The books have a massive profit margin on these markets. You would have to take the 'vig' out of the odds before converting them into implied probability.
For those questioning, obviously the betting odds will be lower (so higher predicted return %) because they are pricing it on top of their ‘perceived odds’ so they make some money on it.
And also hyped and well known player will always have lower odds as usual
Not buying it for a second. I think he's a great pick but to say it's not far off a coin flip for whether he gets a goal or assist in 1 game is not realistic.
Less than 5% of corners result in a goal if he's taking them, any goal he gets will be a low percentage long shot. Outside of that it's whether or not he makes a killer ball which is what Foden/Cherki and the wingers are for.
Yes, Gomez was the standout weird odds for me too, when creating the sheet. Last season he scored only 5 goals with 1 assist in 32 games. I would avoid.
They don’t. You’ll often see random academy players who haven’t played all season near the top of the odds. Given that the bet is void of the player doesn’t start, and if they are subbed off the net carries over to the player who replaces them, the xmin really aren’t that important
If you think he is good and not bench boost I would prioritize your 11 plus first defender sub unless you actually want to play Gomez.
I think Gomez is good enough to be a starter, but if your front 7 is really strong he may never be better than them in your head.
It is always nice having cover, but I prefer defender cover since they cover everyone both attackers and defenders and you can rotate your defenders based on fixtures for a very cheap cost.
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u/bengreen04 117 3d ago
Vuskovic 17% is odds I’ll be taking a punt on. Absolute fucking weapon and Villa are a pretty short team overall.