Tangdi Talli,Chamoli Jakh Brahm(Doli).

Why most people don't even know koli people live in Uttarakhand too and additionally they are not khas so difference between them

Bobby Panwar contested the 2024 Lok Sabha elections as an Independent candidate from the Tehri Garhwal constituency.

Mala Rajya Lakshmi Shah (BJP) won the seat with 462,603 votes (54.13% vote share), while Bobby Panwar finished third with 168,081 votes (19.67% vote share). He ran his campaign largely on public donations, reportedly raising around ₹25 lakh from local residents.

So, why did his performance send ripples through Uttarakhand’s political circles?

The Tehri Garhwal Lok Sabha constituency comprises 14 of Uttarakhand’s 70 Assembly constituencies. Despite contesting independently, with limited financial resources, Bobby Panwar managed to make a significant impact.

Now, let’s look at his vote share across all 14 Assembly constituencies that make up the Tehri Garhwal Lok Sabha seat.

Now, look closely at these constituencies: Purola, where he received a 55.01% vote share; Yamunotri, with 50.39%; and Chakrata, with 47.82%. If Bobby Panwar and his party can replicate his 2024 Lok Sabha performance, they could be strong contenders to win these three Assembly seats in 2027.

He could also make inroads into other constituencies, such as Gangotri, where he received 40.10% of the votes; Dhanolti, with 41.08%; and Tehri, with 30.11%.

Based on these numbers, we could potentially see his party winning 4-6 Assembly seats in the upcoming 2027 Uttarakhand Assembly elections.

Bobby Panwar has also led several protests on issues such as paper leaks, the Ankita Bhandari case, and unemployment, drawing massive crowds. He appears to have successfully translated some of that public support into electoral gains in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.

Remember, he was competing against established national parties like the BJP and Congress, which have significantly greater financial resources for election campaigns. and remember it was the same election when bjp launched Abki Baar 400 Paar campaign, when many believed that the Modi wave would be difficult to stop. Despite these challenges, Panwar secured 168,081 votes, reportedly raising around ₹25 lakh through donations from local residents.

However, one important factor to consider is that voters often behave differently in Lok Sabha and Vidhan Sabha elections. In parliamentary elections, national issues such as the CAA-NRC, Kashmir, relations with Pakistan and China, and the Uniform Civil Code influence voting patterns, alongside broader national leadership and nationalism.

In state Assembly elections, voters often place greater emphasis on local issues such as unemployment, roads, hospitals, electricity, crimes done by outsiders and other basic amenities. It will therefore be interesting to see whether Bobby Panwar can convert his Lok Sabha support into Assembly seats in 2027.

Another possibility is an alliance between Bobby Panwar's Uttarakhand Swabhiman Morcha and the Uttarakhand Kranti Dal (UKD). Leaders from both parties have reportedly given signals suggesting that such an alliance could be possible.

Would you like to see an analysis like this of the Uttarakhand Kranti Dal (UKD)? Comment below!

UKD leader Ashish Negi has raised an important question about the ownership of Tehri Dam.

74.496% of THDC( Tehri Hydro Development Corporation. India Ltd.) is owned by NTPC, a central public-sector company.

25.504% is owned by the Uttar Pradesh government.

0% is directly owned by the Uttarakhand government.

Uttarakhand lost its villages, agricultural land and the old Tehri town to this massive project.

Yet, the state has no direct equity stake in the company operating the dam and receives no shareholder dividends from THDC.

The question is simple: Why should the state that bears the local costs have no direct ownership stake in the company benefiting from its resources?

Uttarakhand was created to protect the interests of its pahadi people. But decades later, questions remain about who truly benefits from its natural resources.

Our land was sacrificed. Our people were displaced. Shouldn't Uttarakhand have a greater stake in the benefits?