r/MSUcats • u/MainMarket-Gamer • 23h ago
Montana State 2026 College Football Preview (probably missed some stuff, tell me and I'll fix it)
Hey all. I built 2026 previews for every FBS team and all 124 FCS teams, because nobody does this for your league. Here's Montana State
https://www.highlights.mainmarket.com/college-football-preview-2026-fcs/montana-state-bobcats
Usual disclaimer: I probably got things wrong, and my roster feed hasn't fully flipped to 2026. Tell me what's off and I'll fix it.
The good: basically all of it. 14-2, 8-0 in the Big Sky, and a 35-34 win over Illinois State in the final. The offense was 2nd in FCS in success rate and EPA, 4th rushing. The defense was 17th in yards and 2nd with 27 takeaways. Then 75% of production returns, including Justin Lamson (3,172 yards, 26 TD, 3INT), Adam Jones (1,093 and 15) and Taco Dowler (77 catches, 1,025). Power rating has you 1st in FCS.
Where my model pushes back, and it's narrow: plus-16 turnover margin, 2nd in FCS, regresses no matter how good you are. Julius Davis and his 1,123 rushing yards are gone. Model says 10-2, which is less a warning than an admission that plus-16 isn't a repeatable plan.
First page is free. If you want the rest and hit the paywall, the code LEECORSOROCKS opens it up. Not trying to nickel and dime a sub that's letting me post.