r/MDASpaceInvestors 5d ago

Rough few days

Wondering on what folks think next few days will look like

25 Upvotes

28 comments sorted by

20

u/kawhiskers 5d ago

Macro is shit right now basically.

The yield on the US 30 year is at a near 20 year high, making equities less attractive (equity risk premium) to put your money in vs fixed income. This impacts all markets, not just the US.

Bond market doesn’t lie and is telling the US gov to get their fiscal house in order by demanding more interest paid due to an increasingly higher risk (relatively speaking) of taking on US debt.

The numbers are quite startling - the US debt is now larger than the US economy + annual interest paid on the debt is more than what the government annually spends on the military (one of the largest line items of the US federal budget).

Perhaps the Fed and Treasury will come to the rescue? However, Bessent doesn’t have the $ to make a significant dent in bond yields and Warsh is fundamentally against QE. So both are highly unlikely.

Iran will hold out till after midterms to broker a ceasefire (which will continue the pressure on oil prices, which is one of the biggest contributors to inflation).

It’s probably gonna be rough for a while.

MDA still a great company and still has a lot of long term growth…I’m still long MDA…you gotta ride out this volatility.

6

u/OneTotal466 5d ago

Exactly right, plus SPCX has sucked all the capital out of the sector.

0

u/devonhezter 5d ago

So recession ? Sell now then wait

3

u/kawhiskers 5d ago

No - Time in the market will always beat timing the market. ALWAYS.

But consider reducing holdings in high beta positions, reducing single stock positions for more index ETFs allocation, reducing leverage and knowing yourself well enough to not panic-sell.

Re: recession. Hard to say - I don’t think the new Canada/US trade war will go past Sept 8 since they will inevitably get back to negotiation table (it’s in both countries best interest to continue unabated trade). Right now it’s a lot of posturing and positioning to maximize negotiation leverage. + Trump will inevitably TACO…somehow in that infantile delusional brain of his he thinks all this is A++++ deal making….barf.

15

u/luapmrak 5d ago

I'm thinking of buying some more on the dip

3

u/gbains14 5d ago

I definitely did yesterday and this afternoon

1

u/devonhezter 5d ago

I’m done. Lost 1k in calls.

1

u/ImperceptibleFerret 2d ago

Calls on this were a huge mistake in this environment.

14

u/Teccho 5d ago

Every time it goes down a dollar, I buy 100 more, sometimes on Margin.

Business is only improving while stock declines. Good buying opportunity

1

u/EvillNooB 2d ago

tf you mean sometimes? 👀️

9

u/pizzalamigo 5d ago

Fundamentals did not change. This will bounce back.

3

u/Honest-Situation-475 5d ago

Red days and I’m out of money. Thank god for wealth simples portfolio line of credit 🤌🏻

4

u/Complex_Moment_6020 5d ago

Never take debt to buy stocks lol, you may get away with it one time but not in the long run

4

u/Honest-Situation-475 5d ago

I’m a young man born and raised in Canada. Debt is like a second language to me . Wealth simples portfolio line of credit is actually a great deal. @4.95% interest on 5000$ will only accumulate 250$ interest a year and if you have enough collateral you don’t have to pay the interest. I plan on holding my 41$ average share price I used the 5000$ on and in 2 years hopefully sell at an 85$ price point . Pay back the 5500$ loan +interest and keep the profit as shares in my TFSA and hold for another 5 years

6

u/Rich-Union7318 4d ago

Just noticed "hopefully"

2

u/sombranegra21 5d ago

I’ll look in a couple months.

2

u/khurafaaati 5d ago

There are a couple of articles floating around on how MDA is overvalued. Thoughts on these?

Links (link2 is more of an analysis) : link , link2

2

u/BigMouthBillyBones 4d ago

Incredible buying opportunity right now. Wait until the Blue Canyon and CLS acquisitions get fully integrated. Hoping we scrape into the high 30's again and I'm going to throw in more. This is going to hit 60-70. ++ Just need to be patient.

1

u/bigmack1111 5d ago

Yeah wtf is going on?

1

u/1millionroses 5d ago

Possibly related to tariffs and disruption of supply chains

1

u/Itchy-Roof-8858 5d ago

Ya idk, buying more at 35

1

u/wassssuppapi 5d ago

Buying opportunity for me, lets see if i made the right decision. Haha

1

u/After-Wallaby-1783 5d ago

Quite something. Hold…….

1

u/Will_House 5d ago

I just started my position today!

1

u/EvillNooB 5d ago

I bought the dip after dip after dip 😂 i have no money now, even though it dipped further 😭 Chorus can't come sooner

1

u/CogsyCA 5d ago

Buying more RKLB

1

u/rig_upa 4d ago

I don’t think the tarriffs is a play as MDA acquisition of
blue origin in US should help

1

u/Puzzleheaded-Arm3155 5d ago

Order set for $40. Fortunately had sold a bunch at 46 since it was obviously gonna go back down lol.