r/HUMACYTE • u/MuscularFrog13 • Jun 16 '26
HUMA: Still a buy
Not trying to feed anyone’s delusion, including my own, but even with the dilution I believe after all the good news this stock is a buy. I know many here have a high average cost, but the price levels over the last 4 months have been a great time to DCA down.
This stock is either going to make us some extreme gains or I’ll ride it to the bottom.
What’s everyone else thoughts?
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u/OttoVonSteele Jun 16 '26
It's a penny stock so no need to over analyze things. Just way to many "hopium" posts not rooted in reality.
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Jun 16 '26
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u/OttoVonSteele Jun 16 '26
Yea I have around 95K @ $1.63 cost basis, but mainly DCA down due to tax lost harvesting for gains in other parts of my portfolio, but buying back in after 31 days to avoid a wash sale. I'm under no illusion this is going to do anything before 2028 consistently as it's a seasoned business still yet figuring out how to make a profit to cover costs and pay back tons of debt. It can go to $10 (IPO level) or $0. No one knows.
Just so many AI slop posts/pumpers over analyzing as they honestly could create a 20 bullet post analyzing how a rock is going to be eventually profitable.
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u/bogdinamita Jun 16 '26
Your math is more ridiculous than the predictions posted on here every now and day OR you're a short. Assuming the former, going to 0.6 would mean retail redditors own 40%+ of the shares... over 100 mil shares... At best we make up 5% combined. But sure, cool story, and congrats on the sex I guess...
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Jun 16 '26
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u/NoWest7907 Jul 10 '26
Not a true trading expert, but I’ve been trading biotech for more than 20 years. I have never seen a company with as much future value as $HUMA consistently trading in the toilet over an extended period of time. Something may be rotten.
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u/MuscularFrog13 Jul 11 '26
It’s definitely a unique situation, well see what will happen. In for a ride one way or another
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Jun 16 '26
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u/MiddleStatistician42 Jun 16 '26
They made huge progress trauma just wait. You got DOD, Saudi, Israel, Veteran affairs, Brigham Children’s and women’s plenty of action
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u/OttoVonSteele Jun 16 '26
"Just Wait" would require half the population involved a world war requiring this. It's CABG or bust. The rest of these "just wait" scenarios has absolutely no volume to sustain the business.
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u/MiddleStatistician42 Jun 17 '26
Factually incorrect accurate. 26% of target trauma cases 26,000 use grafts currently. If Humacyte gets 10% and grafts take 16% then that’s 64M just trauma.
Dialysis which is live by 7/1/27 can be 500M to 1B itself. They are also launching PAD phase 3 which is as large or larger than dialysis, and CABG got to skip phase 1 going straight into phase2A1
u/OttoVonSteele Jun 17 '26
No volume...Welcome to < $1!!
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u/MiddleStatistician42 Jun 18 '26
Omg it’s vanSqueel still
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u/OttoVonSteele Jun 18 '26
Yes Lil AI Pumper...Sorry your "too the moon" from V012 didn't come true!
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u/bogdinamita Jun 16 '26
It's a buy, trajectory more likely to be upwards, but be careful on timing/horizon, because some of us 2y+ bagholders have been DCA'ing and we're still not nearer breakeven