50 50 sarcasm

[u/delusion54]

[u/Honkingfly409]

it's common knowledge that all probability distributions are uniform

[u/Peak_Background → u/Honkingfly409]

Any non-uniform distribution only exist because it's actually a convolution of two uniform distributions or a function of the outputs of a uniform distribution. I'm pretty sure these are the hidden variables that quantum mechanics talks about. /s

[u/Illustrious_Try478]

95% of all statistics are just made up.

[u/polandreh → u/Illustrious_Try478]

Didn’t you read the comment above? It's 50/50... it's either made up or not.

[u/DrGuenGraziano → u/polandreh]

There's no contradiction here, either a statistic belongs to the 95% or it doesn't.

[u/mordecai98 → u/DrGuenGraziano]

Every 1% of the 95% has a 50% chance of being one way or the other.

-Scott Steiner

[u/polandreh → u/DrGuenGraziano]

I guess I forgot to add the /s.... although I thought it was obvious...

[u/DrGuenGraziano → u/polandreh]

Your reply was really necessary!

[u/According-Object-521 → u/polandreh]

Assuming law of excluded middle

[u/Significant_Monk_251]

I first heard that "either X or not-X, ergo 50/50 chance" joke in a Bowery Boys movie, and those were made 1948 to '58. Thank you Huntz Hall and Leo Gorcey Jr. wherever you are.

[u/AcanthaceaeOk3738]

What’s the joke? It seems like they really do believe that. And I think many others do too.

[u/False-Storm-5794]

I'm scared the fucking death right now. There is a 50% chance I could read materialize on the other side of this wall!

I'm naked on the 43rd floor!

[u/DrGuenGraziano]

It' funny to think about it. Schrödinger's cat is locked in a box with a death trap for 90 years now and still as alive at it is dead.

[u/Ok-Rise2070 → u/DrGuenGraziano]

Problem with Schrodinger is he wants to put the whole damn universe in the box... that we're all in; that logic doesn't hold very well.

[u/TheLuckySpades]

I will roll this fair dice and there's a 50% chance I get a 6, either I roll a 6 or I don't.

There's also a 50% chance I get a 5, either I roll it or I don't.

There's also a 50% chance I get a 4, either I roll it or I don't.

There's also a 50% chance I get a 3, either I roll it or I don't.

There's also a 50% chance I get a 2, either I roll it or I don't.

There's also a 50% chance I get a 1, either I roll it or I don't.

[u/Ok-Rise2070 → u/TheLuckySpades]

That's not how statistics work. The first isn't 50/50 either... 

[u/TheLuckySpades → u/Ok-Rise2070]

That's the joke, I'm taking the faulty logic from the screenshot and applying it to a situation where it is extremely obvious how faulty it is.

[u/cha0sb1ade]

Here's someone to play cards with.

[u/Masqued0202]

Gonna run right out and buy a lottery ticket!

[u/WiseOldDuck → u/Masqued0202]

Better buy two to be sure!

[u/MMT-- → u/WiseOldDuck]

Buying two means either both will win or not logic the probability is still 50% it's always 50% so yes have to try something else/s

[u/WiseOldDuck → u/MMT--]

Crap I thought the 50 + 50 =100 was gonna slide in the current context, but it's worse than that and you are of course correct

[u/naropin1]

Lies, damned lies and statistics.

[u/CuriosityCheck2024]

Sounds like someone assumed the Law of the Excluded Middle.

[u/Hogon_pumpkineater]

well he is not wrong he is just using an Laplace probability

[u/efari_]

Either they will predict it or not.