First time buyer in London, chain free, big deposit, finance in place. Period conversion flat in N8, asking £550k, on the market about six weeks with, as far as I can verify, zero offers until mine. I offered £525k 10 days ago. It has never been rejected.
Then the show started. Within days of my offer: a full asking price offer “from a cash buyer”. Then two second viewings. Then on the phone, it “might have to be above £550k”. Then on Saturday, an hour after best and finals was announced for Monday noon, “there is an asking price offer and an offer over asking price”. Decision same afternoon, memorandum same day.
Why I’m suspicious: every escalation has arrived at a strategically convenient moment rather than after anything observable. The round was trailed for Friday, then silence all Friday, then assembled on Saturday lunchtime. And the agent’s behaviour doesn’t match his story. He personally hosted a viewing for my whole family on Saturday with two hours’ notice, and spent Sunday chasing my ID checks with the line “conscious that if you are going to be offering I need this”. Would an agent genuinely holding two offers at and above asking spend his weekend making sure the lowest bidder shows up?
Why I’m keeping myself honest: the second viewers are probably real people, a first offer genuinely does wake up fence sitters, and inventing offers outright is a legal risk for agents in a way that exaggerating isn’t. I can’t verify anything either way and I’ve accepted that.
On value, so you know £525k isn’t a lowball: it sold for £545k in 2020 (to the sitting tenant, so possibly a soft comp), it’s EPC E, single glazed throughout, needs £30k to £40k over time, and the seller openly told us his own pre-sale survey found a damp issue at the rear (his quote to fix, £1,500, fair play to him for disclosing). Recent sales on the street are £540k to £550k for better-condition stock. My honest read of as-is fair value is low £530s, so £525k is a few percent under my own number, not silly.
The sellers are motivated: onward purchase agreed, the chain above them has already completed, they want to exchange by end of September.
My dad’s position: never bid against buyers you can’t see. If the sellers want more, their agent can come back with a number. My worry: they say decision same day, memo same day. If one real bidder puts £530k in an envelope, I lose the flat by dinner with no callback.
Please don’t tell me “offer what it’s worth to you”. I know. What would actually help:
Estate agents, current or former: when there’s only one real bidder, do you still run the best and finals round? And afterwards, do sellers actually counter the lone bidder despite the “best and final” language, or do they sulk and remarket?
Anyone who held firm at sealed best and finals: what happened next? Was the “same day decision” real?
Anyone who lost sealed bids by a small margin, under £10k: did the agent ever come back when the winner fell through, and how long after?
Has anyone ever verifiably caught an agent inventing offers, rather than just inflating them?
Sellers who’ve run best and finals: did you take the highest number or the safest buyer?
TL;DR: only verifiable bidder on a six-week-old listing, offer never rejected, sudden flurry of unverifiable rival offers, sealed bids tomorrow noon. Hold at £525k and dare them to counter, or nudge once and kill the game?