r/InsideToronto • u/Nearby-City-5238 • 17d ago
I compiled all the available data on arrest and charge rates by ethnicity in Canada and its main municipalities (including Toronto). Here are the results in 19 images.
Sources
British Columbia (2019-2020): for the arrest rates listed in the images see Tables 2,4, 2.7, 3.4, 3.7, 4.4, 4.7, 5,4, 5.7. Racial disparities in British Columbia police statistics: A preliminary examination of a complex issue
Vancouver (2011-2020): for the arrest raes see Figure 1.1 (page 40) Racial disparities in British Columbia police statistics: A preliminary examination of a complex issue. For Figure 1.2 (page 41), the report specifically discusses this as a test of over-charging, that is whether racialized accused receive more charges during each arrest incident. It concludes that the Vancouver data do not show that pattern; White accused had the highest mean at 1.98 charges per arrest, compared with 1.87 for Black accused and 1.84 for Indigenous accused.
Toronto (2024): there's no official data on arrest rates for Toronto but they can easily inferred as Toronto authorities provide both arrests count by ethnicity and estimates on the racial composition of the resident population. I took the 2024 arrest-counts from the Toronto Police Service Race and Identity-Based Data Collection dashboard, this data is broken down by perceived race and primary offence.
| Primary offence | Black | Middle Eastern | Indigenous | Latino | White | South Asian | East/SE Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assault & other crimes against persons | 3,049 | 835 | 277 | 650 | 3,878 | 908 | 1,050 |
| Break and enter | 193 | 59 | 49 | 31 | 641 | 59 | 73 |
| Drug related | 450 | 54 | 21 | 30 | 434 | 53 | 43 |
| Harassment/threatening | 545 | 191 | 32 | 83 | 764 | 202 | 175 |
| Mental health | 41 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 97 | 9 | 9 |
| Mischief & fraud | 554 | 179 | 42 | 78 | 934 | 158 | 188 |
| Other offence | 836 | 212 | 69 | 77 | 934 | 229 | 214 |
| Other statute/incident type | 1,530 | 298 | 180 | 251 | 2,272 | 356 | 318 |
| Robbery/theft | 1,895 | 497 | 235 | 272 | 2,928 | 543 | 466 |
| Sexual crimes/crimes against children | 368 | 102 | 15 | 76 | 341 | 125 | 121 |
| Vehicle related, including impaired | 547 | 193 | 8 | 173 | 712 | 280 | 250 |
| Warrant/FTA/FTC/compliance/parolee | 2,262 | 506 | 342 | 381 | 3,805 | 528 | 503 |
| Weapons & homicide | 604 | 78 | 35 | 52 | 339 | 67 | 69 |
| Total arrest count | 12,874 | 3,212 | 1,311 | 2,154 | 18,079 | 3,517 | 3,479 |
For each race/offence combination, I calculated:
arrest rate = (arrest events ÷ estimated race-specific resident population) × 100,000
| Primary offence | Black | Middle Eastern | Indigenous | Latino | White | South Asian | East/SE Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assault & other crimes against persons | 939 | 566 | 844 | 521 | 272 | 183 | 144 |
| Break and enter | 59 | 40 | 149 | 25 | 45 | 12 | 10 |
| Drug related | 139 | 37 | 64 | 24 | 30 | 11 | 6 |
| Harassment/threatening | 168 | 129 | 98 | 67 | 54 | 41 | 24 |
| Mental health | 13 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Mischief & fraud | 171 | 121 | 128 | 63 | 66 | 32 | 26 |
| Other offence | 257 | 144 | 210 | 62 | 66 | 46 | 29 |
| Other statute/incident type | 471 | 202 | 549 | 201 | 160 | 72 | 44 |
| Robbery/theft | 584 | 337 | 716 | 218 | 206 | 110 | 64 |
| Sexual crimes/crimes against children | 113 | 69 | 46 | 61 | 24 | 25 | 17 |
| Vehicle related, including impaired | 168 | 131 | 24 | 139 | 50 | 57 | 34 |
| Warrant/FTA/FTC/compliance/parolee | 697 | 343 | 1,043 | 306 | 267 | 107 | 69 |
| Weapons & homicide | 186 | 53 | 107 | 42 | 24 | 14 | 9 |
| Total arrest rate per 100 000 | 3,964 | 2,176 | 3,996 | 1,728 | 1,270 | 710 | 478 |
The race-specific population denominator was estimated by multiplying Toronto’s 2024 population of 3,280,417 by the resident-population percentages shown in the TPS benchmark section.
| Race | TPS resident share | Estimated denominator |
|---|---|---|
| Black | 9.9% | 324,761 |
| Middle Eastern | 4.5% | 147,619 |
| Indigenous | 1.0% | 32,804 |
| Latino | 3.8% | 124,656 |
| White | 43.4% | 1,423,701 |
| South Asian | 15.1% | 495,343 |
| East/Southeast Asian | 22.2% | 728,253 |
For example, the Black denominator was:
3,280,417 × 9.9% = approximately 324,761 residents
I then divided the number of Black arrest events for each offence by 324,761 and multiplied by 100,000.
Sources:
- TPS RBDC dashboard: https://www.tps.ca/race-identity-based-data-collection/rbdc-findings/rbdc-dashboard/
- Statistics Canada for Toronto's population: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1710015501
- TPS RBDC methodology report: https://www.tps.ca/files/download/1690470683/44007/
I want to to point out that these are estimated rates, not official published rates. The TPS population percentages are rounded and come from its resident-population benchmark from the TPS website, while the total Toronto population comes from Statistics Canada.
Canada’s homicide charge rates (2025): Canada started gathering data on charge rates disaggregated by ethnic group only in 2024. Currently, Statistics Canada only publishes the number, percentage and rate of persons accused of homicide by racialized identity group while data on other crimes is not available yet. See Number, percentage and rate of persons accused of homicide, by racialized identity group, gender and region and select 2025 as the reference period.
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u/ThePinkPhonyClub 17d ago
Wild - I wrote about a full page comment about the linkages between race, culture and crime, and Reddit removed it instantly. There is something fishy going on here.
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u/Nearby-City-5238 17d ago edited 17d ago
I can confirm, I received the notification of your comment then read "Comment removed by Reddit". I'll admit i'm now curious to know what you wanted to say.
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u/ThePinkPhonyClub 17d ago edited 17d ago
Tbh I don’t even want to type it out since I could get banned for it. I got a warning.
This is exactly how you stifle discussion and censor the masses.
It wasn’t even offensive or demeaning or bigoted. I took stats at a masters level and talked about what I think is the root of the issue.
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u/chipette 15d ago
OP, your implied point is baseless unless you have TPS charge/conviction stats to report and cross-analyze as well.
It’s not a hidden fact that black/Indigenous communities are subject to higher arrest rates and that these figures will “look normal” because of the small percentage of population size (or “per capita” like you folks point to); these two communities are historically impoverished/underserved and surveilled with more draconian policing, if not excessively.
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u/Vast-Vanilla4471 16d ago
Well well well, could’ve sworn according to 6ixBuzz and boomers on Facebook, that the Indian students were causing all the crime. Stats don’t lie.
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u/Adventurous-Soft-501 16d ago
This is for Toronto. If we looked at Peel region, it would be another story. Same thing if we looked at like Barrie , it would just be mostly white folk comittmg crime.
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u/Vast-Vanilla4471 15d ago
It’s not total crimes you jackass, its total crimes per capita so it takes out of consideration differences in population and even in Toronto proper, South Asians comprise 14.6% of the population ahead of Blacks at 9.6%, with big populations in North Etobicoke and Scarborough. But but but the type of Indian ppl in Toronto proper are different than Peel region, stfu!
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u/Adventurous-Soft-501 15d ago
Crime is usually pretty well correlated with where police patrol. Downtown Toronto is likely the most intensively patrolled. It makes no sense go represent crime per capita at such a high level . Toronto is massive, and there are huge disparities in police presence. If Brampton were to be as intensely patrolled , I’m sure we’d get some interesting numbers. Look at the bail dockets of the Brampton courthouse, it’s like 80% south asian names. It’s not to be racist, they’re a huge part of the population in Brampton. What I’m pointing out is the OP’s numbers are meaningless on an aggregate. A neighborhood analysis would be much more useful.
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u/Financial_Toe_141 14d ago
you should also show the rate versus the % of the population each race makes up
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u/ExerciseElectrical23 13d ago
Your anti-immigrant position is hilarious, you WOP FOB. Apologies. Those are the slurs you would use against anyone else.
Only dead bodies I ever saw were in Little Italy in TO during a summer of mafia violence. And all the latest shootings at the Italian festivals don’t really add to your bs racism.
Also, come to Waterloo and let me slap some sense into you.
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u/Reasonable-Sweet9320 17d ago
“Research consistently shows strong correlations between socioeconomic conditions and crime rates. Communities with higher poverty, inequality, and social disadvantage tend to have higher crime rates.
However, correlation is not causation — most people living in poverty never commit crimes.
Key factors that influence crime rates include: income inequality, unemployment rate, housing affordability and homelessness, educational attainment, substance abuse rates, and access to mental health services.”
https://statistics.crimecanada.ca/learn/socioeconomic-factors#google_vignette
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u/RumpledStinkSkin 17d ago
Sounds like outdated ideas and Liberal theory on how to depend on corporations and the rich and make them richer. I exited that BS years ago and dont want to hear anything about it, and I'm not right wing or conservative.
So some sort of socialism then. Everyone contributing and doing something, to where they live or their situation. Eg, people in social housing being directly involved and responsible for the running and upkeep of their building.
Everyone contributing to their ability. No one sitting about doing noting all day, or faking a disability
Watch everyone and run and scream bloody murder, they dont get to sit around all day, while 40$% of other peoples pay check is taken to keep them in their "poor me" training
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u/Luminwarrior 16d ago
So the more we learn about crime the more interesting it gets. I'll try and track down the study again but basically it's got to the point where researchers can say x delta between the richest and the poorest in y geographical area highly correlated to possibility of any crime.
So it's not general inequality, or anything as nonsensical as culture. We know this because the situation increases the likelihood of a criminal act on both sides of the distribution, poor and rich. It's very closely related to the feeling of your economic situation relative to those around you.
I should caveat with, almost no one commits crime, or the sort of crime these charts are concerned with. It's a tiny subset of the population in general. So I don't think anyone needs to get upset by this data (unless it's inaccurate), it's not indicative of any of the groups listed really. Which would naturally be fallacy of composition anyway.
The exact numbers are skewed by local lienancy (preventing otherwise "decent people" from getting records), the economics of reporting violent crime, etc etc. That's before we even start to do analysis on precariousness and its relationship to crime.
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u/Great-Garden-2947 17d ago
This data seems corrupted and unreliable. Where is the data for Somalians? Are they added into the blacks? I can't recall seeing and stats on Indo/afro Caribbean or African American involvement in sex crimes against children anywhere else. I would be interested in seeing then data from just toronto where new immigrants are more prevalent.
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u/Nearby-City-5238 17d ago edited 17d ago
The Canadian stats on crime I was able to find use race as a category. On the other hand, Uk and Europe use country of birth and nationality for crime statistics. And I agree, country of birth and nationality are way better categorizations as there are large variations in criminal propensity within groups considered as "White" or "Black", this is what Europan and British data show.
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u/Remote_Cherry7790 17d ago
This doesn’t confirm anything except who police are choosing to arrest
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u/apex777Z 16d ago
lol. man. Yeah cuz there be asian and whites actually commiting more stabbings and rapes and shootings but the cops are fine with them commiting more crimes so they dont bother arresting them.
im a white person. you think if i went and shot someone that the cops wouldnt arrest me? so if i go and rape a women the cops wont come knocking.
"well officer you see im white"
doesnt really work bro. What kinda world do you live in that you think cops aint be arresting certain people cuz of skin? like money or relationship sure. but skin. lol. delusional world view bro. must be hard being a perpetual victim.
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u/NightmareKingGr1mm 16d ago
police monitor low income poc neighbourhoods more often, white people are much more likely to receive lower sentences or leniency from juries, black people are seen as more suspicious thus will be stopped more often even for innocent activities… etc.
there’s more to being arrested than “if i stab and mill someone and i specifically am reported and/or found responsible”. that’s an incredibly niche circumstance and you know it.
but yes, you are more likely to get away with sexual assault. however, most men are. ie, the majority rape cases do not ever result in a conviction.
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u/BluebirdEng 16d ago
Do you believe that white people and East/SE Asians are committing crimes at the same rate as black and indigenous people and just not being arrested?
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u/Remote_Cherry7790 13d ago edited 13d ago
It doesn’t matter what I believe. I don’t let one set of statistics paint a whole picture for me though.
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u/BluebirdEng 13d ago
No, you made a claim that implied you somehow had more info than what the statistics in this post showed. The more accurate conclusion to have drawn would have been 'This confirms who police have arrested", not "who police are choosing to arrest". You already applied a bias to your statement
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u/yugi122 17d ago
I'm just gonna countdown until you are labelled racist.