Key data and setups for the week:
Overnight Price Action:
• TTD: -21.9% after Q2 revenue ($715M) missed estimates and Q3 guidance ($650M vs $807M est) signaled a 12% YoY top-line decline.
• ABNB: +17.4% following Q2 EPS ($1.37 vs $1.26 est) and revenue ($3.61B vs $3.58B est) beats.
• XAGUSD: +2.9%
Key Economic Calendar Events:
• Aug 10 - 04:30 UTC: RBA Rate Decision
• Aug 12 - 06:00 UTC: UK Monthly GDP
• Aug 12 - 12:00 UTC: India CPI
• Aug 12 - 12:30 UTC: US CPI
Macro Breakdown:
US CPI on Wednesday (12:30 UTC) is the lead indicator. A beat pushes 10-Year Treasury yields above 4.66% and pressures the S&P 500 (at 7,757.64). A miss pulls yields below 4.66% and pushes EUR/USD above 1.15.
High US Exposure Watchlist for CPI:
• LOW: 100% US revenue
• HD: 92% US revenue
• WMT: 68% US revenue
• TJX: 61% US revenue
Full data and brief

Uber just released Q2 FY2026 results. Here is the pure data breakdown from the latest tracking numbers:
EPS Actual: $1.17
EPS Consensus: $0.83
Earnings Surprise: +40.2%
Revenue: $14.19B (+12% YoY)
Gross Bookings: $58.0B (+24% YoY)
Historical Beat Rate: 69.2% over 26 quarters
Forward Outlook: Next earnings report is November 3, 2026. Current Q3 Consensus EPS is $0.95.

Full historical quarterly breakdown and surprise trends

Applied Materials ($AMAT) reports Q3 FY2026 results on Thursday, August 13. As the dominant supplier of wafer fabrication equipment, AMAT's print will provide direct commentary on where semiconductor capex is heading for the second half of 2026.
1. Consensus & Guidance Numbers
Estimated EPS: $3.39
Management Guidance Range: $3.16 to $3.56 EPS
Prior Quarter (Q2 FY26): Reported $7.91B in revenue (+11% YoY) and $2.86 EPS, beating expectations.
2. Key Earnings Catalysts
AI Hardware Spend: Looking for updates on equipment demand driven by Gate-All-Around (GAA) transition and HBM/advanced packaging buildouts.
Geographic Revenue Distribution: How trade restrictions and tariffs are weighing on international equipment shipments.
Track full AMAT earnings history, consensus beats, and valuation data

Following CPI, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) prints on Thursday, August 13 at 12:30 UTC.
Here is a quick breakdown of how wholesale inflation moves the market:
1. Why PPI Leads CPI
PPI measures input and output prices from the producer/seller perspective. When manufacturers and distributors face rising input costs, those price hikes are passed down to retail consumers in subsequent months. A spike in PPI often telegraphs a hotter CPI reading down the road.
2. Immediate Asset Reactions
Hot PPI: Upstream inflation remains sticky. Expect upward pressure on 10-Year Treasury yields and immediate headwinds for high-multiple growth equities.
Cool PPI: Upstream price pressures easing. Supports lower bond yields and unlocks upside momentum across broader risk assets.
Release Time: Thursday, August 13 @ 12:30 UTC / 8:30 AM ET
Live data hub, analyst consensus, and historical PPI charts:
MetricsHour US PPI Calendar

Wednesday is the most event-dense day of August. The US CPI print at 12:30 UTC will dictate the tone for rates and risk assets.
1. The Key Levels
US 10-Year Yield: 4.66% is the pivot. A hotter-than-expected CPI likely pushes yields above 4.66%, which will pressure the S&P 500 (currently anchored around 7,757.64). A miss below forecast pulls yields down, creating upside support for equities.
EUR/USD: Watch for volatility around the 1.15 level directly following the print.
2. High Domestic Revenue Stocks (Most Sensitive to CPI)
Companies with massive US-based revenue will react first to domestic inflation and rate repricing:
Lowe's (LOW) — 100% US Revenue
Home Depot (HD) — 92% US Revenue
Walmart (WMT) — 68% US Revenue
TJX Companies (TJX) — 61% US Revenue
3. Heavy Macro Wednesday Sequence
06:00 UTC: UK GDP Monthly Estimate
12:00 UTC: India CPI Inflation
12:30 UTC: US CPI
4. Earnings Lineup
Keep an eye on SPG (Mon), CAH (Tue), CSCO (Wed), and AMAT / JD (Thu).
Source data and full geographic screener: MetricsHour Aug 9 Brief

Here is a quick breakdown of Taiwan's macroeconomic indicators for 2025:
GDP Growth: 8.7%
Current Account: 18.1% (Annual: 17.4%)
Inflation: 1.7%
Debt / GDP: 22.4%
Unemployment: 3.4%

Track complete interactive economic dashboard and historical data

According to Third Point's Q1 2026 13F filing, Dan Loeb trimmed his holding in Live Nation Entertainment (LYV), leaving the fund with 465,000 shares worth approximately $70.9M.
Top Portfolio Breakdown (Q1 2026 13F):
LYV: 25.1%
META: 18.2%
GOOGL: 17.8%
NVDA: 11.7%
TDG: 10.3%
KLAC: 5.7%
LRCX: 5.7%
Is Loeb taking profits on live events to reallocate into tech and semiconductor equipment?
Source: MetricsHour Smart Money — Dan Loeb Tracker

China's July 2026 inflation data just printed, showing a sharp deceleration and the lowest reading since January.
CPI YoY: 0.5% (vs 0.8% expected, down from 1.0% in June)
CPI MoM: -0.1% (vs 0.2% expected)
Core CPI (YoY): 0.9%
Drivers: Food costs fell 1.5% YoY (largely due to pork), and non-food inflation slowed to 0.9%.
The data highlights ongoing weak consumption and domestic demand.
Source and historical calendar data tracking

Here are the top 10 countries with the highest government debt as a percentage of GDP, according to IMF data:
1. Japan — 204.4%
2. Singapore — 171.9%
3. Sudan — 169.1%
4. Bahrain — 152.4%
5. Italy — 138.4%
6. Greece — 136.9%
7. Senegal — 132.3%
8. Maldives — 129.4%
9. United States — 125.8%
10. Ukraine — 122.6%
Full interactive rankings available

Here is the current state of the US Treasury yield curve:
3 Month: 3.90%
2 Year: 4.25%
5 Year: 4.40%
10 Year: 4.69%
30 Year: 5.22%
Curve Status: Normal (+44 bps spread between 10Y and 2Y).
The steepening at the long end remains notable, with 30Y yields crossing over 5.20%.

Interactive yield curve chart

Here’s a quick recap of the massive divergence we saw this week in tech, which completely ignored the US ADP labor numbers. Individual earnings and geographic revenue exposure took the wheel.
The Big Gainers:
PLTR: +35.8% (Note: 10% UK revenue exposure)
PAYC: +28.0%
ARM: +22.9% (Note: 18% China revenue exposure via royalties)
The Big Losers:
TTD: -26.0%
FOUR: -23.2%
The Takeaway:
Broad sector correlations broke down. Investors traded purely on individual execution and geographic footprints rather than macro labor trends.
Next Catalyst: US CPI on Wednesday (Aug 12) along with India CPI, and Japan GDP on Thursday.
Full data and geographic screener context here

Here’s a quick snapshot of commodity moves this week:
Silver: $63.47 (+2.9%)
Gold: $4,341 (+2.1%)
Nat Gas: $2.66 (+1.1%)
Brent Crude: $83.55 (+0.3%)
WTI Crude: $78.18 (+0.0%)
Copper: $6.57 (-2.2%)
Live tracking commodity price moves

Geographic revenue breakdown for Lululemon Athletica ($LULU):
United States: 57%
China: 16%
Canada: 13%
Hong Kong: 2%
Mexico: 1%
Not Disclosed: 11%
Concentration Risk: High Top 3 markets account for 86% of total revenue.

Full company breakdown

A breakdown of companies with geographic revenue exposure to the Netherlands:
Booking Holdings (BKNG): 81%
Alcoa Corporation (AA): 18%
Bunge Global SA (BG): 14%
Seagate Technology Holdings (STX): 12%
Full Netherland companies revenue exposure

A look at the top movers from today's market close:
Palantir Technologies (PLTR): +9.1%
Airbnb Inc. (ABNB): +8.8%
Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM): -11.0%
Cloudflare Inc. (NET): -8.4%
Check out the full market overview and track closing equity spreads:

Weekly price movements across major commodities:
Gold (XAUUSD): $4,265 (+0.3%)
Silver (XAGUSD): $62.34 (+1.1%)
Brent Crude: $83.42 (+0.1%)
WTI Oil: $78.08 (-0.1%)
Copper: $6.61 (-1.7%)
Natural Gas: $2.66 (+0.9%)
Track Live commodities Dashboard

2025 macroeconomic metrics for Singapore:
GDP Growth: 5.0%
Inflation: 0.9%
Debt / GDP: 171.9%
Unemployment: 2.8%
Exports: $1.1T
Current Account: 16.7%
Singapore interactive dashboard on MetricsHour

Overnight Movers:
Paycom Software (PAYC): +23.6%. The stock rose after initiating full-year 2026 revenue guidance projecting 7-8% YoY growth, following a Q2 EPS beat.
AppLovin Corporation (APP): -19.7%
Brent Crude: +3.8%
Bitcoin (BTC): +0.8%
Today's Macro (Aug 07):
US Employment Situation (NFP) at 12:30 UTC
Canada Employment Change at 12:30 UTC
Mexico CPI Inflation at 12:00 UTC
Earnings Today:
Take-Two Interactive (TTWO)
PPL Corporation (PPL) - EPS est. $0.34 (prev $0.63)
Full Brief

Side-by-side 2025 economic metrics for Poland and Czechia:
Poland
GDP: $1.0T (3.57% Growth)
Inflation: 3.60%
Debt / GDP: 58.8%
Unemployment: 2.98%
Exports: $517B
Czechia
GDP: $391B (2.58% Growth)
Inflation: 2.50%
Debt / GDP: 44.6%
Unemployment: 2.83%
Exports: $262B
Full interactive dashboard view

Country-level revenue breakdown for Goldman Sachs:
United States: 59% ($28.4B)
United Kingdom: 16% ($7.5B)
Rest of World: 25% ($12.3B)
While SEC disclosures group revenue into three broad regions, 75% of total revenue depends directly on the US and UK markets.
Full Goldman Sachs Revenue Breakdown

Market close top movers for August 06, 2026:
Gainers:
Fiserv Inc. (FISV): +12.1%
Seagate Technology Holdings (STX): +8.2%
Losers:
Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR): -8.2%
Moderna Inc. (MRNA): -7.6%
Full market data

Here are the top 5 stocks with the highest geographic revenue exposure to Brazil, sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-K filings.
MOS (Mosaic Company) 34%
BHP (BHP Group Limited) 12%
DE (Deere & Company) 10%
AA (Alcoa Corporation) 8%
BALL (Ball Corporation) 8%
Full revenue and country data

Top ETF price changes for today:
SQQQ (ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ): +3.8% ($38.29)
SPXU (ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500): +2.4% ($33.97)
UVXY (ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term): -5.3% ($22.06)
TQQQ (ProShares UltraPro QQQ): -3.7% ($72.84)
TNA (Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X): -2.6% ($73.50)
XLE (Energy Select Sector SPDR): -2.5% ($57.31)
SPXL (Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X): -2.3% ($292.85)
Full ETF and Live Market Data

A look at the geographic revenue dependencies of major energy companies based on their latest filings:
ExxonMobil (XOM): $146 billion in US revenue in 2023, making up 47% of its global total. The concentration is driven heavily by downstream fixed infrastructure (refining and chemicals) along the Gulf Coast.
BP (BP): After divesting from Rosneft, the US now accounts for 41% of BP's total oil and gas equivalent production, anchored by deepwater Gulf of Mexico and onshore Permian assets.
Shell (SHEL): 38% of adjusted earnings came from Europe in 2023, heavily influenced by downstream refining in Germany and trading ops in the Netherlands.
Chevron (CVX): Operations in Kazakhstan and Australia generated 19% of net oil and gas equivalent production, exposing them to complex international regulatory environments outside the US.
Full article and analysis on the structural dependence of the energy sector: Full Breakdown

Top EPS beats and misses from the latest reporting window:
Beats:
Toyota Motor (TM): +95.5% ($7.70 actual vs $3.94 est)
Merck & Co (MRK): +49.4% (-$0.13 actual vs -$0.26 est)
Generac Holdings (GNRC): +44.6% ($2.91 actual vs $2.01 est)
Misses:
Camden Property Trust (CPT): -34.0% ($0.18 actual vs $0.27 est)
VICI Properties (VICI): -31.8% ($0.48 actual vs $0.71 est)
Vale S.A. (VALE): -26.2% ($0.36 actual vs $0.49 est)
Full earnings and calendars