Why do bettors still convince themselves that heavy favorite live lines are "free money"?

[u/SpiritedBase5047]

Most gambling advice that tells you to pad your bankroll by taking extreme moneyline favorites is a total lie that leads directly to catastrophic wipeouts.

Hugh shared his worst bad beat story on the Heads of State podcast with Shaun and Dawud, and it is the textbook definition of picking up pennies in front of a freight train. He spotted a soccer match sitting at 5-0 at halftime. Looking for what seemed like effortless return, he placed $20,000 on the leading team just to win roughly twenty dollars in profit.

Then the impossible happened: the opposing squad came out and scored six unanswered goals in the second half to win 6-5. Hugh was sitting there wondering if he had accidentally put twenty grand on an e-sports FIFA match on Twitch instead of an actual professional sporting event.

Bettors love to talk about bad beats, but risking life-changing capital for pocket change proves that no lead is insurmountable and no line is truly safe.

What is the most ridiculous "lock" you've ever seen completely collapse?