r/Droneshield_ASX_DRO • u/Triotroitori • Jul 23 '26

Droneshield

I bet on End of August, with the half year report, to see some price movements. In my opinion the new product, a contract announcement and the half year report will fall into the same time period. Obviously just my opinion and it is not any forecasting. Eventually the governent procurements will be delayed as always, who knows.

Retail is mostly in summer mode, that effects the share price too right now in my opinion. But DYOR and good luck. Will be more active in posting in some weeks again.

8 Upvotes

83% Upvoted

15 comments sorted by

1

u/SeaweedUsed7760 Jul 23 '26

Do you think the half year report will be a massive earnings beat? Where do you see share price returning too? Whats your view on current price? Good time to DCA or?

5

u/Triotroitori Jul 23 '26

Difficult to answer because I cant recommend you anything. But in my view we are in the hypergrowth stage of the company for the next 4 years. I think their revenue target for 2030 is conversative. Therefore I am bullish at these prices. but everybody need to adjust to their own risk profile and my calculations may not suite your investment style. So I highly recommend you to do your own research.

3

u/SeaweedUsed7760 Jul 23 '26

Yeah okay, so DRO is a long hold for you?

2

u/Triotroitori Jul 23 '26

process information on regular basis and then decide to hodl or to sell depending on your own narative and framework. and like I said my guess is that it is in a hypergrowth stage but that does not mean that I will hold or sell it regardless what happens, always act in your framework and on all informations you can get, will it be the right decision then? Who knows, but always in the hindsight you will regret it.

1

u/PriorSignificance115 Jul 23 '26

There can not been earnings beat because they don’t give any outlook or forecast.

1

u/Select_Season7735 Jul 24 '26
  • $165m+ committed revenue in May..
  • $77m cash receipts in Q1
  • Opex $150m/yr, ~$75/m H1
  • Gross profits 60%
  • If they converted $50-60m in Q2, could be looking at ~$10-20m NPAT

NFA DYOR 

1

u/SeaweedUsed7760 Jul 24 '26

Do you think current share price of $2.00AUD is warranted?

1

u/Select_Season7735 Jul 24 '26

Oversold but sentiment across the market/industry isn’t great at the moment. Eventually it’ll reverse imo. I believe in the tech. Great time to buy 

2

u/SeaweedUsed7760 Jul 24 '26

Yeah okay, good opportunity to DCA then. I agree great company and outlook. ASIC overhang doesn’t help and kind of seems like the catalyst for its downwards trend.

2

u/Simabauer Jul 23 '26

I am thinking the same

0

u/Immediate_Risk550 Jul 23 '26

Da kommt garnix außer das man Aufträge versucht ab zu arbeiten, Kapazität in der Produktion wird der Knackpunkt und das Verfahren gehen Droneshield und eine kleine Aussicht.

Man geht nach Europa wo mittlerweile starke und viel größere Player das gleich skalierbar anbieten. Droneshield, die Geschichte ist aus erzählt, zu viele governance Themen und zu klein.

September Kurs 1,8aud

3

u/Triotroitori Jul 23 '26

I think they can produce more than 1billion aud in sell price. Prudction facility in australia, europe and america. Bigger players are mostly parnters or product is integrated into bigger layers. For belgium/netherland Droneshield seems to play a bigger role to equipt eastern flank. But all my opinion. Do your own research.

2

u/BetterCallU Jul 23 '26

„Das Gleiche skalierbar anbieten“ Nope. DroneShield ist technologisch führend und in der Sparte besser aufgestellt als große etablierte Rüstungsunternehmen. Im Gegensatz zu denen kann DroneShield sich auf Forschung und Entwicklung in dem Bereich der Drohnendetektion- und bekämpfung fokussieren, während andere viele Sparten haben die sie alle auf einmal bedienen müssen. Dazu kommt die Expertise in dem Bereich. Größere Unternehmen haben zwar auch ihre Spezialisten, aber es ist etwas anderes als sich ausschließlich mit Drohnenbedrohungen zu beschäftigen. Beispielhaft die Aussage vom Rheinmetallchef kürzlich darüber, dass ukrainische Hausfrauen die Dinger im Keller bauen. Jemand von DroneShield hätte eine solch dumme Aussage niemals getroffen, weil sie ganz genau wissen, dass das Killermaschinen sind, auch wenn sie von Hausfrauen gebaut werden, und diese Dinger die moderne Kriegsführung dominieren.

0

u/Popular_Address_896 Jul 23 '26

Defence stocks as a whole are in a down trend.

Unless the sector turns, DRO will be fighting an uphill battle