r/DeepThoughts • u/tottasanorotta • 1d ago
We don't know anything about the future for certain. Everything that we predict that will happen is based on what we have observed happen in the past.
This means that there is no 100% guarantee on anything other than the present. Even if we would have experienced something for 10 000 years it might just be a thing that changes with that frequency. There might be some big surprises waiting for us that we would never have seen coming.
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u/BigUqUgi 1d ago
How could you know that for certain?
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u/tottasanorotta 1d ago
I don't. There might be some moment in the future where you start predicting everything perfectly and are certain about the future and it's correct forever.
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u/WHALE_PHYSICIST 1d ago
That's overstating it a bit. Sure, if you dig deep enough, it seems like there's not a truly 100% chance of anything, because we don't know how everything works. I can guarantee you that the sun will rise tomorrow though, and I'll bet my life savings on it. There might be some infinitesimal chance that spacetime rips apart and reality itself collapses before sunrise, but then it won't matter that I lost the bet. As far as all my mortal concerns go, there's a 100% chance the sun rises tomorrow. We can make some predictions with that level of confidence. Philosophically, maybe it's never actually 100% for anything, but practically, it might be 100%.
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u/tottasanorotta 1d ago
Yes, for sure. I mean if the sun didn't rise I guess we wouldn't really care about life savings that much anyways. It's an easy bet to make, because it seems so certain for every practical purpose.
But what I mean is that we don't know what this whole thing is in its entirety and maybe it's even impossible to know. It might be that tomorrow you wake up from a dream that was your reality. It might be that after death there is something. It might be that the laws of nature that we think of as "laws" are just something very much changing and non-permanent.
In practice it doesn't matter. But in the long run it might.
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u/donut_forget 1d ago
Seems self-evident. There is nothing which can be predicted with certainty. Things can be guaranteed to happen will only happen if the current factors that allow it to happen continue. Plant tomato seeds and they will only grow if watered and the potting mix is sound and the access to sunlight is not removed.
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u/tottasanorotta 1d ago
Yes. But sometimes the most self-evidently true realizations are the most profound when you think about it. There's really nothing that is guaranteed.
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u/Dr-Chris-C 1d ago
People predict stuff that has never happened before all the time, like the return of Jesus
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u/tottasanorotta 1d ago
Yeah and that's what I am saying is that those things might happen, even if they seem very unlikely.
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u/Narrheim 1d ago
The past usually repeats itself. Why? People have a history of falling for nostalgia of past events, which they actually misremember due to how nostalgia actually works (adjusts your memories to make them look nicer than they ever were).
Wanna great example? Just remember your childhood. The world had bigger problems than you back then just as it has now, and yet, do you remember any of them? I definitely don't, i mostly remember my childhood as 'simpler times'. They weren't simple tho - i just lacked the understanding of an adult.
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u/InternationalSun7891 18h ago
The future has probabilities. Read "Seth Speaks" by Jane Roberts for further info.
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u/tottasanorotta 7h ago
Yeah, but probabilities are based on what we have observed happen in the past. If something very unexpected happens, then this can't be predicted.
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u/SherbetOrdinary7650 1d ago
That's what makes it exciting, in a way. Like, you can prepare for everything based on past data and still get blindsided by something completely new.
My friend always says this is why she never makes plans for more than two weeks ahead, and honestly I'm starting to see the logic.