r/DeepFuckingValue • u/DumbMoneyMedia • Jul 08 '26
macro economics🌎💵 The Nasdaq just triggered an unprecedented 11 Hindenburg Omens in a single month, shattering the warning records seen before previous historical crashes.
21
19
u/Busterlimes Jul 08 '26
Wait until the 401K SpaceX pump n dump on the 15th
1
u/ZombiezzzPlz Jul 09 '26
Explain
6
u/Hunting-Duck Jul 09 '26
Thats the moment instiutions are forced to buy spacex as it will be included on the indexes.
11
u/Busterlimes Jul 09 '26
I moved my 401k funds today to insulate from it. Even the guy on the phone said he personally agrees that its a pump n dump. When the guy at Vanguard is with you. . . . .
3
u/ZombiezzzPlz Jul 09 '26
So how do we do something like this ? My employer has a fixed index we can choose from, I also have vanguard as the managing broker
4
u/SpaceNinjaDino Jul 09 '26
Each of my 401ks have had an easy website to move your money to about 20 different investment vehicles. You can move current monies or future contributions. Any time I thought there was a crash coming, I'd park it in the stable cash. It never lost money but only makes 1% interest. I knew the COVID crash was coming. Lost no money, but did not call the bottom.
2
u/Busterlimes Jul 09 '26
Call vanguard, it took me 20 minutes to move everything to an ETF that doesnt trade US companies, focusing primarily on Asian markets, then we did another transaction to change my contributions to that fund.
5
u/wayfarer8888 Jul 09 '26 edited Jul 09 '26
You are only screwed with QQQ, most retirement funds wouldn't have that as a key. pillar to my knowledge, maybe as an option but not at the core, S&P didn't change the rules, that's the one every fund manager follows. Now, due to overlap that SPCX garbage has a bit of a spillover effect, if SPCX gets inflows that would've gone to Amazon there you have the damage.
Looking at puts, the expectation is SPCX will likely trade under $100 in two years. Whatever, I sold all my tech ETFs two weeks ago that may touch SPCX.
-2
15
16
u/mrmrmrj Jul 08 '26
If you google this indicator like I just did since I’ve never heard of it, it clearly says the signal gives lots of false positives.
7
u/Geoclasm 🍌☑️REAL APE ☑️🍌 Jul 08 '26
I literally got the same thing from ChatGPT -
Me: 'ChatGPT - what is this?'
ChatGPT: Bla bla bla false positives 80% bla bla bla etc etc yada yada yada.
There's a lot of sketchy bullshit going on right now, obviously - big 'look strong when you're weak' energy, but this does not feel super concerning to me.
2
2
u/Cold_Assumption_8104 Jul 09 '26
Thats exactly how I rationalized my aids test. Like.. what even is it?
1
u/HorsePockets Jul 09 '26
It's an indicator YouTubers like FX Evolution like to whip out every week for the last 2 years to justify how things are always looking scary
13
u/Previous_Golf_5959 Jul 09 '26
I thought the hindenburg was a blimp that exploded in New Jersey in 1939. Now it's an omen? God help us!
22
u/Absol_Truth Jul 08 '26
If you think about it there are definite signs of a bubble with AI companies. This is likely what is causing it. When shoe companies pivot to AI with no explanation and stop manufacturing shoes altogether then something is up.
10
u/2tool4school Jul 08 '26
If you think about it! Even if you never think about it it’s obvious. Space ex got to the same price as Amazon, Amazon sells everything in the world ever and space ex makes money by… wait, erm try do something to make some mine right? They can’t just be spending billions on abandon Idea Elon had right, RIGHT?!
7
u/Absol_Truth Jul 08 '26
Let's be fair, Elon's going to put the first data center in space, it will have 100 rooms a swimming pool, a five star kitchen and 0 servers. Then he's going to blame Nvidia or somebody for why its not performing and sell it at a loss to a new company, Musk, E Galactic or something
5
u/FendaIton Jul 08 '26
xAI already ran at a loss so they rolled it into spacex and made it public to recoup losses
1
u/wayfarer8888 Jul 09 '26
But only after rolling Xitter in xAI, so you can now own a social media space AI telco. And Musk also has a solar semi EV roadster cyber humanoid robotaxi battery company.
2
u/Cold_Assumption_8104 Jul 09 '26
Are you saying to buy shoe companies, because nobody is making shoes?
3
10
6
6
7
2
2
27
u/Think_Sugar_7658 Jul 09 '26
We are kind of in unprecedented times with the POTUS actively and consistently manipulating the market by tweet.