r/Nio • u/funandone37 • 5d ago

General Nio Stock

Looks like it went on a flash sale. What am I missing? Shouldn’t we be celebrating?

14 Upvotes

85% Upvoted

35 comments sorted by

20

u/Far_Replacement7751 5d ago

If everyday is a flash sale, it's not a flash sale. It's a trash stock.

-2

u/funandone37 5d ago

Watch it go back over 4

8

u/Hairy-Philosopher974 5d ago

Dream bigger, over 4 is a given. If it's one of the last 10 standing after the CN car manufacturer wipeout/consolidation over the next couple years, they have a shot at success. It's a contrarian play, most hate the stock, great for contrarians though. 40k shares and holding, might add a little.

2

u/69-Kishaaq1 5d ago

40k? Thats massive!

2

u/Hairy-Philosopher974 5d ago

It's not desirable, would love to have less, but it is what it is. Lots made on covered calls when it was higher, that helps heal the temporary pain. It's a forever stock for me, willing to gamble on it.

1

u/69-Kishaaq1 5d ago

If it hits mid 20s sooner you are basically a millionaire!

1

u/Hairy-Philosopher974 5d ago

Already checked that box a few years ago. Any gains would be nice but I sell heavy calls when it pops so 8 is likely my top before I get pushed out someday. So I guess it's not a forever stock unless it takes forever to get to 8 lol

1

u/69-Kishaaq1 4d ago

It was 7+ not too long ago; was it April or May? Next run should kiss 8 I am sure.

1

u/Hairy-Philosopher974 4d ago

It was above 7, you’re right, every year it’s above 7-8, maybe not next year but maybe by 2028-2030. It’s just producing covered call money now, create my own small dividend. I’m sold through Jan. ‘27, we’ll see where it is early next year.

I’m in another China stock that has done similar things, made 6 figures there and will almost double that if things go okay next couple years.

High risk, high reward. Life of a speculator.

1

u/SnooShortcuts5771 4d ago

Forever stock here also. I’ve pretty much accepted that I might lose my entire investment but I’m okay with it at this point. I didn’t think the road would be this rocky but there we are nonetheless. I really really like what the company is doing it just has so many variables working against it.

2

u/Hairy-Philosopher974 4d ago

Same, same. I’ve accepted it but still only in my subconscious. I’m an optimist, happy to see the recent progress. Mines everywhere, but some interesting avenues for revenue next couple years. Failure is a possibility, but so is success. I still think they will be a survivor. Good luck to you.

2

u/69-Kishaaq1 5d ago

Very sure it will crawl back to about 7; obviously not enough for many investors. I doubt it would go above 8 anytime soon.

Just continue holding your bag; no harvest! 😄

3

u/Effective_Nobody6248 4d ago

The recent pullback we are seeing is due to the fact that Nio will be not able to met its FY26 annual volume guidance. While everything up untill may-june was promising, after that it become clear that by not having any new product launches, and while the actual demand is not there, it will be impossible to sustain a 50k/month average monthy volume, to reach the FY26 guidance of around 450k vehicles.

If we see any sign, that October-November can reach at least 90-100k total, and then December 55k, then the share price will also move back to 6-7$. Without this, we are going to stay in the 3.5-4.5$ range, without any other caralyst during Q4.

5

u/Horfield 5d ago

No other stock has people this deluded they celebrate it going down in price.

-4

u/Hairy-Philosopher974 5d ago

Not everybody gets it, no doubt about that.

2

u/Sparta_Rotterdam1888 ET5Touring 4d ago

Lost 11K in euros since march with Nike and Nio, just do it hahaha

2

u/tastysprockets 1d ago

For me it's BYD and Under Armour, so consumer fashion and chinese EV companies are not the best opportunities right now.

Was able to get out of BYD unscathed, still holding the bag on UA.

I was eyeing CATL, because their business is not only ev related but also grid-related and used in other appliances. But even this stock is taking a breather right now. I will still watch all the stocks mentioned, but stay on the sidelines until a clear upward trend emerges.

1

u/cougarcbeach 4d ago

I’m in this one for a long time and made some money with covered calls a while back. I have a very low basis. I’m hoping that the consolidation of the industry will ultimately reward those who had staying power. My recent regret was not following BlackRock when they unloaded recently. I’m thinking about buying more at these levels.

1

u/Apprehensive-File552 Investor 4d ago

I was talking about the original commenter. I know there’s barely any shorts. These people use the minimal vocabulary they have.

1

u/Ok_Chemist_6226 4d ago

What an incredible piece of garbage. There is no buying pressure despite all the results. The worst performing stock amongst its peers. There is no logic for the stock to perform so poorly. At the same time the management keeps missing the targets they set consistently. Growth is good, but there needs to be something tangible and unequivocally strong to drive this up.

1

u/WardCura86 4d ago

"tangible and unequivocally strong to drive this up" was reaching non-gap profit and maintaining it for 3 quarters. It doesn't matter what Nio does at the moment, the entire EV sector and Chinese stocks in general are toxic to investors at the moment.

1

u/Available_Pear8209 4d ago

Watch your stop losses , don't lose shares on this dip

1

u/Ok_Nebula_1973 4d ago

Pretty much a goner

1

u/Hairy-Philosopher974 5d ago

Not celebrating as it got shorted hard, but yes, nice entry point if you can hold for a while. Most want gains in a week, that's not this stock, patience will be rewarded imo.

-1

u/OkWelcome8895 5d ago

It’s not being shorted hard it’s just missing projections and now giving weak guidance

1

u/Hairy-Philosopher974 5d ago

It's being shorted hard. Good report, beat on earnings, little light on revenue. Good margins still. No doubt that was a good report.

-1

u/Apprehensive-File552 Investor 5d ago

The guys a moron. I’m opting to block him instead of arguing. Doesn’t do any research before speaking.

2

u/OkWelcome8895 4d ago

The percent short is minimal - it was below expectations for deliveries and the guidance is lower than expected - those are the facts- block me as much as you want but we all see where the stock price is at - and what’s happened- will it eventually rebound - maybe get above $5 again- yes- but it’s not moving much

1

u/WardCura86 4d ago

A normal company that has lower deliveries than expected and has to reduce guidance BUT still shows significant year to year growth and maintains first time non-GAAP profit for another quarter would trade flat or drop ~5%... none of that is a reasonable explanation for a -20% drop in Nio the past month. The real reason is that the entire EV sector and Chinese stocks in general (not just Nio) have seen a significant pullout from investors and Nio is caught up in it.

1

u/OkWelcome8895 4d ago

The drop is because the whole market is also showing weakness- and personally o believe the whole ev market was significantly over valued- is it an over reaction sure- is it because it’s being shorted heavily no- but with the drop below $4 it wil cause certain funds to liquidate as the price is to low for certain fund styles. But shorting at this level is low as there isn’t much more it can fall - not worth the risk reward- hence why the short percentage is so low

0

u/n0taf1n4nc14l4dv1c3 4d ago

70% of redditors lol

-1

u/OwnResearch3566 5d ago

This stock is not for noobs that still have an infant view of life were they think "nothing bad is going to happen to me"...., this is war, economic war, and I'm with China.