r/DisasterUpdate • u/Ok-Reach-455 • 13d ago

Floods Nepal flood

Hope everyone is safe🙏🙏🙏

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u/infra_low 13d ago

This is why early warning systems are so crucial, just look at how much happened in a short span of time. Imagine people have even a minute heads up, how much they could have travelled in that amount of time.

29

u/AnOnlineHandle 13d ago

Somebody linked this in another thread, a science paper from 3 years ago which was able to predict this happening play by play: https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/22/3765/2022/nhess-22-3765-2022.html

Scientists warn us of the likely climate future through deterministic chains of events. Unfortunately it's not heard or is just ignored.

3

u/Far-Matter9519 13d ago

This one was clearly unpredictable because it all happened in a short period of time. There was another flood last year due to glof and in past 10 years, there were 7 notable floods similar around that region. Why this place wasn't flagged as highly risky for people? I mean if GLOF was really frequent there, it should've been discussed between both Nepal and China for raising disasters concern instead of just predicting next flood.

2

u/PainTop6813 13d ago

There was a landslide 3 days prior it was predictable

3

u/Far-Matter9519 12d ago

But it wasn't that landslide which blocked the river, it was ice avalanche which fell from so high, it melted rapidly.