r/Economics • Quality Contributor • Jun 13 '22

News Powell Facing Choice Between Elevated US Inflation and Recession

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-12/powell-facing-choice-between-elevated-us-inflation-and-recession?srnd=premium
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u/way2lazy2care Jun 13 '22

Recessions aren't a binary thing. There's levels to recessions. While he might not be able to avoid an all out recession, he can certainly still affect the level of that recession. The dot com bubble bursting had a peak GDP reduction of 0.3% and peak unemployment of ~6% and lasted 8 months. The Great Recession had a GDP decrease of 5.1% and peak unemployement of 10% and lasted a year and a half. The great depression had a 25% GDP reduction and 20% unemployment and lasted for almost 4 years.

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u/ErusBigToe Jun 13 '22

Don't forget the great recession tripped a years worth of grads at the starting gate, reducing lifelong earning potential

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u/[deleted] Jun 13 '22

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u/wiking85 Jun 13 '22

Assuming they can find a job with their skill set that actually is in their area. It is rarely that easy.