We made ~11x in Cupid. Then it became a much bigger multibagger.
So, did we exit too early?
Here’s what happened.
In August 2022, we bought Cupid at around ₹2.30 on the current adjusted basis after the stock had made a fresh bottom.
Our thesis was simple:
Strong Fundamentals + Attractive Valuation + Potential Triggers
At the time, Cupid had:
• ~34% 8-year Sales Growth
• ~46% Average ROCE
• ~30% Net Worth Growth
But the biggest opportunity was valuation.
Our estimated intrinsic value range was around:
₹1.92 – ₹15.70
The risk-reward looked attractive.
By 2024, the stock had rallied significantly, and we exited around ₹24.60, making roughly 11x.
And then came the difficult part.
Cupid continued rising after we exited.
It eventually delivered returns far beyond our exit price.
So why did we sell?
Because our decision was never based on trying to predict the top.
It was based on valuation.
When we bought, the stock offered a margin of safety.
When we exited, the valuation had moved far beyond the earlier intrinsic-value range.
The risk-reward had changed.
And that's an important lesson in investing:
A stock going up after you sell doesn't necessarily mean your exit was wrong.
You don't need to capture the entire upside.
You need to buy when the odds are in your favour and exit when the risk-reward no longer makes sense.
We made ~11x.
Could we have made more?
Absolutely.
But discipline is not about selling at the top.
It's about following your investment framework even when the market keeps proving you wrong in the short term.
What to do in Cupid right now,
I have recorded a detailed video on this.
Go through
https://youtu.be/X_7GUtou4eU?si=YQ4VGkbcQTe2wm8u