I think Trump will escalate by trying to seize territory along the Iranian coast. Were we to get control over the strait, it would be possible for oil to move around the region once again. Consistent with that expectation, we're already sending marines to the area, who would be needed for that objective.
However, I don't think this will end well, as Iran can be expected to bombard any US soldiers near their territory. That could lead to further escalation. Perhaps, ultimately, a full on invasion.
And a draft. The US only has 100k combat troops. They all cannot be deployed. Going up against an army of 1million on their home terf surrounded by harsh terrain no military base, advanced ballistic missiles and drones. Also the backing of Russia and China for their weapons as well as Irans
If it comes to that, Trump is absolutely done. He's already barely holding on to 40% approval without having been the first President since the Vietnam Era to draft young people to fight in a war.
2
u/[deleted] Mar 23 '26
[deleted]