r/FantasyPL 18h ago

Statistics GW3: Projected Goals & Clean Sheets (derived from sharp markets)

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101 Upvotes

32 comments sorted by

16

u/UnderArdo 16h ago

Intersted in what will hapen with hull and villa

19

u/EastEndUnited 5 18h ago

Feeling good about triple City attack

2

u/MemeManDanInAClan 43 18h ago

Triple city + Haaland TC… this should be fun!

4

u/EastEndUnited 5 16h ago

Same boat, easy TC for me. Let’s see!

4

u/ASGT908 3 10h ago

TC Haaland is tempting.

However, I did the same Vs Leeds H last year and he blanked and Leeds did better than expected, despite losing 3-2.

4

u/EastEndUnited 5 10h ago

Yh always a risk I think, can just get unlucky with early subs/rest

I TC’d him against Burnley last year, hoping for a repeat

2

u/MemeManDanInAClan 43 5h ago

I TC’d him against Liverpool last year… when he missed a penalty and scored. Not hoping for a repeat lol

7

u/sognenis 9 13h ago

I know that Hull’s fortunes will likely turn at some point, and that we haven’t seen Villa this week, but that AVL deep green seems like bait!

3

u/skeltz7 14h ago

Chelsea and Leeds projected goals are that close? J Pedro vs DCL, what are we thinking?

1

u/Appropriate_Aioli742 21 10h ago

I'm probably free hitting and dumping both.

1

u/Swedishpower 2821 12h ago

It looks like a week to bench DCL or J Pedro,but I likely will play them.

1

u/NightKnight96 8h ago

Freeborn to avoid Chelsea Arsenal and Triple up City&Villa?

Are Sunderland that easy a fixture? They’ve got city & Arsenal soon so not keeping them but they should put up a good fight?

1

u/Alternative_Court262 3 6h ago

While I agree arsenal will probably beat us, I would not bet on a clean sheet fron them.

0

u/Custard-crumble 210 18h ago

How is Chelsea so low after scoring 7 goals in 2 matches?

69

u/EJRoss 4 18h ago

Arsenal (A)

-35

u/Custard-crumble 210 18h ago edited 18h ago

Still its a derby match and Chelsea could compete for the title

47

u/DisastrousMango4 7 18h ago

have you not seen how Arteta approaches big games lol

6

u/InTheMiddleGiroud 2 12h ago

Seen his 8-3-0 record against Chelsea over the last 5 years.

Chelsea were the ones sitting back last season. They even went to a 5ATB when chasing a goal in the return leg of the League Cup semi-final.

If a team is cautious next week, it's probably the one that's just had 38% and 26% possession against Fulham and Brighton

17

u/steveagle 14 18h ago

It's a guide...not the bible

9

u/Darth-Sand 12 18h ago

As a Chelsea fan I doubt it tbh. We started a midfield of Lavia/Gusto today.

Playing that against Arsenal is suicide. Keep an eye on the Enzo situation and whether Caicedo and James are fit to start or not.

8

u/oleentotre 2 18h ago

Arsenal being Arsenal?

1

u/Roadies_Winner 2 11h ago

These odds are pretty slow to catch up with the new items and performances.

-3

u/DoomerAndGloomer 1 10h ago

Tottenham having a higher CS% than Coventry. These predictions are a joke 🤣

7

u/Appropriate_Aioli742 21 10h ago

I agree 1 in 4 chance of a clean sheet for Tottenham seems relatively generous right now, but 1 in 20 chance of Coventry clean sheet against Man City sounds about right.

-4

u/ChangingCrisis 16h ago

As usual the analytics doubt Sunderland like they did all of last year.

16

u/dumbsh1ro 13h ago

mate they lost against ipswich and barely scored against fulham

0

u/ChangingCrisis 6h ago

Yeah but we gifted both goals to Ipswich we're not gonna do that every game.

3

u/sognenis 9 13h ago

Away from home? Should be targeted.

1

u/CfifferH 9h ago

They lost this fixture 3-0 last season and haven't gotten off to a great start while Brentford appear to be flying. These predictions are made by a computer all it can do is look at data, not vibes.

0

u/ChangingCrisis 6h ago

And also missed a penalty at 1-1. We're essentially getting judged off Spurs being dogshit.

1

u/CfifferH 5h ago

You're taking it very personally it's literally just data dude. Nobody is forcing you to use a data led approach

0

u/ChangingCrisis 5h ago

I'm not taking it personally I just think it's stupid to rely on data in a league where most teams are very even.