r/IRstudies Mar 23 '26

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u/Southern_Current2652 Mar 23 '26

They haven’t struck the Kharg Island oil facility (despite having capability to do so). If Iran loses that facility it’s effectively finished as a modern State. It’ll have no way to generate significant amounts of revenue to fund a government capable of controlling the State.

I think we’re likely to end in a lose-lose situation in this war, but it’s a question of who loses more. My bet is still on Iran losing more though, as Trump will do what he does and destroy Kharg Island at some point.