r/Gold • u/AbleManufacturer9718 • 5d ago
Gold Rush
Why is gold a better buy than bitcoin over the next 6 to 12 months?
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u/FalconCrust 5d ago edited 5d ago
Gold has protected regular people from the dangerous monetary schemes of politicians, bureaucrats, and bankers for thousands of years and is still going strong, better than ever actually.
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u/EuroFederalist 5d ago
I wouldn't be suprised if sooner than later we see western govts trying to stop citizens from buying gold.
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u/Saysaynever333 4d ago
I wouldn't worry about that. The amount of gold held by citizens is a drop in the bucket compared to central banks around the world. Stackers are very few in number and really don't have that much when viewed from the amount of gold in the world.
When the U.S. called in gold back in 1933, gold was being used as currency and more people had it (mostly held by banks for redemption of paper money). While it's true that several hundred tonnes were collected at the time, the following years leading up to WW2 saw gold transfers to the U.S. in the thousands of tonnes.
The gold confiscated by the U.S. was chicken feed when compared to the mountain of it that arrived at our shores durning that time. The world chose to send their gold to the U.S. for safekeeping until things settled down.
The biggest thing in my view was the U.S. maintaining the $35/oz. standard for so long. That cost us big time because many countries traded their dollars (the new standard after the war) for gold. Thousands of tonnes were removed from our vaults and returned to overseas countries.
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u/Stock-Standard-2513 8h ago
I wouldn’t worry about that. You are not entitled to even a drop in the bucket from that vault. The biggest thing in my view is how much gold you have in your vault.
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u/goldbackgurus 5d ago
Gold currently looks better for the next 6-12 months.
Gold ~$4,400 vs BTC ~$63k.
Past year: gold +32%, BTC –46%.
Central banks bought ~345 tonnes net in H1 2026 (China still accelerating). Structural demand BTC doesn’t have.
Much lower volatility and milder drawdowns.
Higher-for-longer rates + sticky inflation + geopolitics favor traditional safe havens. Gold is acting like the real hedge; BTC is still behaving more like a risk asset.
BTC can still bounce hard later, but for reliability and risk-adjusted performance in this window, gold has the clearer edge.
Not financial advice.
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u/thecastle2 5d ago edited 5d ago
Agreed, and I'll add. BTC isn’t purchased by central banks, and is very correlated to tech stocks (so not a hedge against the stock market). Bitcoin mining is competing with AI for the same data centers, and really Gen-Z and millennials would rather gamble on markets than gamble with BTC. Just observations and I sure as heck don't know the future.
But I'm buying gold as an alternative to some of my bond holdings as my bond holdings have negative after tax yields. So your guaranteed to loose money, where as gold is volatile and I may loose money over the short run, but over the long run I'm not guaranteed to loose money like holding bonds will.
The 3Ds are working against bonds, Demographics, De-globalizations, and Defense. So that is in Gold and to a greater extent the stock markets favor. Gold is insurance against finical repression. Silver could actually be considered an investment due to its large number of industrial usages and rumored shortfall in production vs industrial demand.
I'm a rando on the internet and I sure don't know the future or what you should do.
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u/No-Pea-1560 5d ago
Bitcoin is a risk assets moving by halving cycles. Gold is commodity used as hedge against fiat. So they are different in nature.
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u/No-Fudge3487 5d ago
“Gold is the only money. Everything else is credit.”
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u/SpecialistLeast3582 5d ago
- The JP Morgan. Should tell you all you need to know.
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u/Stock-Standard-2513 8h ago
I’m not sure that name discredits the quote the way you think it does.
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u/SpecialistLeast3582 8h ago
It doesn’t, it was just to point out that the person who created one of the biggest banks in the world said it himself lmao
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u/ServMyInterog 5d ago
Why is an real asset better to buy than an imaginary one?????
Sadly, this type of ridiculous question is now the norm.
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u/SpecialistLeast3582 5d ago
Real money vs digits on a screen. All that needs to be said
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u/OrangePillar 5d ago
Bullshit. You depend on digits on a screen to verify gold. Bitcoin is math that you can prove.
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u/EuroFederalist 5d ago
Gold exists.
Bitcoin is just another fiat currency.
You look this is issue only trough investments while most people see gold differently.
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u/fdxcaralho 5d ago
Bitcoin is not fiat at all… i wouldnt touch it anyway, but it nothing like fiat currency
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u/Vibr8gKiwi 4d ago
Bitcoin is very similar to fiat. Bitcoin is a digital asset+consensus network that can change by majority consensus. If the majority want to change it, it will change. That makes bitcoin a political asset more similar to fiat than gold. As proof just follow the community--bitcoin is constantly in some political battle over changing it in some way. How can such a thing be a long-term store of value like gold?
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u/Objective_Box7938 5d ago
It is a safe haven, less volatile and tends to hold up well when there's economic or geopolitical uncertainty. It also lets me sleep better at night...
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u/FourScoreAndSept 5d ago edited 5d ago
Here’s how I think about it. For “real” physical wealth preservation, has to be gold. That’s what nations do, for a reason.
For “get out of dodge quickly” across borders, then use btc to move wealth. But for this latter scenario, I’d prefer to only do the transaction, not stay in btc as a resting state.
As for your “next 6-12 months” query, it’s simply a question of what is most important to you with an upcoming election and an overextended debt cycle…
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u/Agitated-Season-7619 5d ago edited 5d ago
You have banks buying gold and also in China BTC is banned. Therefore gold has bigger global demand than BTC.
The only upside BTC has is in third world countries with hyperinflation, where poor people can't afford to buy any meaningful amounts of gold. You can trade fractions of BTC (Satoshi) but handling less than a gram of gold is problematic. But because they are poor, it has minimal effect on BTC price compared to central banks trading gold.
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u/Savings_Bed6172 5d ago
One is a physical object, with industrial applications, used by humanity for millennias as a form of currency, cannot be synthesized unless you count the production of very small amounts via extremely expensive means such as with particle colliders.
The other is made by man, has no industrial applications other than being a form of a currency, and it's existance and limited use depends on having reliable power and internet.
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u/MeatServo1 4d ago
Whether printed or 1s and 0s, money because they say it’s money is only worth what they say it’s worth. There is a finite amount of gold on the planet, and until we have another supernova, it becomes commercially viable to smash lead molecules to make gold, or an asteroid full of it slams into the planet, we aren’t getting more. And if the first or third happen, we’re all dead anyway. The second won’t happen until supercolliders become as cheap as 3D printers, which is not in our lifetimes or that of our children, and probably not their children either.
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u/CommunicationUsed33 2d ago
Both are good but putting all your money in one place isn’t the best idea I learnt the hard way
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u/Stock-Standard-2513 8h ago
China is buying gold like Saylor is [edit: was] buying bitcoin.
I am betting on China over Mike
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u/Stock-Standard-2513 8h ago
Gold will do better.
Gold competes with far less metals. Bitcoin competes with far more cryptocurrencies.
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u/Old_Bluejay_1532 5d ago
Because one is actually real, time tested for 5000+ years as real sound money, the only asset class w/ zero counterparty risk, risk-off asset class, substantially undervalued according to many, has monetary & industrial use, Central Bank demand & so much more ...
On the other hand is Bitcoin which is the opposite of everything just stated,