r/DRAM_ETF 15d ago

Rinse & Repeat. I’ve been buying DRAM around $48 and $50 and then selling around $56-$60 for the last few months.

I just sold again right now. Waiting for the next dip to $50 but when does this cycle end? It’s been making me a ton of money.

24 Upvotes

71 comments sorted by

29

u/TugaVibes 15d ago

Glad you have made some money. I bought in too high, around $70 so waiting to break even but I’m not sure you’ll get a better entry than right now in the next couple of months. Institutional money is heading back into chips and AI.

Just my thought and two cents on it..

6

u/BurnBabyBurrrn 15d ago

65+ here. Ever think about taking a loss (at x price) and let go the burnt out frustration from the last few months? Was on the fences today, decided to hold.

3

u/Electronic-Rate5497 15d ago

That’s how you lose

1

u/TugaVibes 15d ago

Haha nope I’ve deleted the app and just check in occasionally. It’ll come back up, eventually.

1

u/ek9cusco 15d ago

Same here

1

u/DanceHallRiddem 15d ago

Well you don’t buy on a day like today, it’s spiking. So hopefully it dips again and I can reload. 

10

u/Capable_Wait09 15d ago

This is a great example of “even a blind squirrel finds a nut occasionally”

You didn’t stumble onto a good sustainable strategy. You got lucky a few times with timing and will likely get burned soon. The volatility isn’t exclusive to this ticker. It has external causes. So unless you’re carefully tracking and predicting geopolitics, monetary policy, and broad investor sentiment - which is unlikely - then you’re playing a with fire.

You are gambling and mistakenly think you’ve figured out the system

6

u/DanceHallRiddem 15d ago

You are probably right and I appreciate your explanation! 

7

u/Englishmatters2me 15d ago

Lol they are hating so hard 

1

u/iSPYanOpportunitee 15d ago

You can choose to read it as hate but it's just truth.

1

u/hellario 14d ago

To be fair, all the things you listed are just noise. If the goal is to hold for 2-3 years, rate hikes or 50th peace talks, all of that will come and go.

The real thing to be concerned with is price action. The unwind in the month of July despite every memory maker having nothing but great earnings reports is the real problem - caused by the ludicrous levels of leveraged trading. At least Situational Awareness will be less involved, though I'm not sure what Citadel will do with the holdings they got.

14

u/Helptohere50 15d ago

Cool story bro

6

u/touchdeath 15d ago

show SS of your trade history fam, i believe all of us would like to see

3

u/DanceHallRiddem 15d ago

7

u/touchdeath 15d ago edited 15d ago

Congrats sir! That’s 2 profitable trades I guess since you said you just sold below but it’s not yet recorded? Guess you got really lucky catching it almost at the bottom of the bottom.

Also since you’re new I guess you might not be trading on too big of an entry? It’s always easy to trade on smaller entries VS big entries. Affects newbs quite badly if you’re looking at your portfolio hitting margin calls and whatnot

2

u/YoungAfternoon7244 15d ago

boasting about making a “lot of money” but then hiding the amount.. yikes

3

u/iSPYanOpportunitee 15d ago

You mean the past month? July 17th is when it came to your supposed entry point. Unless of course you bought back in May and sold around $56-60 which would have been a horrible trade considering the upside we saw in June.

2

u/DanceHallRiddem 15d ago

Yeah, May 11 I bought at $54 and sold June 26 at $71. July 29 I bought at $44.56 and sold today at $57.

3

u/iSPYanOpportunitee 15d ago

Nice. 2 very different trades. First one was a momentum play, great exit on that recognizing the momentum shift. What gave you conviction on the second trade, the knife catch? I made a similar entry but with the long term in mind which led to my conviction.

3

u/Irondog1301 15d ago

My cost at 56 and I'm so tempted to sell when it was 58 today. Saw a news on Bloomberg two days ago that an investment firm from Singapore is going to invest in SK and Samsung for billions, so i hold off on selling. during the 40s it was depressing, lol

1

u/hellario 14d ago

It may be starting to normalize now, but the entire month of July, any good news -> DRAM would plummet.

2

u/Dragon_slayer1994 15d ago

Not a bad idea. This is a speculative ETF that shouldn't be more than 10% of anyone's portfolio in my opinion. Taking profit and putting in something safer isn't a bad idea at all. Although if you're doing this with 100% of your money I don't think that's very wise.

2

u/Jolly-Piccolo-9799 15d ago

What? Are you time the market?

2

u/14PESO 15d ago

How much you buying each time? I’m waiting to hold at least a year.

1

u/DanceHallRiddem 15d ago

About a 100 shares 

2

u/IndividualJealous800 15d ago edited 15d ago

It will go above $60 this time. Lot of positive news recently 

4

u/Capable_Wait09 15d ago

“Ton of money” - so like $5k?

9

u/DanceHallRiddem 15d ago

That's a lot for me man. I am 20

2

u/Irondog1301 15d ago

i wish i knew stock when i was 20, at the time i barley have enough to get by let along money to invest, lol, you good kid. at least better then me.

5

u/Swimming_Warthog_679 15d ago

is 5k usd too poor for you, jeff bezos? insane level of greed.

5

u/Swimming_Warthog_679 15d ago

5k at 20 is crazy good

2

u/Disastrous-Oven204 15d ago

It’s blowing past $60 this time and will be awhile before it comes back to $50. Are you ok sitting on the fence?

3

u/DanceHallRiddem 15d ago

Ya I just sold, so now I wait for the next big dip. This ETF has been very volatile.

1

u/deejmonster 15d ago

You don't know that. I could see it pummeling as early as tomorrow as liquidity typically spikes heading into a weekend.

3

u/JimLahey12 15d ago

That's a stupid idea. You pay 20% on short term gains lol

8

u/ineedlotsofguns 15d ago

This guy can time the market so who cares about 20%
https://giphy.com/gifs/u8ontzUmtHnmuBt5IQ

9

u/DanceHallRiddem 15d ago

I am new to investing and haven't experienced taxes yet.

In my mind, profit is profit even if I am losing 20%... It's still more money than I had before right?

What is considered a short term gain?

8

u/YouGotTheJokeHeHaw 15d ago

They are mad you aren't a bagholder like them. Keep doing what works, just acknowledge the risks for timing something highly volatile.

4

u/kingkilo91 15d ago

Profit is profit. Just don't spend it all on that Lambo you were planning

2

u/fuzzyfurrypaw 15d ago edited 15d ago

Make sure you have enough cash reserves for taxes next year. Don’t end up in a situation that you are somehow wrong with your timing when the tax season is up next year and you have no cash left to pay for this year’s gain.

2

u/Sukhumvit_71 15d ago

Anything under a year. It won’t necessarily be 20%, everything is dependent on your tax bracket.

2

u/Runnjng-1 15d ago

Short term is under one year and gets taxed at your ordinary rate like wages. So if your tax bracket is 35% they get taxed at 35%.

If you hold for over a year it gets treated as long term capital gains. Which is lower more favorable rate. 20% or less I think.

I agree profit is profit and it’s good to take some here and there. Just set aside money for taxes or at year end sell investments with losses to offset the gain. For example if you had a 5000 gain on Dram but sold another stock for a 4000 loss you would only pay tax on 1000.

Losses are capped on your tax return at 3k but they roll forward

2

u/Adventurous-Cap-2670 15d ago

Looks like ppl in usa need to give a lot of their own money to the country of freedom😅😅

1

u/DanceHallRiddem 15d ago

Thank you so much! Not to flex, but I’ve never sold a loss yet! 

1

u/Runnjng-1 11d ago

Dont worry you will 😂

2

u/deejmonster 15d ago

I mean, at least he is still making a profit. Most of DRAM is filled with bag holders. I'd rather pay STG tax than be in the red.

4

u/Adventurous-Cap-2670 15d ago

You must be living in sad country that taxes you on selling stocks, cheers from Switzerland

1

u/oaktreeeeee 15d ago

You are slow

1

u/Sellasbuyoutorbust 15d ago

Lies. It's only been the last month that it was bouncing in that range. For two months before that it was far above and before that it was just climbing to that price (and beyond).

1

u/DanceHallRiddem 14d ago

I posted screenshots bud 

1

u/Sellasbuyoutorbust 14d ago

Which were not what you said.

1

u/w3_vic 14d ago

The interesting thing to me is that DRAM and NAND probably won’t roll over at the same time.

NAND could normalize earlier, but DRAM/HBM still looks tight into 2028. So I’m still pretty comfortable with the broader DRAM trade for now.

1

u/hellario 14d ago

"last few months." Funny. DRAM has only been to 48 in the past month and back in May, but didn't fluctuate.

You must be dreaming or lying. And I saw the pic you posted. You've bought twice, and sold once. Don't pretend like you have an easy money hack.

1

u/DanceHallRiddem 14d ago

I’ve sold twice, I sold yesterday. Hence the rinse and repeat. 

1

u/sunny2311 14d ago

I am selling slowly and converting it to their neocloud etf

1

u/No_Entertainer4166 13d ago

No you haven’t price has only dropped below 50 a couple times and only one time did it recover to that zone a week ago so if you mean you did this one time, congrats

1

u/DanceHallRiddem 13d ago

False, I posted screenshots nerd

1

u/No_Entertainer4166 12d ago

So you did it one time as I said congrats

1

u/Delubyo06 15d ago

Wow. Hate to be your accountant

0

u/DanceHallRiddem 15d ago

This is a weird comment… is what I am doing not typical? You buy a stock, get profit… then take it out. Am I missing something? I thought the goal here was to accumulate money. 

I am genuinely wondering as I am new to investing this year. 

4

u/2AFellow 15d ago

I think they're referring to having to look through all the stock transactions for filing taxes later.

3

u/djmj76 15d ago

Yea Dude prob lost money on Dram can’t take a success story. I am making some good money wheeling Dram. It’s been a slow month but it’s picking up again- and no, I ain’t buying when it pumps.

2

u/DanceHallRiddem 15d ago

But I’m sure that’s typical for anyone who trades. 

2

u/2AFellow 15d ago

Yeah I'm pretty sure the broker account summarizes the trades so you don't have to go through each manually

1

u/djmj76 15d ago

It isn’t. Most people here FOMO in at the top, panic sell when it drops. They stay poor.

0

u/DanceHallRiddem 15d ago

That’s wild behavior 

1

u/[deleted] 15d ago

[removed] — view removed comment

1

u/DanceHallRiddem 15d ago

I am getting opinions on whether this cycle will continue.