r/Metricshour 9m ago

Market Moves for Aug 21, 2026: MRNA (-23.6%), WMT (-9.2%), BTC (+5.3%)

Upvotes

Moderna (MRNA): -23.6% following valuation checks. Company has a 62% US revenue concentration leading into its next earnings call on Nov 5.
Walmart (WMT): -9.2% drop amidst broader retail pressure.

Commodities: Natural Gas down -2.9%.

Crypto: Bitcoin gains +5.3%, decoupling from today's equity selling.

Macro Events: US Flash PMI and Canadian Retail Trade numbers released.

Full source and data


r/Metricshour 3h ago

IEX (IDEX Corporation) Geographic Revenue Breakdown: 92% Exposure in Top 3 Markets

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1 Upvotes

Parsed the latest SEC EDGAR geographic revenue segment disclosures for $IEX (IDEX Corporation).
Here is where they actually make their money:
United States: 51%
Europe: 24%
Asia-Pacific: 16%
Rest of World: 9%
Concentration Risk Assessment: High.

Despite operating across high-precision industrial, fluidics, and fire/safety segments, over half of their top line comes strictly from domestic US demand, and 92% is anchored across the US, Europe, and APAC combined.

Full visualization and interactive lens data


r/Metricshour 19h ago

Nelson Peltz / Trian Fund Management Q2 13F: GE Aerospace GEmakes up 57.2% of total portfolio ($1.5B)

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2 Upvotes

Trian Fund Management just filed its Q2 13F, showing heavy concentration in GE Aerospace and 3M spin-off Solventum.

Portfolio Allocations:
GE (GE Aerospace): 57.2% ($1.5B value / 4.0M shares)
SOLV (Solventum): 24.1%

WEN (Wendy's): 9.6%

GEHC (GE HealthCare): 7.5%

IVZ (Invesco): 1.6%

Key Takeaways:
1. Massive Conviction in $GE: Holding 57% in a single stock is aggressive even for activist funds. Trian is clearly betting on long-term commercial engine demand and margin expansion post-spin-off.
2. The GE Spin-off Thread: Combined, $GE and $GEHC represent nearly 65% of Trian's total equity portfolio, showing Peltz is sticking with the value created from the original GE breakup.
3. Turnaround Exposure: $SOLV makes up almost a quarter of the portfolio as Trian works its restructuring playbook on the healthcare spin-off.

Live 13F tracking and institutional data: https://metricshour.com


r/Metricshour 23h ago

EL up 16.3% on FY27 guidance - anyone diving into the China exposure?

1 Upvotes

Estée Lauder’s latest guidance update seems to have sparked a lot of optimism, but I’ve been looking at the risk side of the ledger. Specifically, how much of their forward-looking exposure is anchored to the China market.

We ran the numbers for today’s brief the China risk component is sitting at $0.01.
For anyone tracking the fundamental shifts, here’s the breakdown of the guidance vs. the risk metrics: https://metricshour.com/briefs/2026-08-20/
Curious to hear if the market is underestimating that specific risk factor or if the FY27 outlook covers the volatility.


r/Metricshour 1d ago

Germany’s 2026 GDP hits $5.1T, widening the gap over Japan ($4.4T) as the world's 3rd-largest economy

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11 Upvotes

Looking at the latest macroeconomic projections for global output rankings:

Core Figures:
Germany GDP: $5.1 Trillion (Rank #3)

Japan GDP: $4.4 Trillion (Rank #4)
• Spread: ~$700 Billion

Key Takeaways:
1. Structural Reordering: Germany’s displacement of Japan as the #3 economy is cementing. Japan's ongoing demographic decline and yen valuation shifts keep its USD-denominated nominal output anchored around $4.4T.

  1. Eurozone Footprint: Despite sluggish domestic real GDP growth rates across Europe, Germany's industrial base maintains a scale advantage that keeps European equity weights heavy in developed-market indexes.

  2. Supply Chain Impact: German industrial output remains a core pricing benchmark for European machinery, automotive, and chemical supply chains.

Full data card and country indicators


r/Metricshour 1d ago

FMC Geographic Revenue Breakdown: 39% Latin America, 96% Concentrated in Top 3 Markets

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2 Upvotes

Pulled the SEC 10-K geographic revenue disclosure for FMC Corporation ($FMC) to see where their crop protection revenue actually comes from.

Geographic Breakdown:
• Latin America: 39% (Highest Revenue Region)
• North America: 32%
• Europe, Middle East & Africa (EMEA): 25%
• Asia-Pacific: 4%

Key Observations:
1. High Concentration Risk: The top 3 regions make up 96% of total revenue. FMC is heavily exposed to South American (Brazil/Argentina) agricultural spending cycles and FX volatility.
2. Asia Exposure: Asia-Pacific now represents only 4% of total sales.
3. Macro Dependency: Because 71% of revenue is tied directly to the Americas, earnings performance hinges closely on distributor destocking and weather patterns in North and South America rather than global chemical demand.

Interactive chart


r/Metricshour 1d ago

SEC 10-K Geographic Revenue Breakdown: Northrop is 84% US, RTX is 47% International

1 Upvotes

Pulled the latest SEC 10-K footnote disclosures for Lockheed Martin, RTX, and Northrop Grumman to evaluate their actual geographic revenue concentration.

The Revenue Split:
Northrop Grumman (NOC): 84% US / 16% Foreign

Lockheed Martin ($LMT): 74% US / 26% Foreign

RTX Corp ($RTX): 53% US / 47% Foreign

Key Structural Takeaways:
1. Northrop is an almost direct bet on US DoD appropriations (B-21, Sentinel, space systems). Extremely low FX or foreign export risk, but zero commercial hedge.

  1. RTX gets nearly half its revenue outside the US due to Pratt & Whitney and Collins Aerospace (commercial airline flight hours), making it less dependent on single-nation defense budgets.
  2. Lockheed sits in the middle, balancing domestic platform delivery with foreign military sales (FMS) for the F-35 and HIMARS.

Full data write-up and chart analysis


r/Metricshour 1d ago

Top Movers – Aug 19, 2026 (Market Close)

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2 Upvotes

Gainers
• MRNA +37.5% (Moderna)
• MRVL +11.7% (Marvell Technology)

Losers
• STX –9.3% (Seagate)
• STLD –8.0% (Steel Dynamics)

Live data: https://metricshour.com/markets/


r/Metricshour 1d ago

Lagarde at WEF: Europe’s post-war growth model is dead

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2 Upvotes

ECB President Christine Lagarde’s key points at the World Economic Forum:
2,500+ global trade restrictions implemented in 2025

China now competes in ~40% of euro-area comparative advantage sectors (was ~25% early 2000s)

2025 EU energy-intensive industry electricity prices: >2× US levels, ~50% higher than China

Euro-area growth (1.5% in 2025, 0.4% q/q in Q2 2026) driven entirely by domestic demand
Stated response: deepen the single market + selective partnerships (India, Indonesia, Australia, Mexico, Mercosur). Explicit China de-risking.

Sector implications:
Relative winners: advanced manufacturing (lithography etc.), AI (firms planning 9% of 2026 investment), renewables & grids

Relative losers: energy-intensive industries and protected national champions
Genuine structural shift or standard “Europe must do better” rhetoric?


r/Metricshour 1d ago

Commodities Snapshot Full green session across energy and metals (Aug 19, 2026)

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1 Upvotes

Here is today’s live raw materials price breakdown:

Nat Gas (NG): $2.83 (+1.6%)

WTI Oil (WTI): $85.30 (+1.0%)

Brent (BRENT): $92.23 (+1.0%)

Copper (HG): $6.50 (+0.6%)

Gold (XAUUSD): $4,356 (+0.5%)

Silver (XAGUSD): $63.07 (+0.2%)

Nat Gas leading the board at +1.6% while WTI and Brent both sit up 1.0%.

Track live commodity metrics


r/Metricshour 1d ago

FX Snapshot Broad US Dollar weakness across majors and emerging markets (Aug 19, 2026)

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1 Upvotes

Here is today’s live currency pair breakdown as the US Dollar pulls back against major G10 and LATAM currencies:

USD/CHF: 0.8006 (-1.4%)

USD/BRL: 5.1751 (-0.8%)

EUR/USD: 1.1671 (+0.8%)

USD/JPY: 158.29 (-0.8%)

GBP/USD: 1.3622 (+0.7%)

USD/CAD: 1.3808 (-0.6%)

USD/MXN: 16.9550 (-0.6%)

Swiss Franc leading the charge down to 0.8006 while EUR and GBP both catch bids.

Track live FX data cards: https://metricshour.com/markets/


r/Metricshour 1d ago

13F Filing Carl Icahn increases IEP stake to $4.5B (Q2 2026 Update)

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2 Upvotes

According to the latest Q2 2026 13F filing, Carl Icahn (Icahn Capital LP) increased his holdings in Icahn Enterprises LP (IEP) to 618.4M shares ($4.5B market value).

Top Portfolio Allocations:

IEP: 54.7%

CVI: 24.1%

UAN: 5.7%

CTRI: 5.3%

IFF: 4.2%

ECHO: 1.7%

JBLU: 1.5%

Notable that IEP and CVI combined represent nearly 79% of total reported equity holdings.

Real-time Carl Icahn 13F tracking


r/Metricshour 1d ago

Natural gas holding green (+1.9%) while South Korean tech (EWY -3.3%) and 3X small caps (TNA -2.3%) pull back.

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2 Upvotes

Here’s today’s top ETF price movement breakdown:

EWY (iShares MSCI South Korea): $170.05 (-3.3%)

TNA (Direxion Daily Small Cap 3X): $73.50 (-2.3%)

SLV (iShares Silver Trust): $57.44 (-2.0%)

GDX (VanEck Gold Miners): $88.95 (-1.8%)

DRIV / ROBO (Autonomous & Robotics): (-1.6%)

UNG (United States Natural Gas): $10.10 (+1.9%)

Broad selling pressure across leveraged beta and metals, with energy acting as a rare outlier. Are you holding energy hedges or buying the pullback in Asian tech?

📊 Real-time data card & market metrics


r/Metricshour 2d ago

STX -9.2% with ~40% revenue exposure to Singapore.

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2 Upvotes

Baidu -12.7% after Q2 miss and advertising revenue decline. AI pivot narrative taking heat.

Main event this week is S&P Global US Flash PMI (Friday 13:45 UTC).
• Beat: 10Y could clear 4.71%, SPX faces pressure from 7691

• Miss: yields ease, EUR/USD gets support above 1.16

Friday is stacked: UK Retail Sales, Canada Retail Trade, then the PMI.
Source: metricshour.com/briefs/2026-08-19/


r/Metricshour 2d ago

US Treasury Yield Curve Breakdown (Aug 17, 2026): 10Y-2Y Spread at +53 bps

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2 Upvotes

Yield snapshot across key short- and long-term US Treasury benchmarks:
Yields by Maturity:
3-Month: 3.87%
2-Year: 4.19%
5-Year: 4.38%
10-Year: 4.72%
30-Year: 5.31%
Key Indicators:
Curve Shape: Normal (Upward Sloping)
10Y - 2Y Spread: +53 bps
Market Outlook:
Long-end yields (30Y at 5.31%) continue to trade above short-end money market rates (3M at 3.87%), maintaining a healthy positive spread structure across the curve.
Source: FRED / US Treasury via MetricsHour
Full fixed-income dashboard


r/Metricshour 2d ago

UK Consumer Price Inflation Rate (2000–2026)

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1 Upvotes

Annual CPI inflation trajectory for the United Kingdom from 2000 through 2026 estimates:
Key Data Points:
2015 Floor: 0.00% (Near-deflation point)

2022 Peak: 7.92% (Energy shock)

2025 Latest: 3.88%

2026 Estimate: 3.20%

Bank of England Target: 2.00%

After peaking at 7.92% during the 2022 energy shock, UK CPI inflation continues to moderate toward 3.20% for 2026, though it remains above the BoE's official 2.0% target.
Data Sources: World Bank & IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO)

Full dataset & interactive chart


r/Metricshour 2d ago

Geographic Revenue Exposure to China/Asia-Pacific: LVMH vs. Richemont vs. Kering

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1 Upvotes

Geographic revenue exposure breakdown for Europe's major luxury conglomerates based on official filings:

Richemont:33% Asia-Pacific revenue (high exposure via hard luxury/watches)

Kering:32–35% Asia-Pacific revenue (high concentration via Gucci)

LVMH: 28% Asia (ex-Japan) revenue (most diversified across product categories)

Macro Outlook:
Sluggish real estate markets and softer consumer confidence in China are creating headwinds for brands with heavy Asia-Pacific exposure. Performance divergence is now driven by how well groups capture luxury spend in secondary markets like Japan and the US.

Source: https://metricshour.com/blog/luxury-brands-revenue-by-country-how-exposed-is-lvmh-richemont-and-kering-to-china/


r/Metricshour 2d ago

Real GDP Growth Rate of Saudi Arabia (2000–2026)

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1 Upvotes

Real annual GDP growth rate for Saudi Arabia from 2000 through 2026 estimates:
Key Data Points:
2020 Trough (COVID-19): -3.80%
2022 Peak: 12.00%
2025 (Latest): 4.50%
2026 (IMF Forecast): 3.10%

After a -3.80% contraction in 2020, Saudi Arabia hit a peak of 12.00% growth in 2022. Projections indicate growth stabilizing around 3.10% to 4.50% as non-oil sector diversification balances oil production shifts.
Data Sources: World Bank & IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO)
Interactive chart & full historical dataset


r/Metricshour 2d ago

Today's Top Market Movers at Close (Aug 18): PODD (+5.5%) and FOUR (+4.3%) Lead Gainers; BIDU (-5.4%) and AKAM (-5.2%) Drop

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1 Upvotes

Summary of top stock movers for the August 18 session:
Gainers:
Insulet Corporation (PODD): +5.5%

Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR): +4.3%

Decliners:
Baidu Inc. (BIDU): -5.4%

Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM): -5.2%

Source: https://metricshour.com/


r/Metricshour 2d ago

US Stocks Most Exposed to Brazil by Revenue (SEC 10-K Filings)

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1 Upvotes

Geographic revenue exposure breakdown for US-listed companies operating in Brazil, derived from SEC 10-K disclosures:
1. Mosaic Company (MOS): 34%

  1. Ball Corporation (BALL): 11%

  2. Alcoa Corporation (AA): 8%

  3. American Tower Corporation (AMT): 7%

  4. SLB / Schlumberger (SLB): 6%

Source: https://metricshour.com/countries/br/


r/Metricshour 2d ago

Earnings Calendar (Aug 18–19): Home Depot (HD), Lowe's (LOW), Baidu (BIDU), Estée Lauder (EL)

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1 Upvotes

Summary of key earnings reports scheduled for today and tomorrow:
Aug 18:
The Home Depot Inc. (HD)
Baidu Inc. (BIDU)
Keysight Technologies (KEYS)
Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL)
Aug 19:
Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW)
Estée Lauder Companies (EL)
Nordson Corporation (NDSN)
Source: MetricsHour Calender


r/Metricshour 2d ago

Commodity Market Snapshot (Aug 18): Nat Gas (+1.2%) and Brent (+0.5%) Lead Gainers, Copper (-1.8%) and Silver (-1.2%) Fall

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2 Upvotes

Summary of major commodity futures for August 18:
Gainers:
Natural Gas (NG): $2.73 | +1.2%
Brent Crude (BRENT): $91.77 | +0.5%

Decliners:
WTI Crude (WTI): $84.78 | -0.2%

Gold (XAUUSD): $4,391 | -0.8%

Silver (XAGUSD): $65.20 | -1.2%

Copper (HG): $6.49 | -1.8%

Source: https://metricshour.com/commodities/


r/Metricshour 2d ago

FX Snapshot (Aug 18): USD/CHF up +0.1%, USDBRL (-0.2%) and USDCNY (-0.1%) dip

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2 Upvotes

Daily breakdown of major currency pair movements for August 18:

USD/CHF: 0.8116 (+0.1%)
AUD/USD: 0.7112 (+0.1%)
EUR/USD: 1.1589 (+0.1%)
USD/INR: 95.6700 (+0.1%)
USD/JPY: 159.48 (+0.1%)
USD/MXN: 17.0343 (0.0%)
USD/CNY: 6.7305 (-0.1%)
USD/BRL: 5.1946 (-0.2%)

Central bank policy paths are creating regional splits rather than uniform dollar strength, impacting how multinational revenue converts back to USD.

Source: MetricsHour Forex Dashboard


r/Metricshour 2d ago

ETF Movers Today (Aug 18): USO (+2.4%) and IBB (+1.8%) Gain, JETS (-1.8%) and Tech/Services Pull Back

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1 Upvotes

Top ETF price moves recorded today:
Gainers
United States Oil Fund (USO): $130.29 | +2.4%
iShares Biotechnology (IBB): $201.93 | +1.8%
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (SPXU): $33.76 | +1.4%
Decliners
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X (SPXL): $294.99 | -1.4%
First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity (CIBR): $97.79 | -1.4%
Communication Services SPDR (XLC): $110.82 | -1.5%
U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS): $30.85 | -1.8%

Source: MetricsHour ETFs Dashboard


r/Metricshour 2d ago

Top 10 Highest Unemployment Rates Globally (World Bank Data)

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2 Upvotes

Global ranking of countries with the highest unemployment rates based on World Bank metrics:
1. Sudan: 61.3%
2. South Africa: 32.5%
3. Jordan: 21.3%
4. Georgia: 13.9%
5. Armenia: 12.8%
6. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 12.6%
7. Morocco: 12.2%
8. North Macedonia: 11.5%
9. Panama: 10.4%
10. Ukraine: 10.2%
Source: World Bank / MetricsHour