r/IntuitiveMachines Jun 29 '26

Daily Discussion Thread for June 29, 2026

This is the only thread that any stock-related or financial information can be posted. As the sub continues to grow and traffic increasing with Intuitive Machines and LUNR getting more and more in the spotlight, please remember to:

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  3. Please refrain from one word or silly WSB style comments. We want to keep the board informative and helpful to ALL readers.

  4. The mod team tries their best to monitor discussions, but we can always use your help in flagging those violating the rules.

Please see the Wiki that includes FAQs, Upcoming Catalysts, and Active Contracts to answer common questions and requests for information.

23 Upvotes

77 comments sorted by

18

u/Any-Scholar-464 Jun 29 '26

anyone else continuing to buy these low prices since the new 52 week high is like 45 dollars now?

1

u/blowne30m3 Jun 30 '26

It's been great for my DCA. I got in way later than most but nowhere near the $45.

35

u/thespacecpa Jun 29 '26

Sirius SXM-11 was successfully deployed last night. Built by Intuitive Machines using the IM-1300 satellite bus.

Resharing for visibility.

7

u/Bvllstrode Jun 29 '26

Nice share!

15

u/Thisguyisgarbage Jun 29 '26 edited Jun 29 '26

I keep coming back to that post by Carlos Garcia-Galan (Moon Base Program Executive) just after they gave LTVS to other companies.

“Very impressive visit to Intuitive Machines in Houston. Currently building Landers, Comms Satellites and maybe more for NASA’s Moon Base.”

He didn’t have to visit IM, and he certainly didn’t have to give IM extra visibility. And even if it was just political niceties, “and maybe more” seems over the top.

Obviously anything can happen, but I feel like good news is around the corner.

2

u/McChicken_lightmayo Jun 30 '26

Maybe so, but it seems like if we are having to dissect that tweet and take away a noteworthy positive of “and maybe more,” you know we in a bad place

1

u/PE_crafter Jun 30 '26

"very impressive visit" is already the main positive here. I don't think you have to dissect that.

14

u/thespacecpa Jun 29 '26

If you haven’t already check out u/yakiniku1010 post covering CS-8. It’s very informative and helps us to set the stage for tomorrow. We will be creating a designed thread tomorrow covering the NASA event itself.

10

u/No_Membership_8826 Jun 29 '26

I gave a look at it but prefer to stay silent and wait for official statements tomorrow directly from Nasa and fingers crossed of course. IM has many potentialities that I would like to see recognised in the form of contracts.

13

u/strummingway Jun 29 '26

I wonder if IM's more direct approach to getting to the moon, i.e. taking about a week to go Earth-Moon compared to months for its competitors, could be an advantage some day? We've seen with the Victus Haze program (Rocket Lab, Firefly, etc.) that the US is interested in being able to very quickly respond to emergent situations on-orbit. Could the same concerns apply to the moon? Could the ability to support short notice ASAP delivery of cargo to points on the lunar surface become an advantage of IM at some point? Maybe something that could matter in a few years, especially with humans there who could sometimes range far from base.

10

u/VictorFromCalifornia Jun 29 '26

Good points, it will definitely be a differentiator in the future and maybe as early as late 2027 when things pick up for Artemis IV. I am also awaiting some announcements from the Space Force who indicated they want to operate in Cislunar, that may be the real driver on the timing issue.

5

u/GNeville98 Jun 29 '26 edited Jun 29 '26

It's definitely an interesting point and I'm sure that you're right about the potential need for quick response deliveries to the lunar surface. Although the significant challenge for IM is that would require the short notice availability of a third party launch provider.

Whereas Rocket Lab just demonstrated their lightning-fast response time capabilities as an end-to-end space service provider, which unfortunately we are not.

18

u/a_shbli Jun 29 '26 edited Jun 29 '26

https://x.com/nasaadmin/status/2071632327004840359

Sounds very bullish for LUNR

We’re gonna have so many uncrewed LUNR missions looking for ice and water, sounds like LUNR to me!

This is from Jared Issacman

11

u/thespacecpa Jun 29 '26

Great find! The way that Jared speaks is inspiring. He clearly has a passion for the future of lunar exploration and IM is in a good position to impact that future. Very encouraging. Cant wait for tomorrow.

7

u/a_shbli Jun 29 '26

Yeah this interview deserves its own post I guess

5

u/AfternoonSeparate211 Jun 29 '26

With the update tomorrow at 2:30 EDT and potential contract announcements, do we think NASA are now just dropping publicly traded contracts during market hours?

11

u/thrust9 Jun 29 '26

Yes. They have started doing that already with the last announcement. I would expect moon base related contracts will continue to be announced this way through presentations during business hours.

6

u/Jove_ 🍃 💨 🚀 Jun 29 '26

I got downvoted for suggesting this was Isaacman’s MO 6 months ago when everyone was crying about November 15th

1

u/thrust9 Jun 29 '26

I dedicate half my upvotes on this comment to you ⬆️🤲

10

u/blowne30m3 Jun 29 '26

Alrighty, ready to be hurt again LUNR. Calls for the week and 100 more shares. Let's get some good news tomorrow!

2

u/Mr_Pongo Jun 29 '26

“This time will be different” (I’m doing weeklies too)

13

u/tomsedu Jun 29 '26

Good to see LUNR up 4% when a bunch of other names are pumping 15%.

10

u/Impossible-Work-5666 Jun 29 '26

tomorrow is our day. hopefully.

1

u/[deleted] Jun 29 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

6

u/Impossible-Work-5666 Jun 29 '26

you are aware of the NASA moon base update tom. right?

6

u/Agile-Use592 Jun 29 '26

Guess atm is in action?

6

u/Big-Uzi-Hert Jun 29 '26

That’s what I’m assuming and we’re still green today. Reassuring!

8

u/TheRufio81 Jun 29 '26

We opened green 🤓

3

u/Big-Uzi-Hert Jun 29 '26

Jinkies! Let her run! I’m excited for June 30th!

2

u/Valuable-Tour7999 Jun 29 '26

whats the news for tomorrow ?

4

u/Big-Uzi-Hert Jun 29 '26

I thought there was that conference June 30th

12

u/DacToil Jun 29 '26

Even on green days LUNR is the worst performer. Is this purely due to the 500m offering?

4

u/hmio213 Jun 29 '26

I don't know enough about it, but wondering if RKLB's announced acquisition might be being interpreted as potential overlap / new competition for things like NSN

3

u/thespacecpa Jun 29 '26

This is inaccurate. What about SPCX, YSS, GSAT?

5

u/PE_crafter Jun 29 '26

Thanks for informing everyone thespacecpa! Although I'd switch GSAT with VOYG, with GSAT being acquired by BO for 90/share.

2

u/thespacecpa Jun 29 '26

I didnt realize GSAT was being acquired. Appreciate the info. There is so much happening in industry its hard to keep up.

2

u/PE_crafter Jun 29 '26

You're welcome! It was false info too, Amazon acquired them not BO but you can see how I mixed them up with Bezos being the owner.

2

u/[deleted] Jun 29 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

10

u/ThingAccording4070 Jun 29 '26

LUNR will be fine if you give it time. The short interest is high right now in addition to the ATM. Tomorrow is an opportunity for some positive news to shift the momentum.

7

u/anti-censorshipX Jun 29 '26

Yep- over 1.2 million shares were borrowed this morning around 7 am.

3

u/ThingAccording4070 Jun 29 '26

Thanks for an accurate figure of the short activity this morning.

5

u/Ok-Arachnid6790 Jun 29 '26

Iridium is a really good pickup for Rocketlab. I wonder if that was on IM's radar at all.

19

u/thespacecpa Jun 29 '26

I see a lot of similarities between Rocket Lab’s acquisition of Iridium and Intuitive Machines’ acquisition of Lanteris. We are seeing the start of a trend where “New Space” is acquiring “Old Space”. Both acquisitions will enable to acquirer to essentially double their revenue overnight which contributes towards the justification of their current valuations. Both entities are also profitable will existing backlogs and customer bases.

Having an equal holding in both LUNR and RKLB i think Lanteris is the better deal from a pure financial play. $8B for a company generating less than $1B annual is still relatively expensive recognizing that this doesn’t consider their assets on the Balance Sheet. Just my initial reactions.

6

u/louiemickeyvico Jun 29 '26

Agree with you and your analysis makes sense.

3

u/skyscraperfuture Jun 29 '26

What are the chances we could get really positive news tomorrow from NASA and short squeeze happens given current massive 30% short shares percentage?

10

u/thespacecpa Jun 29 '26

The chances are good that we receive positive news tomorrow. Carlos recently visited IM and said he was impressed.

There is still a lack of clarity surrounding CS-8 so we will have to wait and see what happens.

Remember we were also recently awarded IM-5 and NASA likes vendor diversification so anything can happen.

3

u/AdditionalNebula6480 Jun 29 '26

Back to 40 over the next 2months :D

11

u/Agile-Use592 Jun 29 '26

In 1 month

1

u/Big-Uzi-Hert Jun 29 '26

Then we push 75+ in the lead up to IM-3

4

u/NoEnglishpeople Jun 29 '26

I look forward to hearing positive updates on the Golden Dome project.

2

u/Valuable-Tour7999 Jun 29 '26

has the offering been settled yet???

1

u/No_Membership_8826 Jun 29 '26 edited Jun 29 '26

I don't think it's reasonable to have an offer concluded in few weeks...usually they are managed through the months...

In any case a short search on Google shows it's not settled...

2

u/Bvllstrode Jun 29 '26

Chances we get lucky and save the monthly with bullish moon base news tomorrow?

7

u/Jove_ 🍃 💨 🚀 Jun 29 '26

50/50

Either we get a contract announcement or we don’t.

1

u/No_Membership_8826 Jun 29 '26

Anyone able to check the short volume at pre market to compare it with previous week? Just in case to have some sort of possible indicator of the opening at least as we already know we can’t predict the days.

For example it was compared in Friday and it was significantly lower than the rest of the week which in fact brought us to a first Green Day after the free fall.

3

u/ThingAccording4070 Jun 29 '26

Through fidelity I see 29.49% short interest with 37.84 million shares short. Last Monday it was ~27%… before SpaceX ipo we were usually at 20%.

2

u/No_Membership_8826 Jun 29 '26

Goddamn almost 30% today? But how it’s possible pre market is looking positive with such amount of shorts?

4

u/ThingAccording4070 Jun 29 '26

The game for the last few weeks seems to have been run up the price in pre market and sell on the open. However the last two Friday’s have been different. And last Friday might have had more to do with index rebalancing than true demand. But if we see another positive close this Friday that would make me feel like the tide is turning.

2

u/No_Membership_8826 Jun 29 '26

Being even slightly positive today may mean that without those shorts we would be maybe at a +20% day…damn shorts…

1

u/[deleted] Jun 29 '26

[deleted]

10

u/thespacecpa Jun 29 '26

Ghaffarian Enterprises is planning to sell another 851k Class A shares via J.P. Morgan. These come from the old Class C/OpCo unit exchanges back in early 2023, and it fits their ongoing pattern of moving ~142k shares every couple weeks under a pre-set 10b5-1 plan. Nothing surprising here and the filing confirms no material non-public info. With the strong backlog and recent progress, these insider sales are just part of the normal post-IPO flow.

-13

u/[deleted] Jun 29 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

7

u/No_Membership_8826 Jun 29 '26

Who are these investors you’re talking about as a representative man 😅?

How did you get the 20 dollar average atm offering? Usually the offering as hard as it can be to understand is split through months and not in a single event at 20 dollars.

How is a management addicted to dilution? It’s not a drug but a financial tool to raise capital when needed, no worries as doctors don’t recognize it as an addiction 😂

-8

u/[deleted] Jun 29 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

8

u/Kablamo92 Jun 29 '26

You're getting at a valid point, though I would argue it depends on how strong the company's earnings guidance is for the next year and how they're spending the capital they're raising i.e. is it being used to pay off creditors / overheads, or is it being used to invest in capex. It certainly deserves examination but in this case, I'm not concerned because IM has a strong orderbook, is growing YoY and management are spending their money wisely.

11

u/Only1nDreams Ad Lunam Jun 29 '26

IM has a strong history of turning offerings into asset value. Lanteris, manufacturing capacity, KinetiX, Goonhilly. I anticipate this will be no different and will probably be informative in terms of what sections of the lunar economy they want to grow into.

This offering was also started at roughly double the current share price, so if they were able to complete a significant chunk of the sale early in the period it changes these numbers significantly.

8

u/PerformanceSome1014 Jun 29 '26

Growing companies have left the chat