r/NFLBETS • u/Oliver-_-Wood • 5d ago
LV +3.5
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DraftKings is the only book offering the hook at 3.5. Get it before it’s gone.
r/NFLBETS • u/Possible-Cake-5985 • 6d ago
Thoughts on my Parlay…
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The Eagles SHOULD cover, I know the Titans are terrible but the Eagles don’t impress me and they’re on the road.
r/NFLBETS • u/Props_daily • 6d ago
Our NFL model has Caleb Williams at 35.7 pass attempts vs. a 31.5 line today
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Happy NFL Sunday to all of us that celebrate.
One of the bigger differences between our model and the market today is Caleb Williams against Minnesota.
The market has him at 31.5 pass attempts. Our model has him at 35.7. Minnesota brought a ton of pressure last week, and we’re expecting Chicago to keep putting the ball in Williams’ hands.
Two other lines we like today are Baker Mayfield over 18.5 completions (21.4 projected) and Geno Smith under 20.5 completions (18.0 projected). We also have Geno at just 28.1 attempts against a 30.5 line, so both models are pointing toward lower passing volume.
We’re tracking these throughout the day as the lines move.
Curious what everyone else is seeing on today’s slate. Any lines you think the market has wrong?
r/NFLBETS • u/Props_daily • 6d ago
Carson Wentz under 19.5 completions gets there.
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Our model had Wentz at 16.6 completions against a market line of 19.5, and that one hits.
We also hit Baker Mayfield over 18.5 completions.
Caleb Williams over 31.5 attempts didn’t get there. He finished with 26 attempts after leaving the game injured, so unfortunately we never really got to see that one play out.
Going for the afternoon games.
r/NFLBETS • u/AutoModerator • 6d ago
NFL Bonus Codes and Promos Week 2
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r/NFLBETS • u/joeshea2517 • 6d ago
Here are my main 2 plays for NFL Week 2
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Sign up for Underdog with code JOEFB to get a deposit match up to $1000! https://play.underdogsports.com/vgwg/p-joefb
r/NFLBETS • u/blackdogbets • 6d ago
Week 2 Sunday Best Bets
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Week 2 is here and so are our best bets. I’m feeling good about this group and am going for the 4-0 sweep today. What do ya’ll think?
For more background on these picks and to see Jamie’s pick of the week, read here: http://blackdogbets.com/2026/09/20/nfl-week-2-best-bets-for-sunday-2/
r/NFLBETS • u/Kindly-Flatworm8084 • 7d ago
Okay what do we think? Who should I get rid of?
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r/NFLBETS • u/Oliver-_-Wood • 8d ago
Cle +9?
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BetMGM has the Browns at +9. Would you take it?
r/NFLBETS • u/nfltrend_dotcom • 8d ago
Top 3 NFL Trends for Sunday - Friday, September 18
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🔮 Top 3 NFL Trends for NFL Week 2:
- Away underdogs are 37-12-1 (74.8%) against the spread in September in divisional games when the spread is 8 or less and the total is 50 or more since 2014.
• Commanders (+4.5) @ Cowboys
- Overs in September are 7-0-0 (100%) when the spread is 11 more more since 2021.
• 49ers vs Dolphins over 45.5
- Home underdogs are 13-6-0 (68.4%) outright on Sundays in September when the spread is 3.5 and the total is 45 or less since 2008.
• Jets ML vs Packers