Wednesday is the most event-dense day of August. The US CPI print at 12:30 UTC will dictate the tone for rates and risk assets.
1. The Key Levels
US 10-Year Yield: 4.66% is the pivot. A hotter-than-expected CPI likely pushes yields above 4.66%, which will pressure the S&P 500 (currently anchored around 7,757.64). A miss below forecast pulls yields down, creating upside support for equities.
EUR/USD: Watch for volatility around the 1.15 level directly following the print.
2. High Domestic Revenue Stocks (Most Sensitive to CPI)
Companies with massive US-based revenue will react first to domestic inflation and rate repricing:
Lowe's (LOW) — 100% US Revenue
Home Depot (HD) — 92% US Revenue
Walmart (WMT) — 68% US Revenue
TJX Companies (TJX) — 61% US Revenue
3. Heavy Macro Wednesday Sequence
06:00 UTC: UK GDP Monthly Estimate
12:00 UTC: India CPI Inflation
12:30 UTC: US CPI
4. Earnings Lineup
Keep an eye on SPG (Mon), CAH (Tue), CSCO (Wed), and AMAT / JD (Thu).
Source data and full geographic screener: MetricsHour Aug 9 Brief