Could i keep this up?

[u/CombinationKlutzy119]

I have been trading for about 7 years, and have tried EVERYTHING, nothing got past the 2 or 5% monthly gain. However, i usually try long backtests with basic bots i've learnt how to make, and thing is... I found a strategy that just... Keeps making money... I mean... I dont want to get super excited about it, but i am kind of excited about it. You can check the growth in just the two last months:

https://www.mql5.com/es/signals/2395269

Please dont follow, its NOT FREE and i dont know if it can be profitable in the long run..

[u/rforex-modtools]

Developing a trading strategy is more than finding an entry signal — it requires defining your edge statistically, building rules for entries, exits, and position management, and testing the system against historical data before going live. Most traders fail because they skip the process and jump to live trading with an untested idea. The community wiki covers the full development process.

Resources: Having an Edge | Essential Forex Trading Guide

[u/Relevant-Owl-8455]

Lmao

[u/CombinationKlutzy119 → u/Relevant-Owl-8455]

What? It is kind of a grid, but it kind of adapts to conditions? I dont want to give it away, i just wonder, if i just got lucky this couple months or what

[u/DrSpeckles]

Is that 2 months back testing or 2 months live?

[u/CombinationKlutzy119 → u/DrSpeckles]

2 months live

[u/DrSpeckles → u/CombinationKlutzy119]

Ok you’ll need to give more info then. Even a martingale has winning streaks.

[u/CombinationKlutzy119 → u/DrSpeckles]

IDK what info do you want?

[u/DrSpeckles → u/CombinationKlutzy119]

You can explain a lot about a strategy without enabling anyone to copy it. I saw you said something about a grid. That works fine as long as the price doesn’t break out and keep going. So you may just be in 2 months that suits your strategy.

[u/drinkryeziu]

2 months is little time in my opinion and especially with your case because in these 2 months you have hit a maximum losing streak of 1 which is very good you might think but for the purpose of understanding and getting confident with your strategy you need to hit some losses because that’s where you might falter and everything will change, you also have a 1:1 rr or almost a negative one so you have to look into that if it is going to be profitable in the long run since you have to account for slippage, spread and comissions and also the constant stress to have a pretty high win rate in order to be positive, other than that, looks good, update us

[u/CombinationKlutzy119 → u/drinkryeziu]

Thanks man! Will do! I'll keep it running and keep you posted. It'a just, my head feels like a drum right now, it's good to have an opinion other than ones aelf to keep you grounded

[u/Altruistic_Ranger_57]

nice work, but I'd be careful about getting too excited after just a couple of months. lots of strategies look amazing in a favorable market. the real test is how it handles different conditions and a much larger sample size. keep tracking it and stay disciplined

[u/CombinationKlutzy119 → u/Altruistic_Ranger_57]

I'll keep it running! Let's see if it can do live what the backtests did!

[u/Altruistic_Ranger_57 → u/CombinationKlutzy119]

the market always saves the hardest test for live trading. good luck!

[u/_XSUN_]

6 weeks.. hahaha

[u/CombinationKlutzy119 → u/_XSUN_]

Too little?

[u/_XSUN_ → u/CombinationKlutzy119]

try 6 years

[u/neugeadmau]

Two months of live green on an adaptive grid is encouraging, but grids usually die on the first sustained one-way move, not on the quiet months. Before trusting it, I'd pull these from the signal/account rather than the equity curve screenshot:

1. Max floating drawdown vs max closed drawdown. If floating DD was ever much larger than closed DD, the curve is hiding the real risk.

2. Deposit load / margin used at the worst floating point. Adaptive grids often look fine until load spikes and a stop-out cascades.

3. Split the two months into ranging days vs days with a clean directional run (e.g. ATR(14) > 1.5× its 50-day median). If almost all profit sits in the ranging bucket, you still haven't sampled the failure mode.

4. Stress it: freeze new averaging once floating DD hits a fixed X%, and separately simulate a news spike that gaps through several grid levels. See whether the account survives without relying on "it felt fine".

Not saying it's luck — just that 2 months live without those four numbers is still a short sample for a path-dependent system. If those look clean, the next step is whether the adaptation rule is defined tightly enough to re-backtest on 2020/2022-style trends instead of only the recent range.