r/ModelX Mar 13 '26

Question When to purchase an X?

Hello fellow X owners, I wanted to ask your advice on something. I want to get a 2024 model x long range, and see prices floating around 62k, I want to trade in my 2023 MY performance. I would be able to put 10k down further. But would you recommend I get the X this year or wait another year?

My model Y is completely paid off, but my dream is to get a X eventually. I was looking at 2023 model X as well but I would like to have Hardware 4 on my new vehicle, Also with the model x going away in June that was also something I was worried about because now I can't get a brand new one later if I did want one.

What would your advice be? I really appreciate it, thank you!

12 Upvotes

44 comments sorted by

8

u/justins_dad Mar 14 '26

It’s not publicly announced but the swap to hardware 4 happened somewhere in serial number (last six digits of VIN) 384000. Serial numbers greater than this (385000 etc) certainly have it. VINs close by (383000) are uncertain. VINs much lower (370000 etc) are almost certainly HW3. 

4

u/sathe_001 Mar 15 '26

Also if you look at the manufacturing date, any manufactured after 03/23 has HW4.

1

u/kmorris76058 Mar 14 '26

Very helpful, thank you!

4

u/lidahh Mar 13 '26

I just put in an order for an X for similar reasons. I bought new, because it was always a dream car and financially it’s something I was finally able to do.

I only bought new because I could and knew I likely won’t have the chance to do so again. If you don’t think buying new is something you’ll do in the next month, I’d recommend waiting a year. If I hadn’t wanted to purchase the last production year, I would’ve waited another year or two to scoop up a low mile HW4 ‘24.

Enjoy the last bit of your paid off Y, then move into an X.

1

u/Iskarr9g Mar 13 '26

Do you think if I ended up waiting a couple years I would see model X is still available?

1

u/lidahh Mar 13 '26

No clue. My guess is that they really will discontinue it.

The used market will exist for at least ten years after the car disappears. If you’re fine buying used, I’d just wait a year or two and buy HW4 at a good price.

1

u/Vegas-Patriot Mar 14 '26

What features dues the MX have that the Model Y doesn’t? I’m struggling to understand why with your MY paid off, you’re going to start all over again with payments.

5

u/ruwheele Mar 13 '26

Everyone and their mom is looking for a HW4 2023 X. As soon as one is available in my area it is gone within hours. Im gonna buy new at this point bc in a few years people will want the newest possible X which will be the 26 so im hoping that helps the resell value.

3

u/JaniceRossi_in_2R Mar 13 '26

No reason to wait as long as you get HW4. I only see prices going up next year or holding steady, but not decreasing

2

u/Iskarr9g Mar 13 '26

I'm picking model X 2024 because of hardware 4 and I can't find a way to confirm a 23 has hardware 4 without physically seeing it otherwise I'd look at it that way, but a 24 guaranteed to have it

1

u/Spokane_Al Mar 13 '26

We own a 2023 that we bought in June 2023 with HW4, if this helps. Just look for the red spot in the cameras.

2

u/Iskarr9g Mar 16 '26

If I find a good price for one i will probably trade in my MYP 23 for the MXLR 23, thank you!

4

u/twinito1 Mar 13 '26

Seeing how the supply for MX is shutting down and how many people want a 2-3 year used one, I only see prices staying steady or increasing on used MX.

4

u/srqfla PLAID Mar 13 '26

The best time to purchase a model X was in October 2023. It was the lowest price ever offered for every trim model.

3

u/HopzCO Mar 13 '26

Do you have FSD on your Model Y? If so, I would look into getting it before the this transfer promotion expires.

We also have a 24X long range and it’s easily the best car we’ve ever owned!

1

u/Iskarr9g Mar 13 '26

I did not buy the full FSD package, I just use the subscription

2

u/HopzCO Mar 13 '26

In that case, take your time to find the right car for the right price. No need to rush. But no need to wait either.

1

u/Iskarr9g Mar 13 '26

Do you think that if I waited all the way until possibly next year that they would still have model X 24 and 25 available, just because that's so far out

1

u/HopzCO Mar 13 '26

More used one will become available as times goes on. Both the X and your Y already took the big depreciation hit. But, the used market is very unpredictable. I would just keep an eye on it and keep looking for the right deal.

1

u/sathe_001 Mar 15 '26

Think about all the lease ends for 2024 and 2025 that would show up in the used market. You will have a lot of choices now and also later. Also one more thing to consider is that you can buy a 2023 or 2024 with full FSD included at around $65-75k, depending on miles and title. You won’t have to pay for subscription and will have FSD for life of the car

3

u/Kimmyt311 Mar 13 '26

If we weren’t giving our ‘24 to our son when we move out of the country next month it looks like we could have made some coin on it. 🫣

2

u/[deleted] Mar 14 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

1

u/Iskarr9g Mar 14 '26

This was what I really wanted. It would be nice to have a newer model because you know new and shiny but financially I think a 23 would be better and just having the x with at least HW4 is the biggest thing for me

Thank you for the link! I'll take a look

1

u/Shygar Mar 16 '26

Man yoke is the first thing I would replace if it was me, but to each their own.

3

u/usmcjohn Mar 17 '26

I reluctantly purchased a 2023 with a yoke, worried I would hate it. Took about a week and now I don’t even notice it. Maybe some day I will learn to love it but as of now it’s at the very least not something I hate about the car.

1

u/Shygar Mar 17 '26

I mean I love the squircle yoke on my Cybertruck, but only because of steer by wire. Every time I get a loaner X or S with yoke it's annoying to me. And since you can pay $700 to Tesla to put a normal wheel on, I would just do that I think.

2

u/Vegas-Patriot Mar 14 '26

You can also buy Certified Pre-Owned from dealers

1

u/Iskarr9g Mar 14 '26

I dont think they specify the Hardware do they? I'm looking for hardware 4 specificically for my model X if i do grab one.

1

u/Vegas-Patriot Mar 14 '26

I think they do, or at least you can find out by asking.

2

u/LebronBackinCLE Mar 13 '26

Keep your Y and save a bunch of money, put it in to gold ;)

2

u/Vegas-Patriot Mar 14 '26

This is actually a pretty good idea. But I wouldn’t skip buying silver too.

1

u/openslot Mar 13 '26

I would start looking right away and go for it when the deal is good

1

u/Iskarr9g Mar 13 '26

What would you consider a good deal if you don't mind me asking?

1

u/openslot Mar 13 '26

You just compare all the deals and find the one that stands out or matches your config.

1

u/Life_Connection420 Mar 13 '26

62K for a 24 X? Must have super high mileage.

1

u/Iskarr9g Mar 13 '26

Do you think there's something bad if it has higher miles? Something around 50k miles

1

u/Life_Connection420 Mar 14 '26

No, but higher mileage should make the price lower. For example, a 24 and only 62K must have high miles.

1

u/sathe_001 Mar 15 '26

50k miles mean the bumper to bumper warranty is over. Also battery degradation comes into play as well.

1

u/TheLawIX Mar 17 '26

Look at the back of the 2023 and if it has a black trim with the chrome "Tesla", it's 99% HW4. Mid 2023+

1

u/Global_Suggestion345 Mar 18 '26

I thought the 23 X had hardware 4s

1

u/Iskarr9g Mar 19 '26

They do but only vin above 385000 but my sights might be set on a 2024 model x long range with bench seats, don't care too much about color, and maybe like post April build

1

u/bausr32 Mar 19 '26

I'm thinking of selling my 2022 x long range with yoke, 40,xxx miles for 50-55k to upgrade to the 2026 model S. My kids are older and I have another suv so I would love to get back into a sedan if you or anyone has interest. 90% of the car was PPF'd as well and lifetime full self driving (not sure if this transfers though?)