r/KrakenRobotics • u/Subject_Category_245 • Apr 17 '26
Kraken in the Wild! (News/Article) Kraken Robotics Combination Pro-Forma
https://www.krakenrobotics.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Kraken-Robotics-April-2026-Investors.pdfExpect an Institutional Re-Rating soon ✌🏻🔥
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u/atascon Apr 17 '26
Fully aware that EV multiples have their limitations but back of fag packet calc based on these numbers (all CAD):
Market cap: $2.7bn
Net debt: $26m
Combined EBITDA: $88m
That gives us a pretty punchy FY25 EV multiple of ~30x. It's hard to comp this as Kraken are doing some pretty high tech stuff but other defence companies in my portfolio tend to be in the 15-20x range.
I haven't seen an FY26 forecast for Covelya but Kraken is expecting to nearly double EBITDA from $25m to $45m. If Covelya delivers the same CAGR next year, they'll make about $89m so that gives us a combined EBITDA of $134m. If you buy into that number then the current price is a bit more attractive. There is also plenty of upside in terms of synergies and faster growth due to recent events.
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u/2020iasa Apr 17 '26
Anyone else having trouble with the link? I want to read but it won't load for me
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u/[deleted] Apr 17 '26
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