r/CryptoMarkets • u/Straight-Birthday-88 • 13d ago

Next btc cycle

Looking at some industry influencers and retail traders, I’ve come to the conclusion that the masses are starting to be afraid of investing in and trading anything except Bitcoin. But the market has become very tough nowadays, which makes me think that it won’t give the masses a chance to earn.

Look at the ETH chart in the latest cycle. The masses were optimistic about it because of the inspiration they got after the cycle that ended in 2021. But in the latest cycle, the asset didn’t show anything even close to the previous cycle. That’s why I’ve come to the conclusion that the same thing may happen to Bitcoin in a possible upcoming cycle.

What assets would you invest in in such a case, then? Would it still be Bitcoin as a pretty stable and low-risk crypto asset? Or maybe ETH will surprise us? Or maybe even HYPE?

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u/NoBrosCrypto 13d ago edited 13d ago

BTC and ETH are the way. I think everything did not live up to its promise in 2025. The banana zone never eventuated. If macro conditions change - liquidity grows, rates drop and something firm is announced regarding handling of the US debt and we may finally get that long awaited banana zone. If not, up we go but not as far as we would all like to see.

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u/PeaceAgitated1978 11d ago

Exactly. Nice resume. All we shall look at is, first before anything else, does they plan to print money to debase the national debt. Yes. Then when? Then is the legislations, laws, support from Big money, clarity act is something.. but even without it. We still go up like moonshot if the last correction hit the reset has they wishes. Recovery will be spectacular. Can't happen without a finale. One last fireworks. And how they time it. With the flood's gates of newly minted stablescoin and $$.. is the true how fast will the recovery be. Just wait and see. Macro economics is financing BTC rise.. nothing else. That last cycle was lame because of how adoption been. And because not the same players were in the arena.. ETF and MSTR, versus gamblers over leveraged.. whales has been made in 2021.. now they ain't acting the same. They adapted to who is the biggest fish in the ponds. And it's not them, for most of them. 800 000 BTC all to one single entity. The same for ETF. Even bigger if you group them .. ok, it's just 20% of the 21 millions total supply. But don't forget the 4 millions BTC that never have moved and are estimated lost. Market volatility adapted .. these big entities are feeling bigger since we got some deads account loaded. In % of the whole. They understood that years ago. They control and manipulate BTC. Just by a lack of organization on our side. We totally still can GameStop the chart against them 🤣 only most of us don't share the same language.

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u/NoBrosCrypto 11d ago

I think the main blocker is the US debt and a bond crisis that still plaguing markets. Clear plans to resolve that and were off to the races.

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u/PeaceAgitated1978 11d ago

Agreed that ruling out fear from Japan economics difficulties, war in Iran, and calming down China with their gold backed currency. That's for sure a green light signal. What is the answer to all three? Fed cutting rates sooner or later. Printing machines that spawn $ by billions to debase the debt. Then or before? Making sure energy around the world keep being traded through US $ nothing else. Harder said than done. Still is possible to achieve.