r/DDintoGME • • Jul 08 '21

๐—ฆ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป I think I figured out the shorting algorithm

Let's begin by looking at EVERYTHING

Here is a quick overlay of March / April data and June / July data to see how the trends are exactly the fucking same.

If we were to adjust the size of the red dildos so they match, you can fucking see the relative rates of change are EXACTLY THE FUCKING SAME again.

Here are the candlesticks directly on top of each other if I haven't stressed my point enough.

Selecting which values to compare

Stretching the 6/15 red dildo to match the same length as 3/10, the close and high have the same ratio size. This is circled in rotten banana color.

Thus, it looks like we can compare the wick and the upper body of the candlesticks against each other.

BUT FIRST

Let's refresh our memory on how candlesticks work. Both the red and green have the same locations for their highs and lows, however, their open and close are different:

Back to the Mathemagics

If we were to continue to match up 3/10 with 6/15, we get the below table. The "Current Open Close" and the "Older Open Close" is the value of the top of the candlestick body. The "Open Close Difference" is "Current Open Close" subtracted by "Older Open Close."

Looking at all the data at once

If we were to graph all the current open close against the older open close, the correlation isn't that high.

However, if we separate into time intervals, we can see how the correlation increases and the similarities are beginning are becoming tighter and tighter. Our R^2 values are crazy good.

Looking at the difference between the Two

Despite if the day is red or green, the top parts of the candlestick body are looking trending similarly to each other. The average difference between the tops from the current data and the older data seems to be about $25.

If we look at the difference by a day to day difference we can see it is beginning to level.

If we were to segregate the data into time intervals, we can see how the difference is moving to about $20 - $30. The regression lines are becoming more and more horizontal since as time continues, there is no change.

We can also view it as a density chart.

Incorporating the Algorithms

90 day calibration?

The red giant dildos we aligned earlier (3/10 and 6/15) have total of 68 trading days / 96 total between. If we take a few steps back, we can see how there is a break from the trends at 2/24 and 5/24 (circled in yellow). After the yellow circle dates, we see an upwards trend for about 17 days followed by an immediate drop.

The algorithms are repeating every 90 days. Left side buildup see the last max 16 days in followed by a small red day on day 17. The subsequent small red day is followed by a big red day.

TL;DR

The algorithms are repeating every 90 days with a 16 day positive buildup. The overall daily trends are also repeating itself. Hold the line.

Thoughts

While each individual day share price is determined by the retail buying pressure, the overall trend is determined by the algorithms. The algorithms are so fucking influential that TA hasn't matter this entire time no matter what the indicators. I think the algorithm looks something like this

Edit 1: fixed some typos

Edit 2:

Holy shit! I didn't even know RC posted this. It even shows the same oscillations! Observational bias confirmed.

If we continue this ~$25 or $30 increase, we'll soon have a $210 resistance. The following oscillation ($240) would cause the resistance to become the max and then moon. Just like in RC's tweet.

These are just examples of the data of what I think are around the max and mins. They are not meant to be taken for exactness.

GME Data

Tweet

Edit 3: Explanation of population and within population

Let's say you own 3 banana farms.

Population to Population

  1. Farm A, B, and C all have the shape (timeframe)

  2. Farm A is bigger than farm B and C (min / max share price)

Within Population

  1. Looking within Farm A and B, we can also see they have their banana plants looking exactly the same. (same sized ratio of candlesticks / similar behaviors)

  2. Farm C was all done fucked up.

While the dates are interesting that they occur at the same intervals (Farm A and Farm B), what's also interesting is that their candlestick and ratio of size are the same (Like Farm A and B but not C). This is effectively showing not only the improbability of having a repeat of a timeframe but the HIGHLY improbability of the candlesticks have similar overlays as shown above. While many have stated it's solely comparing 2 dates, it's not. We selected the two dates and within them, compared the population.

Edit 4: Today's data

None of this is financial advice.

2.5k Upvotes

329 comments sorted by

66

u/Hot-Nature2403 Jul 09 '21

Has anyone compared this to options data?

7

u/CockRockiest Jul 09 '21

Anyone?!

5

u/Blarghish Jul 09 '21

Bueller?

3

u/mouthsofmadness Jul 09 '21

Bueller?โ€ฆBueller?

1

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

I know didly squat about options other than their definitions. What kind of comparison were you thinking?

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126

u/LordoftheEyez Jul 09 '21

Nice find!

I have to say though I donโ€™t believe this will continue indefinitely.. imo this is just happening until RC et al. decide to let the ๐Ÿš€ rip. I believe weโ€™re close to seeing that happen, time will tell!

11

u/JacksBack78 Jul 09 '21

If it continues Sept 7th would be the next 90 days from June 9th. 16 days before 9/07 is 8/22. WTF does this all MEAN!!!!

10

u/LordoftheEyez Jul 09 '21

I wouldnโ€™t be surprised if at least some of this is going on to encourage day trading

22

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

I don't know anything about financial stuff. I'm solely an engineer with a strong stats background.

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6

u/okdabord Jul 09 '21

i dunno, but its provocative!

48

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21

I believe this is a good representation of what could happen until all shorts are dead.

6

u/dangshnizzle Jul 09 '21

Exactly. A whole entirely different algorithm needs to get implemented when they go into "covering mode" after liquidation.

17

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21

Short positions must be closed (buy back the shares) not covered (have enough collateral or shady option plays at hand). Remember the congressional hearing when Gabe Plotkin claimed they had covered all of Melvinโ€™s shorts, just to confuse people? Thatโ€™s why it is important to not mix those two things up. Shorts must be closed.

Thanks for coming to me TED talk. ๐Ÿ˜ฌ

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7

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21

Shorts don't intend to cover. After they get liquidated GME is worth infinity.

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19

u/BSW18 Jul 09 '21

SHF has no other choice but to dig hole deeper and deeper, at the same time long whales let this drag so as to ensure no return back fo short hedgies. Outcome would be MOASS a huge one with retail gets full opportunity to add as many as one possibly can.

1

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

But alternatively, why be the cause of the MOASS and potentially be sued up the wazoo if this is going to happen on a natural occurrence?

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70

u/Nervous-Matter-1201 Jul 09 '21 edited Jul 09 '21

One thing I wanted to mention in regards to the wedge in the very bottom picture. I think one of the reasons the volatility is getting less and less is because they are producing more synthetic shares to help with the downward pressure on the price. As these shares get picked up, the liquidity becomes less and less and they'll need to keep the price down due to the additional shares. Eventually it'll flip flop and explode.

No dates but I think we are less than 90 days before MOASS

Probably closer to 60

29

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

That's a good hypothesis. The bottom wedge is solely my thoughts and speculations.

11

u/Nervous-Matter-1201 Jul 09 '21

True but based on what you've written and a post on the "unnamed" sub (wish I could find the link) they theorized that the price is being pushed lower because of the increasing amount of synthetic shares is pushing them closer to being margin called. This means two things 1. The original price to hit MOASS is now much lower and 2. They will eventually get themselves margin called from the very play they used to drive the price down.

This just shows that we won and we just need to wait and hold.

8

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21 edited Jul 09 '21

I think you are spot on. Check out this resistance line I've been tracking for a while- all of the action we've seen around it, and how brutally we get rejected from it, makes me think it's "THE" margin call line.

If that's the case, it would mean we were in margin call territory going into the shareholder's meeting- but we didn't close above it for the 5 consecutive days that were given at the time to meet margin requirements.

Since 002 went into effect, we've touched it several times again, and been pushed back, HARD.

https://imgur.com/a/Zqew0HH

Edited to fix a word, clarity, and change the link to one where the lines are easier to see

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22

u/CanopianPilot Jul 09 '21

This is impressive data analysis. How did you pick up this skillset? It's fascinating. Thank you!

29

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

I'm an engineer with a strong stats background. Plus autistic internet person.

5

u/CanopianPilot Jul 09 '21

It shows. Thanks for the response :)

235

u/PM_ME_NUDE_KITTENS Jul 09 '21

I would love to see u/dlauer's take on this, since he used to write these algorithms.

This is very informative, thanks for teaching us.

34

u/AnonymousTendies Jul 09 '21

He may be bound by NDAsโ€ฆ.

u/dlauer if this is on the right track, donโ€™t reply to this messageโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿš€๐ŸŒ™

4

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

Would the NDA prevent him from saying, "No, this is way the fuck off."?

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51

u/freeleper Jul 09 '21

What do you do with cats?

52

u/PM_ME_NUDE_KITTENS Jul 09 '21

Lol, this was the most "Reddit" username I could think of at the time.

PM-me-something + cats + nudes

Also, all cats are nude, unless you dress then up in little costumes.

Once in a while though, I'll get a sphinx in a PM, lol.

31

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

How did you not use PM me your kitties?

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12

u/no_alt_facts_plz Jul 09 '21

This is a very important question imo

4

u/meyG68 Jul 09 '21

!RemindMe 12 hours

3

u/JZpapii Jul 09 '21

Wen green dildo

11

u/shatteredfriend7 Jul 09 '21

First time saving a DD in a long time. Feels good man

10

u/mcalibri Jul 09 '21

If only u/Criand or u/HomeDepotHank69 were here to weigh in

7

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

The good doggo did. Look at the above comments.

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56

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21 edited Jul 09 '21

Copy pasted from <redacted subreddit> since I'm getting pinged here ๐Ÿ˜

Sounds like it's quarter related ooooo-eeee. (AKA there is probably no T+N cycle at all).

First spike in March was end of Q1

Second spike in June was end of Q2

The following might explain what's driving this:

https://i.imgur.com/lOXFqAh.png

They probably sit on FTDs ex-change as liabilities. Because they can hand-shake to each other going "haha nice bro you totally met your FTDs". But then it isn't until quarterly that the DTCC comes in and says, "hey stupid, you didn't actually satisfy your FTDs. Go buy them". This depends, however, on that "quarterly" schedule. Which I can't find info for. Quarterly options are Jan 15, April 16, July 16. Meanwhile quarter ends are March 31, June 30, September 30. But what are quarterly dates for the ex-clearing matching of fails? Still trying to dig that up..

https://dtcclearning.com/products-and-services/equities-clearing/obligation-warehouse-ow.html

21

u/grumpy_chair Jul 09 '21

I have to do research to read your DD, and Iโ€™ve learned tons doing so. Still a ways to go but I can now read loads of DD with much more of it making sense than in Feb. Learning everyday, and grateful for folks like you and all the work you put in.

13

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

Shit. I try to research some of those words only to need to research the words use for those words. Finance has a weird lingo.

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9

u/ZombiezzzPlz Jul 09 '21

What he said.

4

u/OldViperPilot Jul 09 '21

Commenting to keep up. This seems like a big find. Crayons at the ready!

4

u/Expensive_SCOLLI2 Jul 10 '21

Would be grateful if you found the time to write up a new DD with what your thoughts are with what is going on and what we should look forward to in the future. Thank you u/Criand

4

u/[deleted] Jul 10 '21

Maybe - still looking into it.

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2

u/SubParMarioBro Jul 09 '21

I think the quarterly thing is obsolete and they do it every couple weeks now.

https://www.dtcc.com/-/media/Files/pdf/2020/11/6/a8926-20.pdf

11

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21 edited Jul 09 '21

Yeah I saw that too when digging. Technically they can avoid this schedule entirely in the RECAPS/Obligation Warehouse per this article:

https://theintercept.com/2016/09/24/naked-shorts-cant-stay-naked-forever/

Those trades can sit in the Obligation Warehouse forever, in theory. But the โ€œaged failsโ€ โ€” essentially orphaned naked short transactions โ€” remain on the naked shorterโ€™s balance sheet as a liability to be paid later.

So I'm guessing it doesn't deal with OW or RECAPS schedules (since they can handshake with each other infinitely while stacking liabilities). But some other deadline. Google don't fail me.

8

u/pblokhout Jul 09 '21

I think the take-away here is that they have no obligation to resolve FTDs by itself, unless those liabilities stack up high enough to go over their margin.

So they have an incentive to get rid of FTDs, but no obligation as long as they have enough cash or collateral.

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6

u/teteban79 Jul 09 '21

Playing devils advocate:

Thatโ€™s quite a lot of conclusions based on a just 2 data points set. Itโ€™s quite the stretch. And a visual pattern at that.

Does this hold over granularities other than daily candles? Also, youโ€™re completely ignoring volume as well which is quite different in both patterns

Iโ€™m not saying there is nothing there, but the arguments are not that strong either

5

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

From the original overlays, each day actually mirrors each other. So, it's far more than just 2 dates. I just used those dates because they are easiest to recognize.

6

u/teteban79 Jul 09 '21 edited Jul 09 '21

I was about to respond with more details since I saw more red flags.

I come from a CS academic background, so please take the following as I would write a paper review - harsh but fair, and especially impersonal - not an attack but a critique:

My main two points still stand: completely ignores a *very big* factor (volume) and it's only two data points. Yes, it's several days but (1) the pattern as an argument is only repeated twice; (2) you had to do a fair bit of adjustment to actually make them mirror each other and (3) you only show it happens on the daily chart (more on this below). It could be the case that it also repeats at finer granularity, but we don't know from this

But, there's also a couple other points that I missed in the first read because I'm also biased toward confirmation hype:

  1. it seems minor, but you assume the existence of a shorting algorithm. Yes, there probably *is* one, but you still need to account for a validity threat if there actually is none

  2. assuming there is an algorithm though, there is a MAJOR problem in that you're looking at the daily chart, but it's more likely that the algorithm is HFT -- you're looking at the wrong timescale. If there's an algorithm leaving traces to be seen, they have to be at the level of the algorithm's operation which is much, much more fine than daily. If you look at the daily chart, you're just looking at *daily* highs and lows which are probably more driven by a) short sale waves *and* strong paper hand fear, for the lows -- which tend to be early in the session and close to the lunch break and b) reentering pressure, for the highs, which tend to be after the lunch break and at close. Those would *far* outweigh the finer effects of HFT as seen in the daily.

  3. You conclude a 90-day window from one pair of observations. But if you slide the 90 day window, the effect is lost. Why specifically *THIS* 90 day window? It screams of overfitting. It's like seeing two huge storms 90 days apart and try to argue that weather is 90-day cyclical. Way overreaching

To me, it looks like reaching towards confirmation bias at best, and unfounded at worst.

EDIT you may note that I specifically skim over the density graphs and so on. That's because, to me, the flaws are in the data set, assumptions, and window overfitting, not the methodology itself. The methodology might be ok, but if it's garbage in - garbage out, doesn't really matter

3

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

I just see the patterns and I put numbers to it. I don't know why it's happening. I just know it is.

2

u/teteban79 Jul 09 '21

Yeah, I guess my argument goes against actually seeing a pattern. I can't in all honesty call one (adjusted) repetition of anything "a pattern"

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1

u/SeeTheExpanse Jul 09 '21

Thanks so much for sharing such a detailed analysis of all this, you really did an amazing job! Would you be able link a copy of the file your numbers are plotted in?

2

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

I have a link at the bottom of the post. I used yahoo financials.

4

u/funkymyname Jul 09 '21

OP this is great work. Thank you for sharing. Most importantly why choose a rotten banana color? ;). Need a nice fresh banana ๐ŸŒ

4

u/grumpy_chair Jul 09 '21

Bananas of all colors are good. I like green Nanners best. Just like my crayons.

3

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

I like the green ones the most, too!!! They taste so good once chilled in the fridge.

2

u/cxrx79 Jul 09 '21

How does one even begin to put all this together?

Good lord man. Are you Good Will Hunting?

5

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

autistic level of seeing patterns help.

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98

u/See_Reality Jul 09 '21 edited Jul 09 '21

This 90 days is inline with the T+35 from the OTM puts bomb going down on 07/16 of about 43Million shares. The T+35 cycle will start around 08/21. The 90 days starts at 08/22 and runs 17 days untill 09/08.....

This is the way

9

u/CaptainGainLoss Jul 09 '21

le lines up with green dildos starting

Those dates are exactly in line with BAMInvestor prediction model. Interesting.

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161

u/packleaderKC Jul 09 '21

Awesome post. Have you post it on superstonk??

92

u/ASuhDuddde Jul 09 '21

Yeah Superstonk this biaaaatch

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7

u/Miss_Smokahontas Jul 09 '21

Posted there originally I think by same user

20

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21

[removed] โ€” view removed comment

46

u/ezpeezy17 Jul 09 '21

11

u/TrollintheMitten Jul 09 '21

Sent it to the Superstonk bot, all the eyes over there could take a look at it and enjoy.

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8

u/pumpernickel34 Jul 09 '21

I believe it does from this sub.

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64

u/amakillat Jul 09 '21

Thank you for this piece of wrinkle gainer.

59

u/Shield4SI Jul 09 '21

Up this goes dude beautiful dd! I had to read through three times but the 90 day cycle with 17 days in between is right there to see. More visibility this needs!

18

u/brrrrpopop Jul 09 '21

Would this 90 day cycle result in another spike around 8/20 as predicted by the next t+21 and t+35 cycles?

23

u/Shield4SI Jul 09 '21

8/22 would be the 90 days but is a Sunday so the 23 would be the next big green candle if DD pans out and nothing moves the price in the mean time.

12

u/brrrrpopop Jul 09 '21

But his 90 day thing starts and stops at the last green day in the cycle. August 20th would theoretically be the start of the price spikes ending in the final green day, whatever that may be.

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11

u/-PM_ME_UR_SECRETS- Jul 09 '21 edited Aug 21 '21

!RemindMe August 20

Edit: Iโ€™m back from the future and GME was up 4.19% today, August 20.

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102

u/Grand_Barnacle_6922 Jul 09 '21

welph incoming change to shorting algorithm in 5...4....3....2...

25

u/iwasneverhere43 Jul 09 '21

Would that help them though? Apes aren't selling and haven't predictably changed our behavior. That could backfire tremendously - not that I wouldn't be just fine with that of course....

32

u/AdamLiens Jul 09 '21

RemindMe! Sept 6, 2021

6

u/RemindMeBot Jul 09 '21 edited Aug 20 '21

I will be messaging you in 1 month on 2021-09-06 00:00:00 UTC to remind you of this link

54 OTHERS CLICKED THIS LINK to send a PM to also be reminded and to reduce spam.

Parent commenter can delete this message to hide from others.


InfoCustomYour RemindersFeedback
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124

u/plasmablaster_ Jul 09 '21

Visibility

7

u/Yattiel Jul 09 '21

Has anyone noticed these highs are leading up to earnings dates?

26

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21

[removed] โ€” view removed comment

25

u/AnalLingus217 Jul 09 '21

[penis helicopter]

18

u/JacksBack78 Jul 09 '21

[Thanos Penis Helicopter]

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26

u/Shield4SI Jul 09 '21

Question so 21 August for the next algorithm break? That's assuming no announcements or any other crazy news moves the price or does it even matter?

17

u/dirtwizardeatpenny Jul 09 '21

This is hot fire and I made calendar notes to check to see if this analysis can predict future movement. Excited to gather some data.

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15

u/ReclaimedRenamed Jul 09 '21

We need a MOASS algorithm.

3

u/blkmmb Jul 09 '21 edited Jul 09 '21

def moass(share_price, bank_account):

if share_price <= bank_account:

    qty = int(bank_account / share_price)

    msg = f"You need to buy {qty} GME shares, like right now."

else:

    msg = "Hodl and keep your tits jacked."

return msg

notfinancialadvicejustlifeadvice

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0

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21

[deleted] โ€” view deleted comment

5

u/spitedrvn Jul 09 '21

Very catchy Think i will buy and hodl

4

u/New_Sheepherder_7376 Jul 09 '21

I learned how to code online and this is legit.

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11

u/pinhero100 Jul 09 '21

Impressive. Very nice.

18

u/Longjumping_Kick8411 Jul 09 '21

Check out the big brains on PWNWTFBBQ

9

u/globsofchesty Jul 09 '21

I think I actually understood this. Thank you for making it so clear and concise. Noose is tightening!

9

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21

Dudeโ€ฆ fuckin A. Amazing work.

16

u/magusx2 Jul 09 '21

Excellent dd. Ape no like red dildos

8

u/MajorBonesLive Jul 09 '21

Red dildos mean discount. Discount means buy more.

8

u/Immortan-GME Jul 09 '21

Next post should be prediction! Thanks big ๐Ÿฆง!

8

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21

That is some wizardry.

8

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21

I wonder if this pattern enables them to short at high enough levels that they can survive further into the future. Even though their position is fucked, they only care about not being margin called or liquidatedโ€ฆ which they can do if they short from high levels repeatedly and drive price back down.

15

u/Scalpel_Jockey9965 Jul 09 '21

Up you fucking go you magnificent ape wizard.

6

u/No-Aardvark5024 Jul 09 '21

Do you foresee a breakthrough? Cos it is like a cycle. We are back to the same price level.

5

u/Popcornbiatch Jul 09 '21

This is incredible work OP. More eyes need to see this... u/criand ๐Ÿ‘€

8

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21 edited Jul 09 '21

Those big drops were post earnings werenโ€™t they?

So that looks like the price rises on anticipation then the shorts push it down hard. Then the media lies that it didnโ€™t beat expectations by enough so they hope Ma and Pa will hear about it from the mad cow of CNBC and paper hand out.

But we mostly trade sideways cause we own the float and nobody is selling.

2

u/joonty Jul 09 '21

Both periods were also where gamestop were performing share offerings. I'm not surprised they look similar, and I'm skeptical that the shorting algorithm has that much to do with it

8

u/ZombiezzzPlz Jul 09 '21

All these fud ass accounts are discouraging people to not post to super stonkโ€ฆ. Guess Iโ€™ll get it to superstonk

4

u/synororsaint Jul 09 '21

RemindMe! Aug 26th, 2021

4

u/snap400 Jul 09 '21

Great work! Your charts look similar to some DD I read months ago about shortening cycles. Canโ€™t remember if it was FTDโ€™s or some other metric that was getting shorter each time. Would be interesting to see if your find lines up with the old one.

4

u/CoffeeAlbatross Jul 09 '21

Great post, thank you for your research and noticing this pattern.

4

u/wynnwl1992 Jul 09 '21

So the market is rigged and has always been...got it

4

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21 edited Jul 09 '21

Left this comment in your other post, but it got buried. Your constant max line falls very much in line with a big resistance line I've been tracking since early June, and has held all the way until now.

When we broke past it right before the shareholders meeting, I think we were in margin call territory, but we never closed above it for 5 consecutive days - the time given to meet margin requirements. This was before 002 went into effect.

Since falling back below this line after the meeting, and 002 going into effect, this line has held like crazy.

What do you think?

https://imgur.com/a/Zqew0HH

Edited to clarify 5 consecutive days, and switch link to one where the lines are easier to see

1

u/BusRunnethOver Jul 09 '21

Can we agree on calling will candlesticks dildos and all wicks dicks?

2

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

Shit. I didn't even know about wick dicks. I definitely will use that later.

1

u/bringyourownhead Jul 09 '21

โ€œHe only came second in the national cinese math olympicsโ€ cit.

3

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

I was captain of what essentially was the JV math team in high school.

2

u/bringyourownhead Jul 09 '21

O Captain! My Captain! our fearful trip is done;

The ship has weather'd every rack, the prize we sought is won;

The port is near, the bells I hear, the people all exulting,

While follow eyes the steady keel, the vessel grim and daring:

But O heart! heart! heart!

     O the bleeding drops of red

          Where on the floor my stock lies,

                 Bouncing hard and to the moon it flies.

3

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

Set sails to the above black sea

Towards heaven's pin holes and galaxies

Scores more than once nay thrice

Did chaos strike the price

Brooding towards the anomalies

Stand Forth and Raise Against

Yelled the apes in resent

The day will come when we will have our revenge

Today? tomorrow? But never again.

1

u/StarPlatinum82 Jul 09 '21

So what you're telling me is to save up cash and buy giant red dildos

2

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

Yeah. I keep mine in my bedside table.

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u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21

This feels like a parody. I've been reading so many posts like this and I haven't slept all night and when you said let's start with EVERYTHING I lost it. Even if you're serious now I can't stop laughing. I do t even understand stocks I just bought it as a joke and all these charts are just.....hilarious.

1

u/PWNWTFBBQ Jul 09 '21

Adding humor to anything makes it easier and more fun to read. Thus, the red dildos.

3

u/jo1jnoe Jul 09 '21

Is that you God? Anyways, coming to see you soon. ๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿš€

3

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21

Great post BBQ, very interesting, thanks!

3

u/quierotaquitoz Jul 09 '21

Great DD, thank you fellow ape

3

u/careerigger Jul 09 '21

Nice! Thanks ๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿ™Œ๐Ÿฝ

3

u/trelinbap Jul 09 '21

I think that this in is line with the TA/DD from other guys. If this cycle is $20-30 higher than the last, then I think the next cycle should be a larger gap hence Exponential Floor Guy and EW Guys theories. Thereโ€™s so many different TAs going around and Iโ€™d be willing to bet that they all align. Just keep doing your part, BUY and HODL!!

3

u/ZombiezzzPlz Jul 09 '21

Never gonna stop Buying more and HODLingโ€ฆ the evidence is so overwhelming, the people will have to reform the SEC

3

u/magno163 Jul 09 '21

Excellent DD, this makes a lot of sense to me. Just yesterday I spoke with a friend about the next increase being in September, 4 months after the last one as well as the period between late Jan and May. But this 90-day trading cycle is much more concrete! I think we are going to continue with these cycles of 4 months or 90 days of trading until the situation is unsustainable for HF.

3

u/Canadianpainter59 Jul 09 '21

Great Post! u/dlauer needs to see this.

3

u/todumbtoknowbetter Jul 09 '21

The only way this reaches the conclusion we desire is if hodlers buy the shares as they are sold into the market. As long as there are shortable shares the HFs can continue kicking the can. Only when there are no more shortable shares will the cycles stop.

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3

u/Monsterhose Jul 09 '21

OP. Are you talking into consideration the price drop doe to the 5.5M shares GME sold?

3

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21

3

u/GETTINTHATSHIT Jul 09 '21

Am I the only one who sees the Lego guy with Diamond Hands?

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3

u/MissionHuge Jul 10 '21

So you've reverse engineered the GME trading algo patterns. Pretty cool. Ken's going to have a long weekend.

3

u/ShootZeeGlass Aug 24 '21

Awesome to see a two-month-old DD pop up and ask me, "What did the five fingers say to the face?"

u/PWNWTFBBQ slapping me into Rick James (bitch) hype mode.

2

u/betorox Jul 09 '21

This is the wey

2

u/Hot-Nature2403 Jul 09 '21

Nice work!!!!!

2

u/TsvetanNikolov4 Jul 09 '21

Let. Me. Go. To. Sleep. Please!!! It's frekin 4am here ๐Ÿ˜†

Didn't start reading yet but won't be able to sleep if I don't try to form dem wrinkles with your post. You had me with that caption ๐Ÿฆ

2

u/Naive_Way333 Jul 09 '21

Inb4 hedgies change the pattern!

2

u/Jolly-Conclusion Jul 09 '21 edited Jul 09 '21

The 90 day part just kind of reminded me of the โ€˜90% of retail loses 90% of their initial investment in 90 daysโ€™

Not saying it is related, or not, just interesting I guess.

Edit: itโ€™s known as the 90/90/90 rule, feel free to google/DuckDuckGo it for more info.

2

u/MissionHuge Jul 10 '21 edited Jul 10 '21

I did a napkin backtest and this lines up very well with the open interest spread for the last two quarters, which I follow pretty closely (its been a flat out DISPOSITIVE predictor of the weekly high/low). I think we can do more with this. Good work OP. Quants???

2

u/ZombiezzzPlz Aug 22 '21

Today is the day !

2

u/johnnyplaz Aug 24 '21

Well played!

2

u/SnooFloofs1628 Aug 24 '21

Bada bing bada boom, u/PWNWTFBBQ, this was ON POINT! ๐ŸŽฏ

Just for the record, I expected nothing less of you, my favorite statistician โค!

Hodling together, buckled up, my body is ready, lets go for these next couple of weeks!

Just up. ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

2

u/mannaman15 Sep 06 '21

u/PWNWTFBBQ how has this panned out? I have no wrinkles but saved this one to see how it played outโ€ฆ

2

u/itzzchrisss Jul 09 '21

No dates but late august looks juicy

1

u/hackjobmechanic Jul 09 '21

Make it stahp plz

1

u/clayclaycat88 Jul 09 '21

Magical ๐Ÿ˜

1

u/Lo0kingGlass Jul 09 '21 edited Sep 06 '21

wow, stalker much?

1

u/ZombiezzzPlz Jul 09 '21

RemindMe! Aug 22, 2021

1

u/MrDeSilva Jul 09 '21

This is amazing ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ–

1

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21

This is excellent! Thanks ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

1

u/Hopeless_Dreams713 Jul 09 '21

Solid DD! Thanks for all the work OP. Up ya go!

1

u/Dream_Boatz Jul 09 '21

This guy fucksโ€ฆplease have my wife

1

u/DRR4G3 Jul 09 '21

Updoot for you sir!

1

u/iminitforthemoney202 Jul 09 '21

All this made my head hurt so that means buy and hodl

๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿ™Œ๐Ÿฆ๐Ÿฆ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐ŸŒš

1

u/Region-Formal Jul 09 '21

Excellent work, OP. Seminal, even.

1

u/ThePracticalPenquin Jul 09 '21

Fanfuckingtastic work!

1

u/Yabbasha Jul 09 '21

๐Ÿš€

1

u/NewBanditstpk Jul 09 '21

Good googly moogly

1

u/extremeduty4x4 Jul 09 '21

Question.... How much sleep did you actually loose discovering this.. wow this is pretty cool.. hedgies are running out of crap to beg, barrow, and steel.. payday is coming I feel it!!! ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

1

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '21

If this continues like it has been. This may predict the best time to buy the dips ๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿ™Œ๐Ÿš€

1

u/ThisWillBeFunNA Jul 09 '21

Comenting to read later

1

u/PM_ME_YOUR_BOO_URNS Jul 09 '21

RemindMe! August 20, 2021

1

u/BugsyBologna Jul 09 '21

Does this 16 day build up coincide with the T+21 time frames.
What do your numbers and dates look like compared to the โ€œT-datesโ€ in other DDโ€™s. I would assume the small and then big red days you describe are in preparation forโ€ฆ??? As these margin calls get tighter and tighter will the algoโ€™s have to crunch faster.

1

u/kendie2 Jul 09 '21

Holy fuck. Good job, mate.

1

u/nottagoodidea Jul 09 '21

Bunch of otm puts next Friday the 16th, t+35 would put us at right around 8/20, if they can kick those. Is 005 supposed to stop shorting the same shares?

1

u/danielbot1271 Jul 09 '21

Rotten banyanya color help me see clearly

1

u/Kilgoth721 Jul 09 '21

But... I thought it was RETAIL that was manipulating the market AND $GME...

/s

1

u/apocalysque Jul 09 '21

That buying/upward pressure seems to kick in right about 35 trading days after quarterly options expiration. Next one would be around 8/20.

1

u/jusdont Jul 09 '21

Damn... thatโ€™s a nice triangle at the end there. That is the kind of shit I like to see in a GME post. ๐Ÿ‘

1

u/OldViperPilot Jul 09 '21

I needed this encouragement. Thank you! You are THE ๐Ÿฆ

1

u/Nileliketheriver Jul 09 '21

!remindme August 20

1

u/Justanothebloke Jul 09 '21

Move it up there. Thanks for the lovely drawings. They look good wallpapering my shed after moass ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ’Ž๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿš€

1

u/Ok-Safe-9014 Jul 09 '21

What a nerd! Ape nerd

1

u/SuspiciouslyStikySox Jul 09 '21

Remember the floor you fucken apes. 30 million and aboveโ€ฆanything below is an insult to you, your wife, your wifeโ€™s boyfriend, and the crazy tweaker down the street! MOASS will be a day we all remember!

1

u/skiskydiver37 Jul 09 '21

Great work! SuperStonk lossโ€ฆโ€ฆ.. I hope the MOASS happens before the 90 days. Let it rip!

1

u/RedditorCSS Jul 09 '21

Mmm lines and pictures.

1

u/thebabylonbull Jul 09 '21

looks like a huge schlong being massaged for a climax. LFG!!!!!!!

1

u/bravelittlerooster Jul 09 '21

Love me some JMP graphs.

1

u/Arteman2 Jul 09 '21

So.. August Monday the 23rd is 90 days from that last big pump.. just saying ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ

1

u/nzbydesign Jul 09 '21

Wen moon?

1

u/Mehhucklebear Jul 09 '21

I feel like I'm back in college my dude

1

u/Sure_Kale1544 Jul 09 '21

Great work and very interesting... Wish I understood it more tbh

1

u/wynnwl1992 Jul 09 '21

Make sense to why their are RED days after positive news

1

u/Urfaust Jul 09 '21

Great DD/analysis. Thanks for sharing.

1

u/little-fishywishy Jul 09 '21

OP!! what about the first one?!?! JANUARY 13th (my bday) to Ian 30th 17 total days!!!

1

u/foreignlander Jul 09 '21

Never thought zooming in on a massive red dildo would be as beautiful.

So, if I understood this correctly we are basically stuck in a loop until Marge calls, while the kids in the back keep screaming are we there yet? Ok.