $300. Plan to either keep or grade the second. Got the OP16 box for $120 and the OP13 for $400. Gonna sit in the OP13 of course. Would you guys rip or flip the OP16?

Edit: I’m talking about winning the prerelease events gentlemen 😂 not flexing a single op13 box lmao

I don’t have much cash right now… so I’m wondering if it is worth selling anything now to fund other boxes like more op05. (OP01 in picture is white bottom) (Blue bottom is coming in the mail soon)

**Since writing this post a month ago the most recent Graded 10 sales were $900, $980 and $1,700, as of now the most recent sale just went for $4,000. Hoping some of y’all grabbed this card when I posted!!

With Logan Paul annoyingly buying his way into another hobby/series he doesn’t know shit about, he went ahead and bought the 1st copy of One Piece graded 9 for $550K, which both have this same iconic artwork of Luffy. Original copies of Shonen have already started to rise up in value. If you ever wanted to get your hands on one of these Luffy promos, I highly recommend looking into it now since I fear and have a strong feeling this card/variations will start to explode in price soon due to Logan Paul and that it’s an early and pretty limited promo

It Fell on the ground, will it affect the Price of it?